Conf = Atlantic 10 Region = South State = DC Nickname = Colonials Coach = Tara HannafordGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.3598785 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Drexel Colonial (10- 7, 84.7) 6-13 224 H American Patriot Leagu ( 6-10, 82.0) 12-11 o 227 H James Madison Colonial (17- 3, 93.6) 2-11 303 A George Mason Colonial ( 3-14, 82.4) 7- 9 307 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 6-11, 83.8) 9- 8 310 H Mount Saint Mary's Northeast ( 8- 9, 79.4) 14-15 2o 313 A Towson Colonial (13- 5, 92.7) 4-14 317 H Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 90.8) 11-21 320 A Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 90.5) 11-19 326 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (10-10, 86.7) 7-13 328 H Temple Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.1) 7-11 402 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 9, 86.3) 6-17 409 H Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 ( 2-14, 80.6) 11- 9 411 A La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 9- 7, 82.7) 7- 6 2o 416 A St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 80.5) 19-14 418 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 8- 9, 81.9) 10-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Drexel 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.30 224 H American 12-11 o 1 0 0.29 227 H James Madison 2-11 -9 -10 1.00 303 A George Mason 7- 9 -2 -2 0.44 307 H Virginia Tech 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.05 310 H Mount Saint Mary's 14-15 2o -1 3 -- -4.28 313 A Towson 4-14 -10 -12 0.00 317 H Johns Hopkins 11-21 -10 -8 -1.96 320 A Ohio State 11-19 -8 -10 + 2.00 326 H Massachusetts 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.06 328 H Temple 7-11 -4 0 - -3.58 402 A Richmond 6-17 -11 -6 - -3.73 409 H Saint Joseph's 11- 9 2 2 -0.09 411 A La Salle 7- 6 2o 1 -2 + 3.68 416 A St. Bonaventure 19-14 5 0 ++ 5.48 418 A Duquesne 10-12 -2 -1 -0.09UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Mount Saint Mary's 14-15 2o -1 3 -- -4.28 221 A Drexel 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.30 326 H Massachusetts 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.06 328 H Temple 7-11 -4 0 - -3.58 402 A Richmond 6-17 -11 -6 - -3.73OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A St. Bonaventure 19-14 5 0 ++ 5.48 307 H Virginia Tech 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.05 320 A Ohio State 11-19 -8 -10 + 2.00 411 A La Salle 7- 6 2o 1 -2 + 3.68/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.36 Local Power Rank........... 63 Local SOS Rating......... 67.16 Local SOS Rank............. 46 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 66 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 36 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 68 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3