Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf Region = West/Midwest State = TN Nickname = Commodores Coach = Cathy SwezeyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.2083893 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Duke Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 94.6) 10-19 219 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas (17- 3, 99.2) 6-12 227 A UMBC America East (11- 7, 88.2) 17-10 307 A Stanford MPSF (15- 6, 90.2) 9-14 310 H Longwood NLC (10- 8, 82.3) 17- 8 313 H Boston University America East (11- 9, 89.6) 10- 5 317 H Louisville Big East (11- 6, 89.6) 20-13 321 H Penn State Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 91.2) 20-14 324 A Notre Dame Big East (11- 7, 91.6) 10- 9 328 A Delaware Colonial ( 6-10, 85.5) 15- 7 403 H Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 90.8) 20-12 410 H Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 90.5) 19- 8 414 A Binghamton America East ( 2-13, 78.7) 23-11 418 A Florida Amer. Lac. Co (10- 8, 90.9) 12- 7 424 A Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (20- 2, 99.9) 9-27 507 H Florida Amer. Lac. Co (10- 8, 90.9) 16- 9 508 N Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (20- 2, 99.9) 14-23 516 A Duke Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 94.6) 15-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Duke 10-19 -9 0 --- -8.93 219 A North Carolina 6-12 -6 -7 1.35 227 A UMBC 17-10 7 3 + 3.31 307 A Stanford 9-14 -5 1 --- -6.59 310 H Longwood 17- 8 9 12 -1.00 313 H Boston University 10- 5 5 5 -0.02 317 H Louisville 20-13 7 4 + 2.06 321 H Penn State 20-14 6 3 + 2.59 324 A Notre Dame 10- 9 1 0 0.73 328 A Delaware 15- 7 8 6 1.68 403 H Johns Hopkins 20-12 8 3 ++ 4.19 410 H Ohio State 19- 8 11 4 ++ 5.94 414 A Binghamton 23-11 12 13 0.00 418 A Florida 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.10 424 A Northwestern 9-27 -18 -8 -1.94 507 H Florida 16- 9 7 3 + 3.36 508 N Northwestern 14-23 -9 -6 - -2.31 516 A Duke 15-16 -1 -2 1.81UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Duke 10-19 -9 0 --- -8.93 307 A Stanford 9-14 -5 1 --- -6.59 508 N Northwestern 14-23 -9 -6 - -2.31OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Johns Hopkins 20-12 8 3 ++ 4.19 410 H Ohio State 19- 8 11 4 ++ 5.94 418 A Florida 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.10 227 A UMBC 17-10 7 3 + 3.31 317 H Louisville 20-13 7 4 + 2.06 321 H Penn State 20-14 6 3 + 2.59 507 H Florida 16- 9 7 3 + 3.36/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.21 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 79.56 Local SOS Rank............. 7 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 85 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 11 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 8.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 8.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 8.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0