Conf = PSAC Eastern               Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Warriors               Coach  = Lynne Elphick           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.6845703    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 A Queens                 Carolinas     ( 7-10, 67.9)    14-13  o
 310 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     ( 9- 9, 70.2)    11- 9   
 317 H Bloomsburg             PSAC Eastern  (13- 6, 74.0)     5-13   
 320 H Philadelphia           CACC          ( 7-11, 66.1)    17- 6   
 323 H Kutztown               PSAC Eastern  ( 3-14, 65.2)    20- 7   
 325 A Millersville           PSAC Eastern  ( 3-11, 67.6)    16- 9   
 327 H Slippery Rock          PSAC Western  ( 7-10, 67.6)    19- 9   
 331 A West Chester           PSAC Eastern  (19- 2, 76.6)     7-25   
 403 H Shippensburg           PSAC Eastern  ( 8- 9, 68.7)    17-12   
 406 A Bloomsburg             PSAC Eastern  (13- 6, 74.0)     5-13   
 410 A Mercyhurst             PSAC Western  (16- 2, 75.1)     9-20   
 412 H Kutztown               PSAC Eastern  ( 3-14, 65.2)    16-12   
 415 H Millersville           PSAC Eastern  ( 3-11, 67.6)    14- 7   
 417 A Dowling                East Coast    (11- 6, 74.0)    10-13   
 419 H Georgian Court         CACC          (17- 2, 69.1)    16- 8   
 421 H West Chester           PSAC Eastern  (19- 2, 76.6)     9-16   
 424 A Shippensburg           PSAC Eastern  ( 8- 9, 68.7)    12- 9   
 427 A Bloomsburg             PSAC Eastern  (13- 6, 74.0)    15-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Queens                 14-13  o    1     0           0.36
   310 A Belmont Abbey          11- 9       2    -1    +      3.68
   317 H Bloomsburg              5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.91
   320 H Philadelphia           17- 6      11     4    ++     5.26
   323 H Kutztown               20- 7      13     5    ++     4.37
   325 A Millersville           16- 9       7     0    +++    6.06
   327 H Slippery Rock          19- 9      10     3    +++    6.71
   331 A West Chester            7-25     -18    -8          -1.88
   403 H Shippensburg           17-12       5     2    +      2.87
   406 A Bloomsburg              5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.53
   410 A Mercyhurst              9-20     -11    -6    -     -3.41
   412 H Kutztown               16-12       4     5          -1.63
   415 H Millersville           14- 7       7     3    +      3.68
   417 A Dowling                10-13      -3    -5    +      2.47
   419 H Georgian Court         16- 8       8     1    +++    6.24
   421 H West Chester            9-16      -7    -5          -1.26
   424 A Shippensburg           12- 9       3     0    +      3.25
   427 A Bloomsburg             15-19      -4    -5           1.47

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Bloomsburg              5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.91
   406 A Bloomsburg              5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.53
   410 A Mercyhurst              9-20     -11    -6    -     -3.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Millersville           16- 9       7     0    +++    6.06
   327 H Slippery Rock          19- 9      10     3    +++    6.71
   419 H Georgian Court         16- 8       8     1    +++    6.24
   320 H Philadelphia           17- 6      11     4    ++     5.26
   323 H Kutztown               20- 7      13     5    ++     4.37
   310 A Belmont Abbey          11- 9       2    -1    +      3.68
   403 H Shippensburg           17-12       5     2    +      2.87
   415 H Millersville           14- 7       7     3    +      3.68
   417 A Dowling                10-13      -3    -5    +      2.47
   424 A Shippensburg           12- 9       3     0    +      3.25
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.68 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 41.89 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
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