Conf = Independent Region = NAIA State = OH Nickname = Falcons Coach = Torrey McGowanGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.9313660 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 227 N Lees-McRae Carolinas ( 2-12, 56.8) 19- 1 304 A Rollins Independent ( 9- 5, 73.6) 10-21 306 A Erskine Carolinas ( 0-17, 52.1) 21- 1 313 A Gannon PSAC Western (12- 7, 74.7) 4-14 317 A Detroit NLC ( 7-13, 73.7) 10-16 320 A Monroe (15- 3, 78.3) 10-12 324 H Indiana Tech Independent ( 6- 6, 59.4) 14- 1 327 H Mount St. Joseph Independent ( 1-11, 58.3) 23- 1 330 H Converse Carolinas ( 6-11, 65.8) 19- 6 406 H Tiffin Independent ( 2-13, 55.8) 20- 4 410 H Shepherd Independent ( 2-13, 54.8) 20- 4 413 H Ohio Wesleyan North Coast (11- 6, 70.2) 15-12 415 A Denison North Coast ( 7- 7, 73.9) 19-16 417 H Saint Vincent Independent ( 2-12, 65.8) 17- 3 423 A Adrian Independent (14- 3, 79.0) 8-16 429 A Indiana Tech Independent ( 6- 6, 59.4) 19-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 N Lees-McRae 19- 1 18 11 0.00 304 A Rollins 10-21 -11 -6 - -3.11 306 A Erskine 21- 1 20 14 0.00 313 A Gannon 4-14 -10 -7 - -2.01 317 A Detroit 10-16 -6 -7 n/a 320 A Monroe 10-12 -2 -11 n/a 324 H Indiana Tech 14- 1 13 9 0.32 327 H Mount St. Joseph 23- 1 22 10 n/a 330 H Converse 19- 6 13 3 +++ 6.71 406 H Tiffin 20- 4 16 13 0.00 410 H Shepherd 20- 4 16 14 0.00 413 H Ohio Wesleyan 15-12 3 -1 n/a 415 A Denison 19-16 3 -7 n/a 417 H Saint Vincent 17- 3 14 3 n/a 423 A Adrian 8-16 -8 -12 n/a 429 A Indiana Tech 19-13 6 7 -1.30UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Detroit 10-16 320 A Monroe 10-12 327 H Mount St. Joseph 23- 1 413 H Ohio Wesleyan 15-12 415 A Denison 19-16 417 H Saint Vincent 17- 3 423 A Adrian 8-16 317 A Detroit 10-16 320 A Monroe 10-12 327 H Mount St. Joseph 23- 1 413 H Ohio Wesleyan 15-12 415 A Denison 19-16 417 H Saint Vincent 17- 3 423 A Adrian 8-16 304 A Rollins 10-21 -11 -6 - -3.11 313 A Gannon 4-14 -10 -7 - -2.01 317 A Detroit 10-16 320 A Monroe 10-12 327 H Mount St. Joseph 23- 1 413 H Ohio Wesleyan 15-12 415 A Denison 19-16 417 H Saint Vincent 17- 3 423 A Adrian 8-16OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Detroit 10-16 320 A Monroe 10-12 327 H Mount St. Joseph 23- 1 330 H Converse 19- 6 13 3 +++ 6.71 413 H Ohio Wesleyan 15-12 415 A Denison 19-16 417 H Saint Vincent 17- 3 423 A Adrian 8-16 317 A Detroit 10-16 320 A Monroe 10-12 327 H Mount St. Joseph 23- 1 413 H Ohio Wesleyan 15-12 415 A Denison 19-16 417 H Saint Vincent 17- 3 423 A Adrian 8-16 317 A Detroit 10-16 320 A Monroe 10-12 327 H Mount St. Joseph 23- 1 413 H Ohio Wesleyan 15-12 415 A Denison 19-16 417 H Saint Vincent 17- 3 423 A Adrian 8-16/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 67.89 Local Power Rank........... 23 Local SOS Rating......... 32.01 Local SOS Rank............. 50 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 25 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 35 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 13.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0