Conf = Atlantic 10 Region = West/Midwest State = PA Nickname = Dukes Coach = Michael ScerboGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.9050140 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 220 N Stony Brook America East ( 3-12, 82.5) 8-16 222 A Denver MPSF (13- 5, 89.8) 6-20 227 A Notre Dame Big East (11- 7, 91.6) 10-15 305 N Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 90.5) 6-16 307 A Cincinnati Big East ( 5-12, 80.7) 14-13 2o 312 A Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (20- 2, 99.9) 1-23 314 A Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 2-15, 74.5) 15- 8 319 H Detroit NLC ( 7-13, 73.7) 20- 4 321 H Canisius Metro Atlanti (10- 8, 80.6) 16- 8 326 A Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 ( 2-14, 80.6) 13-10 328 A La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 9- 7, 82.7) 11-13 401 H St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 80.5) 14-18 403 H Robert Morris Northeast ( 7- 8, 76.9) 17-14 409 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (10-10, 86.7) 12-10 411 A Temple Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.1) 17-18 416 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 9, 86.3) 10-17 418 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 5-11, 81.4) 12-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 N Stony Brook 8-16 -8 0 --- -7.45 222 A Denver 6-20 -14 -9 -0.69 227 A Notre Dame 10-15 -5 -11 ++ 5.00 305 N Ohio State 6-16 -10 -8 -1.39 307 A Cincinnati 14-13 2o 1 0 1.20 312 A Northwestern 1-23 -22 -19 0.00 314 A Bucknell 15- 8 7 6 0.97 319 H Detroit 20- 4 16 9 0.47 321 H Canisius 16- 8 8 2 ++ 5.34 326 A Saint Joseph's 13-10 3 0 + 3.10 328 A La Salle 11-13 -2 -2 0.13 401 H St. Bonaventure 14-18 -4 2 --- -6.80 403 H Robert Morris 17-14 3 6 - -3.36 409 H Massachusetts 12-10 2 -3 ++ 5.39 411 A Temple 17-18 -1 -2 1.61 416 H Richmond 10-17 -7 -2 -- -4.01 418 H George Washington 12-10 2 1 0.09UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 N Stony Brook 8-16 -8 0 --- -7.45 401 H St. Bonaventure 14-18 -4 2 --- -6.80 416 H Richmond 10-17 -7 -2 -- -4.01 403 H Robert Morris 17-14 3 6 - -3.36OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Notre Dame 10-15 -5 -11 ++ 5.00 321 H Canisius 16- 8 8 2 ++ 5.34 409 H Massachusetts 12-10 2 -3 ++ 5.39 326 A Saint Joseph's 13-10 3 0 + 3.10/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.91 Local Power Rank........... 59 Local SOS Rating......... 64.71 Local SOS Rank............. 53 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 57 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 31 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 53 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 13.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 7.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0