Conf = Independent                Region = NAIA         State = OH
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Torrey McGowan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.9313660    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 N Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 2-12, 56.8)    19- 1   
 304 A Rollins                Independent   ( 9- 5, 73.6)    10-21   
 306 A Erskine                Carolinas     ( 0-17, 52.1)    21- 1   
 313 A Gannon                 PSAC Western  (12- 7, 74.7)     4-14   
 317 A Detroit                NLC           ( 7-13, 73.7)    10-16   
 320 A Monroe                               (15- 3, 78.3)    10-12   
 324 H Indiana Tech           Independent   ( 6- 6, 59.4)    14- 1   
 327 H Mount St. Joseph       Independent   ( 1-11, 58.3)    23- 1   
 330 H Converse               Carolinas     ( 6-11, 65.8)    19- 6   
 406 H Tiffin                 Independent   ( 2-13, 55.8)    20- 4   
 410 H Shepherd               Independent   ( 2-13, 54.8)    20- 4   
 413 H Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (11- 6, 70.2)    15-12   
 415 A Denison                North Coast   ( 7- 7, 73.9)    19-16   
 417 H Saint Vincent          Independent   ( 2-12, 65.8)    17- 3   
 423 A Adrian                 Independent   (14- 3, 79.0)     8-16   
 429 A Indiana Tech           Independent   ( 6- 6, 59.4)    19-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 N Lees-McRae             19- 1      18    11           0.00
   304 A Rollins                10-21     -11    -6    -     -3.11
   306 A Erskine                21- 1      20    14           0.00
   313 A Gannon                  4-14     -10    -7    -     -2.01
   317 A Detroit                10-16      -6    -7          n/a  
   320 A Monroe                 10-12      -2   -11          n/a  
   324 H Indiana Tech           14- 1      13     9           0.32
   327 H Mount St. Joseph       23- 1      22    10          n/a  
   330 H Converse               19- 6      13     3    +++    6.71
   406 H Tiffin                 20- 4      16    13           0.00
   410 H Shepherd               20- 4      16    14           0.00
   413 H Ohio Wesleyan          15-12       3    -1          n/a  
   415 A Denison                19-16       3    -7          n/a  
   417 H Saint Vincent          17- 3      14     3          n/a  
   423 A Adrian                  8-16      -8   -12          n/a  
   429 A Indiana Tech           19-13       6     7          -1.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Detroit                10-16   
   320 A Monroe                 10-12   
   327 H Mount St. Joseph       23- 1   
   413 H Ohio Wesleyan          15-12   
   415 A Denison                19-16   
   417 H Saint Vincent          17- 3   
   423 A Adrian                  8-16   
   317 A Detroit                10-16   
   320 A Monroe                 10-12   
   327 H Mount St. Joseph       23- 1   
   413 H Ohio Wesleyan          15-12   
   415 A Denison                19-16   
   417 H Saint Vincent          17- 3   
   423 A Adrian                  8-16   
   304 A Rollins                10-21     -11    -6    -     -3.11
   313 A Gannon                  4-14     -10    -7    -     -2.01
   317 A Detroit                10-16   
   320 A Monroe                 10-12   
   327 H Mount St. Joseph       23- 1   
   413 H Ohio Wesleyan          15-12   
   415 A Denison                19-16   
   417 H Saint Vincent          17- 3   
   423 A Adrian                  8-16   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Detroit                10-16   
   320 A Monroe                 10-12   
   327 H Mount St. Joseph       23- 1   
   330 H Converse               19- 6      13     3    +++    6.71
   413 H Ohio Wesleyan          15-12   
   415 A Denison                19-16   
   417 H Saint Vincent          17- 3   
   423 A Adrian                  8-16   
   317 A Detroit                10-16   
   320 A Monroe                 10-12   
   327 H Mount St. Joseph       23- 1   
   413 H Ohio Wesleyan          15-12   
   415 A Denison                19-16   
   417 H Saint Vincent          17- 3   
   423 A Adrian                  8-16   
   317 A Detroit                10-16   
   320 A Monroe                 10-12   
   327 H Mount St. Joseph       23- 1   
   413 H Ohio Wesleyan          15-12   
   415 A Denison                19-16   
   417 H Saint Vincent          17- 3   
   423 A Adrian                  8-16   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 67.89 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 32.01 Local SOS Rank.............    50
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    35
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/