Conf = NEWLA                      Region = New England  State = MA
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Erika Smith             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.9804993    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 N Vassar                 Liberty Leagu ( 8- 8, 76.8)    14-13   
 309 N St. Lawrence           Liberty Leagu (12- 5, 80.8)    15-16   
 316 A Salve Regina           Comm. Coast   ( 7-11, 67.1)    19- 9   
 318 H Wellesley              NEWMAC        ( 6-10, 75.3)    17- 9   
 322 A Roger Williams         Comm. Coast   (14- 5, 73.6)    11-13   
 325 A Mount Holyoke          NEWMAC        (11- 7, 76.7)    11-14   
 401 H Wheaton                NEWMAC        ( 5-11, 76.0)    18-14   
 403 A Castleton State        NEWLA         (13- 6, 70.6)    14-17   
 405 H MIT                    NEWMAC        ( 9- 7, 75.0)    15-13   
 408 H Worcester State        NEWLA         ( 5- 6, 64.3)    23- 9   
 410 H Becker                 NEWLA         ( 5-10, 56.6)    22- 2   
 415 H Plymouth State         Little East   (10- 6, 73.2)    20- 8   
 417 A Elms                   NEWLA         ( 0-15, 47.5)    26- 1   
 424 A Fitchburg State        NEWLA         (10- 7, 68.1)    20-11   
 427 H Westfield State        NEWLA         (11- 4, 71.0)    19-11   
 429 H Eastern Connecticut    Little East   ( 9-10, 74.5)    20-10   
 501 H Framingham State       NEWLA         ( 6- 8, 64.1)    23-12   
 505 H Fitchburg State        NEWLA         (10- 7, 68.1)    16-11   
 508 H Castleton State        NEWLA         (13- 6, 70.6)    21- 9   
 512 A Trinity (CT)           NESCAC        (15- 4, 87.6)     3-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 N Vassar                 14-13       1     0           0.86
   309 N St. Lawrence           15-16      -1    -3    +      2.79
   316 A Salve Regina           19- 9      10     8           1.12
   318 H Wellesley              17- 9       8     2    ++     5.27
   322 A Roger Williams         11-13      -2     2    --    -4.35
   325 A Mount Holyoke          11-14      -3     0    -     -2.31
   401 H Wheaton                18-14       4     1    +      2.00
   403 A Castleton State        14-17      -3     5    ---   -8.36
   405 H MIT                    15-13       2     2          -0.95
   408 H Worcester State        23- 9      14    13           0.00
   410 H Becker                 22- 2      20    21           0.00
   415 H Plymouth State         20- 8      12     4    ++     5.24
   417 A Elms                   26- 1      25    28           0.00
   424 A Fitchburg State        20-11       9     7           1.16
   427 H Westfield State        19-11       8     7           1.00
   429 H Eastern Connecticut    20-10      10     3    +++    6.49
   501 H Framingham State       23-12      11    13           0.00
   505 H Fitchburg State        16-11       5     9    --    -4.87
   508 H Castleton State        21- 9      12     7    +      2.61
   512 A Trinity (CT)            3-19     -16   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Castleton State        14-17      -3     5    ---   -8.36
   322 A Roger Williams         11-13      -2     2    --    -4.35
   505 H Fitchburg State        16-11       5     9    --    -4.87
   325 A Mount Holyoke          11-14      -3     0    -     -2.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Eastern Connecticut    20-10      10     3    +++    6.49
   318 H Wellesley              17- 9       8     2    ++     5.27
   415 H Plymouth State         20- 8      12     4    ++     5.24
   309 N St. Lawrence           15-16      -1    -3    +      2.79
   401 H Wheaton                18-14       4     1    +      2.00
   508 H Castleton State        21- 9      12     7    +      2.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.98 Local Power Rank...........    54
 Local SOS Rating......... 43.39 Local SOS Rank.............    86
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   17.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   20.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
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