Conf = NEWMAC Region = New England State = MA Nickname = Lyons Coach = Miriam EsberGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.6580505 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Western New England Comm. Coast (11- 8, 74.6) 13-22 311 H Westfield State NEWLA (11- 4, 71.0) 20-12 315 N Norwich Great Northea ( 9- 8, 66.5) 20- 5 317 N Keene State Little East (14- 5, 75.5) 17-16 318 N Ithaca Empire Eight (11- 6, 82.9) 6-14 325 H Bridgewater State NEWLA (15- 5, 77.0) 14-11 327 H Wheaton NEWMAC ( 5-11, 76.0) 9-17 331 A Eastern Connecticut Little East ( 9-10, 74.5) 15-13 403 A Babson NEWMAC (15- 4, 83.5) 11-15 410 H Wellesley NEWMAC ( 6-10, 75.3) 19-10 413 A Springfield NEWMAC (10- 8, 79.9) 12-11 2o 417 A MIT NEWMAC ( 9- 7, 75.0) 11-13 o 420 H Smith NEWMAC ( 4-13, 65.0) 16- 3 424 A Bard Skyline ( 1-10, 51.5) 20- 0 428 H Wheaton NEWMAC ( 5-11, 76.0) 15- 6 501 N Springfield NEWMAC (10- 8, 79.9) 10-17 515 N Husson North Atlanti (11- 3, 67.3) 20- 7 516 N Keene State Little East (14- 5, 75.5) 17-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Western New England 13-22 -9 3 --- -12.10 311 H Westfield State 20-12 8 6 1.32 315 N Norwich 20- 5 15 10 0.00 317 N Keene State 17-16 1 1 -0.19 318 N Ithaca 6-14 -8 -6 -1.72 325 H Bridgewater State 14-11 3 0 + 2.31 327 H Wheaton 9-17 -8 1 --- -9.68 331 A Eastern Connecticut 15-13 2 1 0.85 403 A Babson 11-15 -4 -7 + 3.90 410 H Wellesley 19-10 9 2 +++ 6.59 413 A Springfield 12-11 2o 1 -4 ++ 5.25 417 A MIT 11-13 o -2 0 - -2.60 420 H Smith 16- 3 13 12 0.00 424 A Bard 20- 0 20 24 0.00 428 H Wheaton 15- 6 9 1 +++ 7.32 501 N Springfield 10-17 -7 -3 - -3.76 515 N Husson 20- 7 13 9 0.65 516 N Keene State 17-18 -1 1 - -2.19UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Western New England 13-22 -9 3 --- -12.10 327 H Wheaton 9-17 -8 1 --- -9.68 417 A MIT 11-13 o -2 0 - -2.60 501 N Springfield 10-17 -7 -3 - -3.76 516 N Keene State 17-18 -1 1 - -2.19OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Wellesley 19-10 9 2 +++ 6.59 428 H Wheaton 15- 6 9 1 +++ 7.32 413 A Springfield 12-11 2o 1 -4 ++ 5.25 325 H Bridgewater State 14-11 3 0 + 2.31 403 A Babson 11-15 -4 -7 + 3.90/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.66 Local Power Rank........... 58 Local SOS Rating......... 47.49 Local SOS Rank............. 65 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 49 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 108 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 81 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7