Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = South        State = DC
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Tara Hannaford          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.3598785    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 221 A Drexel                 Colonial      (10- 7, 84.7)     6-13   
 224 H American               Patriot Leagu ( 6-10, 82.0)    12-11  o
 227 H James Madison          Colonial      (17- 3, 93.6)     2-11   
 303 A George Mason           Colonial      ( 3-14, 82.4)     7- 9   
 307 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 6-11, 83.8)     9- 8   
 310 H Mount Saint Mary's     Northeast     ( 8- 9, 79.4)    14-15 2o
 313 A Towson                 Colonial      (13- 5, 92.7)     4-14   
 317 H Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 90.8)    11-21   
 320 A Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 90.5)    11-19   
 326 H Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (10-10, 86.7)     7-13   
 328 H Temple                 Atlantic 10   ( 7-10, 83.1)     7-11   
 402 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (10- 9, 86.3)     6-17   
 409 H Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 2-14, 80.6)    11- 9   
 411 A La Salle               Atlantic 10   ( 9- 7, 82.7)     7- 6 2o
 416 A St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 7- 9, 80.5)    19-14   
 418 A Duquesne               Atlantic 10   ( 8- 9, 81.9)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Drexel                  6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.30
   224 H American               12-11  o    1     0           0.29
   227 H James Madison           2-11      -9   -10           1.00
   303 A George Mason            7- 9      -2    -2           0.44
   307 H Virginia Tech           9- 8       1    -1    +      2.05
   310 H Mount Saint Mary's     14-15 2o   -1     3    --    -4.28
   313 A Towson                  4-14     -10   -12           0.00
   317 H Johns Hopkins          11-21     -10    -8          -1.96
   320 A Ohio State             11-19      -8   -10    +      2.00
   326 H Massachusetts           7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.06
   328 H Temple                  7-11      -4     0    -     -3.58
   402 A Richmond                6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.73
   409 H Saint Joseph's         11- 9       2     2          -0.09
   411 A La Salle                7- 6 2o    1    -2    +      3.68
   416 A St. Bonaventure        19-14       5     0    ++     5.48
   418 A Duquesne               10-12      -2    -1          -0.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Mount Saint Mary's     14-15 2o   -1     3    --    -4.28
   221 A Drexel                  6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.30
   326 H Massachusetts           7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.06
   328 H Temple                  7-11      -4     0    -     -3.58
   402 A Richmond                6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.73

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A St. Bonaventure        19-14       5     0    ++     5.48
   307 H Virginia Tech           9- 8       1    -1    +      2.05
   320 A Ohio State             11-19      -8   -10    +      2.00
   411 A La Salle                7- 6 2o    1    -2    +      3.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.36 Local Power Rank...........    63
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.16 Local SOS Rank.............    46
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    66
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    68
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/