Conf = Colonial Region = South State = VA Nickname = Tribe Coach = Christine HalfpennyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.8066559 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 90.5) 15-14 221 H Duke Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 94.6) 9-16 228 H Oregon MPSF ( 7-11, 84.6) 15-13 307 A Boston University America East (11- 9, 89.6) 10-15 310 A Navy Patriot Leagu (17- 4, 86.8) 14- 9 317 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 94.4) 7-14 320 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 6-11, 83.8) 24-16 324 H California MPSF ( 8-10, 85.7) 10- 8 328 A Penn State Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 91.2) 8-11 404 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 9, 86.3) 11-10 409 A Hofstra Colonial (12- 6, 92.3) 7-15 411 A Drexel Colonial (10- 7, 84.7) 17-12 416 H Delaware Colonial ( 6-10, 85.5) 18-12 418 H Towson Colonial (13- 5, 92.7) 6-12 423 H George Mason Colonial ( 3-14, 82.4) 20- 9 425 A James Madison Colonial (17- 3, 93.6) 7-17 428 H Old Dominion Colonial ( 3-12, 83.1) 18- 7 506 A James Madison Colonial (17- 3, 93.6) 4- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Ohio State 15-14 1 0 1.34 221 H Duke 9-16 -7 -4 - -2.52 228 H Oregon 15-13 2 5 - -3.59 307 A Boston University 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.88 310 A Navy 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.37 317 H Virginia 7-14 -7 -4 - -2.75 320 A Virginia Tech 24-16 8 3 ++ 4.34 324 H California 10- 8 2 4 - -2.43 328 A Penn State 8-11 -3 -3 0.72 404 A Richmond 11-10 1 1 -0.18 409 A Hofstra 7-15 -8 -4 - -3.15 411 A Drexel 17-12 5 2 + 2.25 416 H Delaware 18-12 6 4 1.35 418 H Towson 6-12 -6 -2 - -3.43 423 H George Mason 20- 9 11 7 + 2.26 425 A James Madison 7-17 -10 -6 - -3.83 428 H Old Dominion 18- 7 11 7 + 2.96 506 A James Madison 4- 7 -3 -6 + 3.17UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Duke 9-16 -7 -4 - -2.52 228 H Oregon 15-13 2 5 - -3.59 307 A Boston University 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.88 317 H Virginia 7-14 -7 -4 - -2.75 324 H California 10- 8 2 4 - -2.43 409 A Hofstra 7-15 -8 -4 - -3.15 418 H Towson 6-12 -6 -2 - -3.43 425 A James Madison 7-17 -10 -6 - -3.83OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A Navy 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.37 320 A Virginia Tech 24-16 8 3 ++ 4.34 411 A Drexel 17-12 5 2 + 2.25 423 H George Mason 20- 9 11 7 + 2.26 428 H Old Dominion 18- 7 11 7 + 2.96 506 A James Madison 4- 7 -3 -6 + 3.17/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.81 Local Power Rank........... 28 Local SOS Rating......... 74.28 Local SOS Rank............. 20 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 25 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 90 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 29 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7