Conf = Independent                Region = South        State = FL
   Nickname = Tars                   Coach  = Dennis Short            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.5892181    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 213 H St. Andrews            Carolinas     ( 5- 8, 67.6)    22- 4   
 219 H Adelphi                Northeast 10  (19- 1, 84.9)     7-20   
 304 H Notre Dame (OH)        Independent   (11- 5, 67.9)    21-10   
 308 H Millersville           PSAC Eastern  ( 3-11, 67.6)    21- 6   
 310 H Stonehill              Northeast 10  (13- 4, 80.6)     9-20   
 315 H New Haven              Northeast 10  ( 7- 9, 70.6)    15-16  o
 320 H Pfeiffer               Carolinas     (11- 7, 71.7)    17-16   
 322 A Queens                 Carolinas     ( 7-10, 67.9)    21-12   
 328 A West Chester           PSAC Eastern  (19- 2, 76.6)    11-14   
 402 A Converse               Carolinas     ( 6-11, 65.8)    26-10   
 403 N Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 2-12, 56.8)    21- 2   
 416 A Regis (CO)             Independent   ( 3- 7, 67.7)    18-10   
 417 N Fort Lewis             Independent   ( 1-11, 56.0)    20- 3   
 501 A Limestone              Carolinas     (18- 2, 77.6)    12-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H St. Andrews            22- 4      18     7    +      2.79
   219 H Adelphi                 7-20     -13   -10           0.00
   304 H Notre Dame (OH)        21-10      11     6    +      3.11
   308 H Millersville           21- 6      15     7    +      2.77
   310 H Stonehill               9-20     -11    -5    --    -4.19
   315 H New Haven              15-16  o   -1     4    --    -5.13
   320 H Pfeiffer               17-16       1     3    -     -2.11
   322 A Queens                 21-12       9     4    ++     4.45
   328 A West Chester           11-14      -3    -4           1.22
   402 A Converse               26-10      16     6    +      3.38
   403 N Lees-McRae             21- 2      19    16           0.00
   416 A Regis (CO)             18-10       8     4    +      3.31
   417 N Fort Lewis             20- 3      17    17           0.00
   501 A Limestone              12-19      -7    -5          -1.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Stonehill               9-20     -11    -5    --    -4.19
   315 H New Haven              15-16  o   -1     4    --    -5.13
   320 H Pfeiffer               17-16       1     3    -     -2.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Queens                 21-12       9     4    ++     4.45
   213 H St. Andrews            22- 4      18     7    +      2.79
   304 H Notre Dame (OH)        21-10      11     6    +      3.11
   308 H Millersville           21- 6      15     7    +      2.77
   402 A Converse               26-10      16     6    +      3.38
   416 A Regis (CO)             18-10       8     4    +      3.31
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.59 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 41.86 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    42
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   17.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/