Conf = Colonial                   Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Tribe                  Coach  = Christine Halfpenny     

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.8066559    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 214 H Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 90.5)    15-14   
 221 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 94.6)     9-16   
 228 H Oregon                 MPSF          ( 7-11, 84.6)    15-13   
 307 A Boston University      America East  (11- 9, 89.6)    10-15   
 310 A Navy                   Patriot Leagu (17- 4, 86.8)    14- 9   
 317 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 94.4)     7-14   
 320 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 6-11, 83.8)    24-16   
 324 H California             MPSF          ( 8-10, 85.7)    10- 8   
 328 A Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 91.2)     8-11   
 404 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (10- 9, 86.3)    11-10   
 409 A Hofstra                Colonial      (12- 6, 92.3)     7-15   
 411 A Drexel                 Colonial      (10- 7, 84.7)    17-12   
 416 H Delaware               Colonial      ( 6-10, 85.5)    18-12   
 418 H Towson                 Colonial      (13- 5, 92.7)     6-12   
 423 H George Mason           Colonial      ( 3-14, 82.4)    20- 9   
 425 A James Madison          Colonial      (17- 3, 93.6)     7-17   
 428 H Old Dominion           Colonial      ( 3-12, 83.1)    18- 7   
 506 A James Madison          Colonial      (17- 3, 93.6)     4- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H Ohio State             15-14       1     0           1.34
   221 H Duke                    9-16      -7    -4    -     -2.52
   228 H Oregon                 15-13       2     5    -     -3.59
   307 A Boston University      10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.88
   310 A Navy                   14- 9       5     0    ++     4.37
   317 H Virginia                7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.75
   320 A Virginia Tech          24-16       8     3    ++     4.34
   324 H California             10- 8       2     4    -     -2.43
   328 A Penn State              8-11      -3    -3           0.72
   404 A Richmond               11-10       1     1          -0.18
   409 A Hofstra                 7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.15
   411 A Drexel                 17-12       5     2    +      2.25
   416 H Delaware               18-12       6     4           1.35
   418 H Towson                  6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.43
   423 H George Mason           20- 9      11     7    +      2.26
   425 A James Madison           7-17     -10    -6    -     -3.83
   428 H Old Dominion           18- 7      11     7    +      2.96
   506 A James Madison           4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H Duke                    9-16      -7    -4    -     -2.52
   228 H Oregon                 15-13       2     5    -     -3.59
   307 A Boston University      10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.88
   317 H Virginia                7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.75
   324 H California             10- 8       2     4    -     -2.43
   409 A Hofstra                 7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.15
   418 H Towson                  6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.43
   425 A James Madison           7-17     -10    -6    -     -3.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Navy                   14- 9       5     0    ++     4.37
   320 A Virginia Tech          24-16       8     3    ++     4.34
   411 A Drexel                 17-12       5     2    +      2.25
   423 H George Mason           20- 9      11     7    +      2.26
   428 H Old Dominion           18- 7      11     7    +      2.96
   506 A James Madison           4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.81 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.28 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    90
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/