Conf = PSAC Western               Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Knights                Coach  = Steve Wagner            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.6842041    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 A Limestone              Carolinas     (18- 2, 77.6)     6-19   
 303 A Erskine                Carolinas     ( 0-17, 52.1)    23- 0   
 306 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     ( 9- 9, 70.2)    18-11   
 313 H Notre Dame (OH)        Independent   (11- 5, 67.9)    14- 4   
 317 A Lock Haven             PSAC Western  (16- 2, 81.0)     6-18   
 320 H Mercyhurst             PSAC Western  (16- 2, 75.1)     9-10   
 325 H Indiana (PA)           PSAC Western  ( 8- 9, 67.8)    21- 8   
 327 A Millersville           PSAC Eastern  ( 3-11, 67.6)    17- 4   
 331 A Edinboro               PSAC Western  ( 3-14, 64.3)    21- 8   
 401 H Slippery Rock          PSAC Western  ( 7-10, 67.6)    21- 7   
 407 H Lock Haven             PSAC Western  (16- 2, 81.0)    15-17   
 410 H West Chester           PSAC Eastern  (19- 2, 76.6)    11-12 2o
 412 A Mercyhurst             PSAC Western  (16- 2, 75.1)    10-11   
 415 A Indiana (PA)           PSAC Western  ( 8- 9, 67.8)    16- 6   
 418 H Shippensburg           PSAC Eastern  ( 8- 9, 68.7)    15-12   
 421 H Edinboro               PSAC Western  ( 3-14, 64.3)    16- 3   
 424 A Slippery Rock          PSAC Western  ( 7-10, 67.6)    18-11   
 427 A Mercyhurst             PSAC Western  (16- 2, 75.1)    15- 9   
 430 A West Chester           PSAC Eastern  (19- 2, 76.6)    18-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Limestone               6-19     -13    -4    --    -5.89
   303 A Erskine                23- 0      23    21           0.00
   306 A Belmont Abbey          18-11       7     3    +      3.68
   313 H Notre Dame (OH)        14- 4      10     7    +      2.01
   317 A Lock Haven              6-18     -12    -7    -     -2.46
   320 H Mercyhurst              9-10      -1     0          -1.78
   325 H Indiana (PA)           21- 8      13     8           1.89
   327 A Millersville           17- 4      13     5    ++     4.06
   331 A Edinboro               21- 8      13     9           0.77
   401 H Slippery Rock          21- 7      14     8           1.71
   407 H Lock Haven             15-17      -2    -5    +      3.16
   410 H West Chester           11-12 2o   -1     0          -0.26
   412 A Mercyhurst             10-11      -1    -1           0.59
   415 A Indiana (PA)           16- 6      10     5    ++     4.26
   418 H Shippensburg           15-12       3     7    --    -4.13
   421 H Edinboro               16- 3      13    11           0.00
   424 A Slippery Rock          18-11       7     5           1.09
   427 A Mercyhurst             15- 9       6    -1    +++    7.59
   430 A West Chester           18-19      -1    -3    +      2.12

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Limestone               6-19     -13    -4    --    -5.89
   418 H Shippensburg           15-12       3     7    --    -4.13
   317 A Lock Haven              6-18     -12    -7    -     -2.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Mercyhurst             15- 9       6    -1    +++    7.59
   327 A Millersville           17- 4      13     5    ++     4.06
   415 A Indiana (PA)           16- 6      10     5    ++     4.26
   306 A Belmont Abbey          18-11       7     3    +      3.68
   313 H Notre Dame (OH)        14- 4      10     7    +      2.01
   407 H Lock Haven             15-17      -2    -5    +      3.16
   430 A West Chester           18-19      -1    -3    +      2.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.68 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 42.79 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   13.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
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