Erie                          9 - 5


 
                                                           State = NY
   Nickname = Kats                   Coach  = Nick Wagner             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   82.0613327    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Cayuga                               ( 2-10, 55.9)    18- 6   
 329 A Herkimer                             ( 7- 6, 67.1)    10-14   
 401 H Jefferson                            ( 6- 8, 64.8)    13-10   
 403 A Broome                               ( 4- 8, 60.8)    10-17   
 406 A Dean                                 ( 0- 7, 56.8)    16- 6   
 407 A Dean                                 ( 0- 7, 56.8)    13- 3   
 410 A Monroe                               (15- 3, 78.3)     4-23   
 413 H Niagara CC                           ( 0- 8, 55.6)    12- 4   
 417 H Broome                               ( 4- 8, 60.8)    11- 9   
 420 A Cayuga                               ( 2-10, 55.9)    19- 9   
 422 A Niagara CC                           ( 0- 8, 55.6)    12- 6   
 424 H Onondaga                             (14- 2, 81.9)     3-27   
 425 H Herkimer                             ( 7- 6, 67.1)    12- 7   
 501 N Monroe                               (15- 3, 78.3)     2-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Cayuga                 18- 6      12     8           1.85
   329 A Herkimer               10-14      -4    -3          -0.96
   401 H Jefferson              13-10       3     0    +      3.68
   403 A Broome                 10-17      -7     3    ---  -10.21
   406 A Dean                   16- 6      10     7    +      2.77
   407 A Dean                   13- 3      10     7    +      2.77
   410 A Monroe                  4-23     -19   -14           0.00
   413 H Niagara CC             12- 4       8     8          -0.45
   417 H Broome                 11- 9       2     3          -1.23
   420 A Cayuga                 19- 9      10     8           1.87
   422 A Niagara CC             12- 6       6     8    -     -2.43
   424 H Onondaga                3-27     -24   -17           0.00
   425 H Herkimer               12- 7       5    -3    +++    8.02
   501 N Monroe                  2-13     -11   -14           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Broome                 10-17      -7     3    ---  -10.21
   422 A Niagara CC             12- 6       6     8    -     -2.43


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Herkimer               12- 7       5    -3    +++    8.02
   401 H Jefferson              13-10       3     0    +      3.68
   406 A Dean                   16- 6      10     7    +      2.77
   407 A Dean                   13- 3      10     7    +      2.77




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.06 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 34.00 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0


  
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