Conf = America East Region = Northeast State = NY Nickname = Bearcats Coach = Tony ZostantGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.6515808 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 220 A Louisville Big East (10- 7, 91.1) 4-18 225 A Connecticut Big East ( 9- 7, 87.4) 9-11 302 H Marist Metro Atlanti ( 6-10, 81.8) 10-14 304 H Niagara Metro Atlanti ( 2-11, 72.3) 20- 8 309 H Canisius Metro Atlanti (14- 6, 85.8) 7-12 311 H Monmouth Northeast (10- 7, 80.1) 4- 6 313 A Drexel Colonial ( 9- 8, 88.9) 4-10 321 A High Point NLC (15- 4, 85.6) 10-13 322 A Davidson NLC ( 6-12, 77.7) 14-10 326 A Boston University America East ( 8- 9, 89.7) 6-15 329 A Colgate Patriot Leagu ( 9- 7, 87.7) 9-19 402 H Vermont America East ( 8- 9, 85.6) 14-13 409 A Stony Brook America East ( 4-11, 84.5) 9-10 417 A UMBC America East (11- 7, 88.3) 8- 9 423 H Albany America East (18- 1, 93.1) 7-14 430 H Columbia Ivy League ( 4-11, 84.4) 12-11 501 H New Hampshire America East ( 8- 9, 88.0) 10-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Louisville 4-18 -14 -9 -0.63 225 A Connecticut 9-11 -2 -5 + 3.73 302 H Marist 10-14 -4 1 -- -5.83 304 H Niagara 20- 8 12 11 0.00 309 H Canisius 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.83 311 H Monmouth 4- 6 -2 3 -- -5.45 313 A Drexel 4-10 -6 -7 1.18 321 A High Point 10-13 -3 -3 0.89 322 A Davidson 14-10 4 3 0.02 326 A Boston University 6-15 -9 -8 -0.97 329 A Colgate 9-19 -10 -5 -- -4.03 402 H Vermont 14-13 1 -2 + 3.05 409 A Stony Brook 9-10 -1 -2 1.76 417 A UMBC 8- 9 -1 -6 ++ 5.61 423 H Albany 7-14 -7 -9 + 2.54 430 H Columbia 12-11 1 0 1.84 501 H New Hampshire 10-12 -2 -4 + 2.38UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Marist 10-14 -4 1 -- -5.83 311 H Monmouth 4- 6 -2 3 -- -5.45 329 A Colgate 9-19 -10 -5 -- -4.03 309 H Canisius 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.83OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A UMBC 8- 9 -1 -6 ++ 5.61 225 A Connecticut 9-11 -2 -5 + 3.73 402 H Vermont 14-13 1 -2 + 3.05 423 H Albany 7-14 -7 -9 + 2.54 501 H New Hampshire 10-12 -2 -4 + 2.38/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.65 Local Power Rank........... 63 Local SOS Rating......... 67.86 Local SOS Rank............. 55 Local RPI Rating......... 0.42 Local RPI Rank............. 69 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 15 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 83 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4-13 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7