Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf            Region = West/Midwest State = TN
   Nickname = Commodores             Coach  = Cathy Swezey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.2083893    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 214 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 94.6)    10-19   
 219 A North Carolina         Atlantic Coas (17- 3, 99.2)     6-12   
 227 A UMBC                   America East  (11- 7, 88.2)    17-10   
 307 A Stanford               MPSF          (15- 6, 90.2)     9-14   
 310 H Longwood               NLC           (10- 8, 82.3)    17- 8   
 313 H Boston University      America East  (11- 9, 89.6)    10- 5   
 317 H Louisville             Big East      (11- 6, 89.6)    20-13   
 321 H Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 91.2)    20-14   
 324 A Notre Dame             Big East      (11- 7, 91.6)    10- 9   
 328 A Delaware               Colonial      ( 6-10, 85.5)    15- 7   
 403 H Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 90.8)    20-12   
 410 H Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 90.5)    19- 8   
 414 A Binghamton             America East  ( 2-13, 78.7)    23-11   
 418 A Florida                Amer. Lac. Co (10- 8, 90.9)    12- 7   
 424 A Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (20- 2, 99.9)     9-27   
 507 H Florida                Amer. Lac. Co (10- 8, 90.9)    16- 9   
 508 N Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (20- 2, 99.9)    14-23   
 516 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 94.6)    15-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H Duke                   10-19      -9     0    ---   -8.93
   219 A North Carolina          6-12      -6    -7           1.35
   227 A UMBC                   17-10       7     3    +      3.31
   307 A Stanford                9-14      -5     1    ---   -6.59
   310 H Longwood               17- 8       9    12          -1.00
   313 H Boston University      10- 5       5     5          -0.02
   317 H Louisville             20-13       7     4    +      2.06
   321 H Penn State             20-14       6     3    +      2.59
   324 A Notre Dame             10- 9       1     0           0.73
   328 A Delaware               15- 7       8     6           1.68
   403 H Johns Hopkins          20-12       8     3    ++     4.19
   410 H Ohio State             19- 8      11     4    ++     5.94
   414 A Binghamton             23-11      12    13           0.00
   418 A Florida                12- 7       5     0    ++     4.10
   424 A Northwestern            9-27     -18    -8          -1.94
   507 H Florida                16- 9       7     3    +      3.36
   508 N Northwestern           14-23      -9    -6    -     -2.31
   516 A Duke                   15-16      -1    -2           1.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H Duke                   10-19      -9     0    ---   -8.93
   307 A Stanford                9-14      -5     1    ---   -6.59
   508 N Northwestern           14-23      -9    -6    -     -2.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Johns Hopkins          20-12       8     3    ++     4.19
   410 H Ohio State             19- 8      11     4    ++     5.94
   418 A Florida                12- 7       5     0    ++     4.10
   227 A UMBC                   17-10       7     3    +      3.31
   317 H Louisville             20-13       7     4    +      2.06
   321 H Penn State             20-14       6     3    +      2.59
   507 H Florida                16- 9       7     3    +      3.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.21 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.56 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    85
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/