Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = New York     State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Kathy Taylor            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.5669556    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 A Washington & Lee       Old Dominion  (14- 5, 82.1)    13- 8   
 319 A Roanoke                Old Dominion  ( 9- 7, 79.0)    18-12   
 323 H Hamilton               Liberty Leagu (21- 1, 89.9)     7- 8   
 325 A Rochester              Liberty Leagu ( 2-14, 73.3)    16- 7   
 327 H Ithaca                 Empire Eight  (11- 6, 82.9)    13- 8   
 402 H Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 6-10, 73.4)    19- 1   
 403 A Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 7-10, 73.9)    17- 4   
 409 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 8- 8, 81.3)     8- 7   
 410 H Brockport              SUNYAC        (13- 4, 85.5)     9- 6   
 414 A William Smith          Liberty Leagu ( 8- 7, 80.5)    13-14   
 416 H Buffalo State          SUNYAC        (10- 6, 82.7)    16- 9   
 417 A Fredonia               SUNYAC        ( 9- 8, 78.7)     9- 7   
 420 A Union                  Liberty Leagu (11- 7, 86.8)    13-12  o
 423 A Oneonta                SUNYAC        (10- 5, 80.6)    18-10   
 424 H New Paltz              SUNYAC        ( 4-11, 68.5)    20- 3   
 502 H College of New Jersey  Independent   (16- 4, 85.7)    14-10   
 507 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 8- 8, 81.3)    15- 4   
 508 H Brockport              SUNYAC        (13- 4, 85.5)    10- 4   
 512 H Norwich                Great Northea ( 9- 8, 66.5)    19- 3   
 515 N Colby                  NESCAC        (15- 5, 85.4)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Washington & Lee       13- 8       5     3           1.58
   319 A Roanoke                18-12       6     6          -0.57
   323 H Hamilton                7- 8      -1    -2           1.32
   325 A Rochester              16- 7       9    12          -1.00
   327 H Ithaca                 13- 8       5     4           0.35
   402 H Potsdam                19- 1      18    14           0.00
   403 A Oswego                 17- 4      13    11           0.00
   409 A Geneseo                 8- 7       1     4    -     -3.29
   410 H Brockport               9- 6       3     2           0.94
   414 A William Smith          13-14      -1     5    ---   -6.04
   416 H Buffalo State          16- 9       7     4    +      2.11
   417 A Fredonia                9- 7       2     6    --    -4.87
   420 A Union                  13-12  o    1    -1    +      2.22
   423 A Oneonta                18-10       8     4    +      3.01
   424 H New Paltz              20- 3      17    19           0.00
   502 H College of New Jersey  14-10       4     1    +      2.11
   507 H Geneseo                15- 4      11     6    +      3.68
   508 H Brockport              10- 4       6     2    +      3.94
   512 H Norwich                19- 3      16    21           0.00
   515 N Colby                   9-10      -1     1    -     -2.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A William Smith          13-14      -1     5    ---   -6.04
   417 A Fredonia                9- 7       2     6    --    -4.87
   409 A Geneseo                 8- 7       1     4    -     -3.29
   515 N Colby                   9-10      -1     1    -     -2.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Buffalo State          16- 9       7     4    +      2.11
   420 A Union                  13-12  o    1    -1    +      2.22
   423 A Oneonta                18-10       8     4    +      3.01
   502 H College of New Jersey  14-10       4     1    +      2.11
   507 H Geneseo                15- 4      11     6    +      3.68
   508 H Brockport              10- 4       6     2    +      3.94
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.57 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.15 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.0
/