2009 NCAA Women's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Northwestern Amer. Lac. Con 23 0 1 5 1 1 3 1 5 68.00 2 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 16 5 7 1 3 3 1 3 7 2.00 3 Penn Ivy League 15 3 4 8 4 4 4 4 12 4.00 4 Duke Atlantic Coast 15 6 3 6 5 6 2 5 13 4.00 5 Maryland Atlantic Coast 21 1 2 7 2 2 10 2 14 13.00 6 Syracuse Big East 14 5 5 10 8 5 8 8 21 7.00 7 Notre Dame Big East 16 5 6 11 6 7 12 6 25 1.00 8 Georgetown Big East 13 6 11 12 11 9 6 11 26 1.00 9 Princeton Ivy League 14 4 8 14 7 8 13 7 28 0.10 10 Virginia Atlantic Coast 11 8 10 2 13 11 5 14 30 0.10 11 Penn State Amer. Lac. Con 9 8 18 3 16 10 7 16 33 0.10 12 Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Con 10 7 13 4 14 12 9 15 36 0.10 13 Stanford MPSF 14 4 12 35 10 14 16 9 39 0.10 14 Dartmouth Ivy League 8 8 24 9 23 15 11 22 48 0.10 15 Boston Universit America East 15 4 9 22 9 13 27 10 50 0.10 16 Ohio State Amer. Lac. Con 11 6 14 24 15 20 22 13 55 0.10 17 Towson Colonial 13 6 17 23 19 17 19 20 56 0.10 18 Cornell Ivy League 9 7 25 15 21 18 20 24 62 0.10 19 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 17 3 16 63 12 16 34 12 62 0.10 20 Loyola Big East 11 6 15 26 18 21 28 17 66 0.10 21 Colgate Patriot League 14 5 22 55 20 23 29 19 71 0.10 22 William & Mary Colonial 10 7 20 18 26 19 24 29 72 0.10 23 Louisville Big East 10 7 28 38 25 26 30 25 81 0.10 24 Boston College Atlantic Coast 9 9 26 34 34 28 18 36 82 0.10 25 Rutgers Big East 7 9 35 17 39 27 17 38 82 0.10 26 California MPSF 8 11 53 20 38 32 15 41 88 0.10 27 Denver MPSF 10 8 32 40 32 34 21 33 88 0.10 28 Hofstra Colonial 10 6 21 31 27 24 38 26 88 0.10 29 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 11 8 31 29 31 29 31 32 92 0.10 30 Old Dominion Colonial 11 5 23 32 22 22 50 21 93 0.10 31 Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Con 5 12 42 13 46 37 14 45 96 0.10 32 New Hampshire America East 12 7 19 39 28 30 39 27 96 0.10 33 Delaware Colonial 10 8 27 28 41 25 35 43 103 0.10 34 Lehigh Patriot League 11 6 30 56 35 31 43 34 108 0.10 35 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 7 10 41 19 48 38 25 48 111 0.10 36 Brown Ivy League 7 8 44 36 45 35 41 40 116 0.10 37 Oregon MPSF 12 5 29 59 24 36 59 23 118 0.10 38 James Madison Colonial 5 11 34 16 56 40 23 58 121 0.10 39 Marist Metro Atlantic 12 5 45 69 30 33 61 28 122 0.10 40 Harvard Ivy League 6 10 43 21 50 39 36 50 125 0.10 41 Yale Ivy League 5 11 50 27 59 47 26 56 129 0.10 42 Columbia Ivy League 9 7 49 52 36 45 52 35 132 0.10 43 Navy Patriot League 13 5 39 76 29 41 65 31 137 0.10 44 Duquesne Atlantic 10 9 8 48 47 40 43 53 42 138 0.10 45 Albany America East 9 8 37 44 44 42 51 47 140 0.10 46 UMBC America East 9 8 33 48 43 48 46 46 140 0.10 47 Quinnipiac Northeast 13 3 38 84 17 44 81 18 143 0.10 48 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 11 5 55 79 33 46 70 30 146 0.10 49 Richmond Atlantic 10 6 12 52 30 61 53 33 61 147 0.10 50 Cincinnati Big East 7 10 61 42 49 58 44 49 151 0.10 51 Canisius Metro Atlantic 8 10 58 62 58 54 40 59 153 0.10 52 Vermont America East 9 8 47 50 47 49 60 44 153 0.10 53 George Mason Colonial 6 10 40 33 57 50 47 57 154 0.10 54 Sacred Heart Northeast 12 7 54 77 42 52 63 39 154 0.10 55 Bucknell Patriot League 9 9 56 61 55 56 49 55 160 0.10 56 Connecticut Big East 3 13 62 25 73 55 32 73 160 0.10 57 Drexel Colonial 8 9 46 43 52 51 57 52 160 0.10 58 Mount Saint Mary Northeast 6 11 67 60 67 62 37 67 166 0.10 59 Longwood Independent 11 6 51 80 37 59 77 37 173 0.10 60 Stony Brook America East 4 12 63 37 75 60 42 77 179 0.10 61 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 10 8 36 57 51 57 72 51 180 0.10 62 Iona Metro Atlantic 5 10 71 64 66 61 58 66 185 0.10 63 UC Davis MPSF 6 12 75 66 72 68 45 72 185 0.10 64 Holy Cross Patriot League 5 11 66 46 69 64 56 69 189 0.10 65 Robert Morris Northeast 9 8 57 81 53 63 73 53 189 0.10 66 Le Moyne Independent 5 12 68 58 71 65 54 71 190 0.10 67 Siena Metro Atlantic 6 10 70 71 65 67 69 65 201 0.10 68 Binghamton America East 3 13 73 41 78 70 55 79 204 0.10 69 Monmouth Northeast 7 11 64 74 68 71 67 68 206 0.10 70 Villanova Independent 8 8 65 82 54 72 83 54 209 0.10 71 George Washingto Atlantic 10 5 12 60 45 70 69 71 70 210 0.10 72 Davidson Independent 6 10 74 54 62 66 82 63 211 0.10 73 Lafayette Patriot League 2 15 80 53 87 76 48 87 211 0.10 74 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 7 10 59 70 64 74 76 64 214 0.10 75 Temple Atlantic 10 4 12 69 51 76 75 66 75 216 0.10 76 Detroit Independent 5 9 79 83 60 78 79 60 217 0.10 77 Niagara Metro Atlantic 4 11 82 72 63 73 85 62 220 0.10 78 American Patriot League 3 13 72 49 81 77 64 83 224 0.10 79 St. Mary's (CA) MPSF 3 13 78 67 82 81 62 82 225 0.10 80 Long Island U. Northeast 4 13 83 78 84 80 68 81 229 0.10 81 La Salle Atlantic 10 4 12 76 65 79 79 80 78 237 0.10 82 Wagner Northeast 4 13 77 73 85 82 74 84 240 0.10 83 Bryant Independent 3 13 81 75 83 83 75 85 243 0.10 84 Presbyterian Independent 3 11 85 88 74 84 87 74 245 0.10 85 Fresno State MPSF 0 14 87 68 86 85 78 86 249 0.10 86 Howard Independent 1 13 88 86 77 87 88 76 251 0.10 87 Saint Francis Northeast 1 12 86 87 80 88 86 80 254 0.10 88 Central Connecti Northeast 1 15 84 85 88 86 84 88 258 0.10