Conf = Patriot League Region = Mid-Atlantic State = PA Nickname = Mountain Hawks Coach = Jill RedfernGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.4329681 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 220 H Mount Saint Mary's Northeast ( 8- 9, 79.4) 16- 4 227 A Delaware Colonial ( 6-10, 85.5) 12-11 306 A Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 ( 2-14, 80.6) 9- 7 309 H Le Moyne Independent ( 9- 6, 82.2) 14- 8 312 A Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 2-15, 74.5) 13- 2 316 A Fairfield Metro Atlanti (13- 5, 86.0) 14-13 2o 320 H Lafayette Patriot Leagu ( 3-14, 77.0) 20- 4 323 H UC Davis MPSF (11- 6, 84.0) 11- 9 327 A American Patriot Leagu ( 6-10, 82.0) 16-17 330 H Marist Metro Atlanti (10- 8, 81.6) 6- 8 403 A Canisius Metro Atlanti (10- 8, 80.6) 16- 5 407 H Penn State Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 91.2) 13-14 410 H Holy Cross Patriot Leagu ( 6-11, 83.5) 14- 7 412 H Albany America East (13- 3, 91.3) 17-14 417 H Navy Patriot Leagu (17- 4, 86.8) 15- 7 424 A Colgate Patriot Leagu ( 9- 8, 84.6) 15-12 430 H Holy Cross Patriot Leagu ( 6-11, 83.5) 9- 8 502 H Navy Patriot Leagu (17- 4, 86.8) 9-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Mount Saint Mary's 16- 4 12 9 0.65 227 A Delaware 12-11 1 0 0.46 306 A Saint Joseph's 9- 7 2 5 - -3.43 309 H Le Moyne 14- 8 6 6 -0.58 312 A Bucknell 13- 2 11 11 0.00 316 A Fairfield 14-13 2o 1 0 0.96 320 H Lafayette 20- 4 16 11 0.00 323 H UC Davis 11- 9 2 4 - -2.81 327 A American 16-17 -1 4 -- -5.05 330 H Marist 6- 8 -2 7 --- -9.18 403 A Canisius 16- 5 11 5 ++ 4.55 407 H Penn State 13-14 -1 -2 1.36 410 H Holy Cross 14- 7 7 5 1.66 412 H Albany 17-14 3 -2 ++ 5.55 417 H Navy 15- 7 8 1 +++ 6.01 424 A Colgate 15-12 3 1 1.57 430 H Holy Cross 9- 8 1 5 -- -4.34 502 H Navy 9-11 -2 1 - -3.99UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Marist 6- 8 -2 7 --- -9.18 327 A American 16-17 -1 4 -- -5.05 430 H Holy Cross 9- 8 1 5 -- -4.34 306 A Saint Joseph's 9- 7 2 5 - -3.43 323 H UC Davis 11- 9 2 4 - -2.81 502 H Navy 9-11 -2 1 - -3.99OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Navy 15- 7 8 1 +++ 6.01 403 A Canisius 16- 5 11 5 ++ 4.55 412 H Albany 17-14 3 -2 ++ 5.55/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.43 Local Power Rank........... 33 Local SOS Rating......... 63.83 Local SOS Rank............. 56 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 20 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 48 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 23 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7