2010 NCAA Women's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Salisbury Capital 21 1 2 17 1 1 3 1 5 15.00 2 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 16 4 3 14 7 2 2 3 7 10.00 3 College of New J Independent 16 4 10 37 9 4 1 5 10 1.00 4 Hamilton Liberty League 21 1 1 12 2 3 6 2 11 38.00 5 Gettysburg Centennial 18 4 4 19 3 5 5 4 14 13.00 6 Cortland SUNYAC 17 3 7 18 6 7 8 6 21 3.00 7 Colby NESCAC 15 5 13 8 4 6 7 11 24 4.00 8 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 14 5 23 40 14 11 9 13 33 0.10 9 Trinity (CT) NESCAC 15 4 5 3 5 8 19 8 35 6.00 10 Stevens Empire Eight 17 3 16 29 8 9 20 7 36 0.10 11 Union Liberty League 11 7 6 5 25 12 4 20 36 1.00 12 Mary Washington Capital 14 6 24 28 21 15 10 16 41 0.10 13 Babson NEWMAC 15 4 17 20 10 10 27 9 46 0.10 14 Elizabethtown Middle Atlanti 16 5 30 62 26 23 11 12 46 0.10 15 Brockport SUNYAC 13 4 11 31 15 19 22 14 55 2.00 16 Claremont-Mudd-S SCIAC 16 3 40 82 13 16 32 10 58 0.10 17 Bowdoin NESCAC 10 6 12 4 17 18 14 28 60 1.00 18 Catholic (DC) Landmark 13 7 15 26 41 21 13 30 64 0.10 19 Tufts NESCAC 11 4 9 7 12 14 31 19 64 2.00 20 Williams NESCAC 12 7 14 2 16 17 15 33 65 0.10 21 Ursinus Centennial 11 6 43 25 31 22 18 26 66 0.10 22 Amherst NESCAC 11 5 18 10 11 24 26 21 71 0.10 23 Stevenson Capital 11 6 27 33 46 20 12 45 77 0.10 24 Middlebury NESCAC 8 7 8 1 27 29 16 35 80 4.00 25 Ithaca Empire Eight 11 6 20 23 42 30 17 34 81 0.10 26 Haverford Centennial 13 5 36 46 24 25 37 24 86 0.10 27 Endicott Comm. Coast 16 5 41 71 19 31 38 22 91 0.10 28 Rowan Independent 11 6 51 47 38 28 28 43 99 0.10 29 McDaniel Centennial 10 6 28 27 48 26 25 51 102 0.10 30 Wooster North Coast 12 4 72 106 43 38 46 27 111 0.10 31 Dickinson Centennial 9 6 26 30 52 27 33 54 114 0.10 32 FDU-Florham Middle Atlanti 15 6 57 77 54 35 36 50 121 0.10 33 Bridgewater Stat NEWLA 15 5 54 86 33 32 52 38 122 0.10 34 Bates NESCAC 7 8 19 9 51 34 23 69 126 0.10 35 Roanoke Old Dominion 9 7 44 51 74 46 24 63 133 0.10 36 Messiah Middle Atlanti 13 4 38 79 35 39 55 40 134 0.10 37 Cabrini CSAC 11 8 73 75 70 56 21 60 137 0.10 38 Christopher Newp USA South Atl. 12 7 49 69 67 36 40 61 137 0.10 39 Nazareth Empire Eight 10 6 22 34 59 41 41 55 137 0.10 40 Kenyon North Coast 15 3 63 108 20 13 108 18 139 0.10 41 Lynchburg Old Dominion 14 4 53 80 34 40 76 25 141 0.10 42 Springfield NEWMAC 10 8 39 38 68 43 34 67 144 0.10 43 St. Lawrence Liberty League 12 5 29 24 28 42 66 36 144 0.10 44 Oneonta SUNYAC 10 5 33 39 36 37 73 41 151 0.10 45 William Smith Liberty League 8 7 34 13 60 45 35 71 151 0.10 46 Montclair State Skyline 12 6 61 101 57 60 51 44 155 0.10 47 Rensselaer Liberty League 8 6 37 16 44 47 58 52 157 0.10 48 Drew Landmark 10 9 46 36 93 44 30 88 162 0.10 49 St. Mary's (MD) Capital 9 9 52 41 100 52 29 82 163 0.10 50 Rochester Inst o Empire Eight 11 5 35 49 45 53 72 42 167 0.10 51 Mount Holyoke NEWMAC 11 7 58 65 81 49 45 80 174 0.10 52 Roger Williams Comm. Coast 14 5 78 99 53 54 70 53 177 0.10 53 Buffalo State SUNYAC 10 6 21 21 32 33 99 57 189 0.10 54 Washington Colle Centennial 8 7 55 52 75 61 56 76 193 0.10 55 Castleton State NEWLA 13 6 101 134 66 51 74 70 195 0.10 56 Sewanee Independent 13 4 76 131 39 69 94 32 195 0.10 57 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 6 8 32 11 63 57 50 89 196 0.10 58 Westfield State NEWLA 11 4 98 150 47 55 96 46 197 0.10 59 Univ of New Engl Comm. Coast 12 5 85 90 50 62 87 49 198 0.10 60 Muhlenberg Centennial 9 6 50 55 58 65 75 59 199 0.10 61 York Capital 10 6 68 73 65 66 82 56 204 0.10 62 Geneseo SUNYAC 8 8 25 32 87 71 48 94 213 0.10 63 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 11 6 105 121 62 63 106 47 216 0.10 64 Southern Maine Little East 11 10 88 72 119 50 53 116 219 0.10 65 Washington & Jef Independent 13 4 106 141 40 75 107 37 219 0.10 66 Norwich Great Northeas 9 8 127 136 101 74 47 102 223 0.10 67 MIT NEWMAC 9 7 66 59 80 67 83 75 225 0.10 68 Plymouth State Little East 10 6 82 93 76 64 85 77 226 0.10 69 Fredonia SUNYAC 9 8 47 50 98 73 57 101 231 0.10 70 Vassar Liberty League 8 8 56 43 95 68 63 100 231 0.10 71 Western Connecti Little East 10 6 89 94 77 59 97 78 234 0.10 72 Keene State Little East 14 5 62 89 56 48 130 58 236 0.10 73 Colorado College Independent 9 5 59 68 55 58 129 64 251 0.10 74 Husson North Atlantic 11 3 123 195 30 72 148 31 251 0.10 75 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 8 6 67 78 84 80 105 66 251 0.10 76 Redlands SCIAC 11 8 93 98 105 85 69 98 252 0.10 77 Puget Sound Independent 11 2 104 157 23 70 163 23 256 0.10 78 Adrian Independent 14 3 45 135 22 81 160 17 258 0.10 79 Lycoming Middle Atlanti 10 8 86 83 109 84 65 109 258 0.10 80 Utica Empire Eight 6 7 79 44 86 86 88 86 260 0.10 81 Denison North Coast 7 7 74 118 85 79 104 79 262 0.10 82 Western New Engl Comm. Coast 11 8 69 85 106 88 68 106 262 0.10 83 Curry Comm. Coast 12 6 77 122 71 83 109 73 265 0.10 84 Eastern Connecti Little East 9 10 71 61 129 76 62 128 266 0.10 85 Birmingham-South Independent 12 3 103 170 29 77 162 29 268 0.10 86 Wellesley NEWMAC 6 10 65 48 147 82 54 136 272 0.10 87 Allegheny North Coast 9 8 107 113 114 90 80 103 273 0.10 88 Widener Middle Atlanti 11 7 94 97 91 97 86 92 275 0.10 89 Eastern Middle Atlanti 8 10 83 84 136 101 43 133 277 0.10 90 Swarthmore Centennial 7 9 90 64 112 99 67 112 278 0.10 91 Alvernia Middle Atlanti 12 6 87 128 69 94 113 72 279 0.10 92 Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC 4 10 31 6 103 89 61 132 282 0.10 93 Saint Joseph's ( Great Northeas 10 4 141 184 49 91 144 48 283 0.10 94 St. John Fisher Empire Eight 5 11 42 22 148 98 44 141 283 0.10 95 Centenary CSAC 13 2 95 182 18 95 174 15 284 0.10 96 Guilford Old Dominion 6 10 100 66 155 96 49 144 289 0.10 97 Greensboro USA South Atl. 14 4 70 145 37 78 173 39 290 0.10 98 Pacific (OR) Independent 6 5 125 129 73 87 140 74 301 0.10 99 Clarkson Liberty League 6 9 64 45 116 106 92 119 317 0.10 100 Frostburg State Independent 9 8 112 109 108 92 122 104 318 0.10 101 Oswego SUNYAC 7 10 75 58 132 102 90 131 323 0.10 102 Emerson Great Northeas 8 6 118 165 78 104 137 83 324 0.10 103 Susquehanna Landmark 10 7 84 87 90 103 127 99 329 0.10 104 Wittenberg North Coast 9 6 102 133 72 107 157 68 332 0.10 105 Wheaton NEWMAC 5 11 60 42 154 100 77 157 334 0.10 106 Skidmore Liberty League 7 10 48 35 99 93 117 126 336 0.10 107 Fitchburg State NEWLA 10 7 119 160 94 119 126 93 338 0.10 108 Gwynedd-Mercy CSAC 9 9 111 138 130 111 103 124 338 0.10 109 Framingham State NEWLA 6 8 142 155 124 114 102 123 339 0.10 110 Rochester Liberty League 2 14 81 15 185 112 39 188 339 0.10 111 Colby-Sawyer Comm. Coast 6 11 131 95 158 122 60 159 341 0.10 112 Alfred Empire Eight 7 8 97 88 113 115 120 108 343 0.10 113 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 5 12 99 57 181 105 64 175 344 0.10 114 Worcester State NEWLA 5 6 139 142 96 117 134 96 347 0.10 115 Potsdam SUNYAC 6 10 80 53 141 116 84 148 348 0.10 116 Maine-Farmington North Atlantic 5 7 174 180 110 109 131 110 350 0.10 117 Pomona-Pitzer SCIAC 6 12 136 104 183 126 42 182 350 0.10 118 Kean Skyline 8 10 117 120 138 120 98 134 352 0.10 119 Marymount Capital 3 11 108 56 169 113 79 161 353 0.10 120 Farmingdale Skyline 8 7 96 144 79 121 150 84 355 0.10 121 Keuka NEAC 10 5 138 186 61 125 172 62 359 0.10 122 Ramapo Skyline 10 8 121 146 83 110 168 81 359 0.10 123 Bridgewater Old Dominion 10 7 113 139 92 124 151 87 362 0.10 124 Trine Independent 5 11 130 126 177 131 59 172 362 0.10 125 Rutgers-Camden Independent 2 8 164 81 128 130 114 125 369 0.10 126 Goucher Landmark 7 10 91 67 137 108 111 151 370 0.10 127 Salve Regina Comm. Coast 7 11 124 112 170 129 71 171 371 0.10 128 Wesley Capital 8 8 120 123 102 138 141 95 374 0.10 129 Whittier SCIAC 6 11 122 96 173 123 81 170 374 0.10 130 Scranton Landmark 6 10 92 76 150 128 95 155 378 0.10 131 New England Coll Comm. Coast 7 10 116 115 151 132 100 152 384 0.10 132 Ferrum USA South Atl. 11 5 134 174 64 133 193 65 391 0.10 133 Gordon Comm. Coast 5 9 114 107 144 136 116 143 395 0.10 134 New Paltz SUNYAC 4 11 115 60 160 140 89 166 395 0.10 135 Oberlin North Coast 4 11 163 137 161 148 93 154 395 0.10 136 Notre Dame (MD) CSAC 7 8 137 151 122 134 143 121 398 0.10 137 Lebanon Valley Middle Atlanti 6 9 145 111 140 137 123 139 399 0.10 138 Lasell Great Northeas 8 8 159 188 117 139 152 114 405 0.10 139 Elmira Empire Eight 6 11 109 63 163 127 119 162 408 0.10 140 Simmons Great Northeas 6 6 158 189 89 143 176 91 410 0.10 141 Becker NEWLA 5 10 177 178 157 147 112 158 417 0.10 142 Shenandoah USA South Atl. 8 8 128 156 123 118 177 122 417 0.10 143 Linfield Independent 2 8 154 117 133 141 142 135 418 0.10 144 Marywood CSAC 9 9 126 163 131 149 139 130 418 0.10 145 Mount St. Joseph Independent 1 11 171 140 127 144 154 120 418 0.10 146 Mount Ida Great Northeas 8 6 146 196 82 154 183 85 422 0.10 147 Saint Vincent Independent 2 12 132 110 153 135 138 149 422 0.10 148 Hood Capital 4 11 144 103 168 145 118 160 423 0.10 149 Mount Saint Vinc Skyline 6 6 148 172 88 159 187 90 436 0.10 150 Smith NEWMAC 4 13 135 74 192 146 101 189 436 0.10 151 Fontbonne Independent 6 6 143 175 97 161 180 97 438 0.10 152 Occidental SCIAC 2 13 147 100 195 156 91 194 441 0.10 153 Bryn Mawr Centennial 1 15 156 70 198 168 78 198 444 0.10 154 Rhode Island Col Little East 3 10 155 127 164 155 124 167 446 0.10 155 Thomas NEAC 3 10 184 179 166 153 125 169 447 0.10 156 Wells NEAC 8 8 153 185 120 157 179 117 453 0.10 157 Arcadia Middle Atlanti 6 11 140 125 171 160 121 173 454 0.10 158 Green Mountain North Atlantic 6 7 179 197 104 166 184 105 455 0.10 159 Methodist USA South Atl. 5 8 152 164 111 158 186 111 455 0.10 160 Misericordia Middle Atlanti 4 11 151 105 179 162 115 180 457 0.10 161 Albion Independent 0 7 178 130 107 188 166 107 461 0.10 162 Mass.-Dartmouth Little East 4 10 149 119 159 151 146 164 461 0.10 163 Hartwick Empire Eight 2 11 110 54 178 152 133 177 462 0.10 164 Medaille NEAC 4 8 170 177 125 165 169 129 463 0.10 165 Moravian Landmark 5 11 129 102 134 150 171 145 466 0.10 166 Manhattanville Middle Atlanti 4 13 133 92 184 142 147 185 474 0.10 167 Mount Saint Mary Skyline 5 9 165 167 146 167 161 147 475 0.10 168 Cazenovia NEAC 7 8 162 187 121 172 189 118 479 0.10 169 Nichols Comm. Coast 4 11 167 143 180 163 136 181 480 0.10 170 Hollins Old Dominion 2 10 183 114 167 175 149 163 487 0.10 171 Sweet Briar Old Dominion 3 12 161 124 187 173 132 184 489 0.10 172 Wilkes Middle Atlanti 3 12 168 116 188 170 135 187 492 0.10 173 Rivier Great Northeas 3 10 186 190 165 171 156 168 495 0.10 174 King's Middle Atlanti 0 17 172 91 201 185 110 201 496 0.10 175 Dallas Independent 3 10 180 149 162 177 155 165 497 0.10 176 Daniel Webster Independent 4 7 188 199 115 190 198 113 501 0.10 177 Regis (MA) Comm. Coast 1 13 185 132 196 179 128 196 503 0.10 178 Agnes Scott USA South Atl. 4 9 176 168 149 176 181 150 507 0.10 179 Morrisville SUNYAC 5 10 157 166 145 169 192 146 507 0.10 180 Penn State-Abing NEAC 3 7 195 200 118 193 199 115 507 0.10 181 Randolph Independent 1 8 190 158 142 186 185 140 511 0.10 182 Cedar Crest CSAC 5 9 175 183 143 180 191 142 513 0.10 183 Immaculata CSAC 5 11 160 162 175 174 165 178 517 0.10 184 Lancaster Bible Independent 6 10 173 191 139 184 196 138 518 0.10 185 Anna Maria Comm. Coast 2 14 181 152 199 178 145 199 522 0.10 186 Carthage Independent 6 11 150 148 174 164 182 176 522 0.10 187 Maritime Skyline 3 12 182 173 186 183 158 186 527 0.10 188 Trinity (DC) Independent 1 9 197 198 126 201 201 127 529 0.10 189 No. Carolina Wes USA South Atl. 1 12 187 154 189 187 153 190 530 0.10 190 North Central Independent 4 11 166 161 182 181 167 183 531 0.10 191 Neumann CSAC 3 13 169 147 194 182 159 195 536 0.10 192 Wilson NEAC 2 8 198 201 135 200 200 137 537 0.10 193 Pine Manor Great Northeas 2 9 192 194 152 191 195 153 539 0.10 194 Bard Skyline 1 10 189 153 172 189 178 174 541 0.10 195 Waynesburg Independent 1 10 196 169 156 192 194 156 542 0.10 196 Elms NEWLA 0 15 199 181 200 197 164 200 561 0.10 197 Saint Joseph Great Northeas 1 13 193 193 197 195 170 197 562 0.10 198 Rosemont CSAC 0 12 200 159 191 196 175 192 563 0.10 199 Sage Skyline 1 12 191 171 190 194 188 191 573 0.10 200 LaGrange USA South Atl. 0 10 194 176 176 199 197 179 575 0.10 201 St. Elizabeth NEAC 0 12 201 192 193 198 190 193 581 0.10