Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = New York     State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Kathy Taylor            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.6835403    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 H Nazareth               Empire Eight  (11- 5, 81.9)    18-10   
 311 A St. Lawrence           Liberty Leagu ( 6-10, 79.3)    14- 8   
 313 A College of New Jersey  Independent   (20- 1, 89.9)     5-12   
 316 A Washington & Lee       Old Dominion  (15- 5, 83.3)     8- 7   
 318 A Roanoke                Old Dominion  (12- 8, 81.6)    17-13   
 322 A Hamilton               Liberty Leagu (18- 2, 88.3)    12- 9   
 326 A Ithaca                 Empire Eight  (11- 7, 83.3)    17- 7   
 402 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 8- 6, 74.9)    20- 5   
 405 A Brockport              SUNYAC        (10- 7, 82.8)    10- 5   
 407 H William Smith          Liberty Leagu ( 6- 9, 80.7)    17- 7   
 409 A Buffalo State          SUNYAC        (12- 5, 85.1)    13- 8   
 416 A New Paltz              SUNYAC        ( 7-10, 72.6)    20- 6   
 419 A Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 5-11, 74.9)    17- 7   
 421 H Union                  Liberty Leagu (10- 8, 82.7)    14- 8   
 423 H Fredonia               SUNYAC        (12- 5, 80.7)    15- 2   
 427 H Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 3-13, 75.8)    18- 4   
 430 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (12- 4, 84.8)    18-13   
 506 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (12- 4, 84.8)    23- 8   
 507 H Brockport              SUNYAC        (10- 7, 82.8)    14- 6   
 511 H Keene State            Little East   (13- 6, 74.8)    21- 3   
 514 H Tufts                  NESCAC        (12- 7, 87.3)    13- 7   
 515 H Colby                  NESCAC        (15- 5, 85.4)    15- 4   
 521 N Gettysburg             Centennial    (19- 4, 89.1)    11-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Nazareth               18-10       8     8          -0.79
   311 A St. Lawrence           14- 8       6     9    -     -3.46
   313 A College of New Jersey   5-12      -7    -1    --    -5.81
   316 A Washington & Lee        8- 7       1     5    --    -4.46
   318 A Roanoke                17-13       4     7    -     -3.12
   322 A Hamilton               12- 9       3     0    +      2.55
   326 A Ithaca                 17- 7      10     5    ++     4.56
   402 H Oswego                 20- 5      15    15           0.00
   405 A Brockport              10- 5       5     5          -0.88
   407 H William Smith          17- 7      10     9           0.03
   409 A Buffalo State          13- 8       5     3           1.41
   416 A New Paltz              20- 6      14    16           0.00
   419 A Potsdam                17- 7      10    13           0.00
   421 H Union                  14- 8       6     7          -1.97
   423 H Fredonia               15- 2      13     9           0.08
   427 H Oneonta                18- 4      14    14           0.00
   430 H Geneseo                18-13       5     5          -0.82
   506 H Geneseo                23- 8      15     5    ++     4.18
   507 H Brockport              14- 6       8     7           0.16
   511 H Keene State            21- 3      18    15           0.00
   514 H Tufts                  13- 7       6     3    +      2.62
   515 H Colby                  15- 4      11     5    ++     4.69
   521 N Gettysburg             11-13      -2     0    -     -2.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A College of New Jersey   5-12      -7    -1    --    -5.81
   316 A Washington & Lee        8- 7       1     5    --    -4.46
   311 A St. Lawrence           14- 8       6     9    -     -3.46
   318 A Roanoke                17-13       4     7    -     -3.12
   521 N Gettysburg             11-13      -2     0    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Ithaca                 17- 7      10     5    ++     4.56
   506 H Geneseo                23- 8      15     5    ++     4.18
   515 H Colby                  15- 4      11     5    ++     4.69
   322 A Hamilton               12- 9       3     0    +      2.55
   514 H Tufts                  13- 7       6     3    +      2.62
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.68 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.32 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.70 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .   15.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.175.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 21- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/