Conf = NESCAC Region = New England State = MA Nickname = Ephs Coach = Chris MasonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.6604843 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 307 H Colby NESCAC (16- 2, 82.1) 8- 9 312 H MIT NEWMAC (13- 5, 69.7) 17- 6 314 A Bates NESCAC ( 8- 8, 77.0) 13- 9 317 H Rensselaer Liberty Leagu ( 8- 7, 70.1) 13- 6 321 A Tufts NESCAC (16- 3, 80.7) 15-13 328 H Trinity (CT) NESCAC (10- 4, 78.0) 13-14 329 H Union Liberty Leagu (15- 4, 80.6) 9- 7 401 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 4-10, 67.7) 13- 6 404 A Amherst NESCAC ( 6- 8, 71.6) 7- 8 411 A Bowdoin NESCAC ( 8- 7, 72.2) 7-10 415 A Skidmore Liberty Leagu ( 6- 9, 66.5) 16- 5 418 H Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC ( 6- 9, 71.2) 17- 9 421 A Springfield NEWMAC (12- 6, 73.2) 15-11 422 H Redlands Independent ( 6- 8, 59.2) 12- 0 424 H Middlebury NESCAC (11- 6, 80.2) 12-18 426 A Trinity (CT) NESCAC (10- 4, 78.0) 15-13 502 A Tufts NESCAC (16- 3, 80.7) 11-10 o 503 N Colby NESCAC (16- 2, 82.1) 10-12 506 H Endicott Comm. Coast (15- 5, 71.5) 19- 9 509 N Hamilton Liberty Leagu (16- 3, 82.2) 7- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Colby 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.09 312 H MIT 17- 6 11 9 0.68 314 A Bates 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.49 317 H Rensselaer 13- 6 7 8 -1.92 321 A Tufts 15-13 2 -4 +++ 6.15 328 H Trinity (CT) 13-14 -1 0 -1.97 329 H Union 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.58 401 H Connecticut College 13- 6 7 11 - -3.00 404 A Amherst 7- 8 -1 4 -- -5.96 411 A Bowdoin 7-10 -3 4 --- -7.32 415 A Skidmore 16- 5 11 10 0.00 418 H Wesleyan (CT) 17- 9 8 7 0.23 421 A Springfield 15-11 4 3 0.67 422 H Redlands 12- 0 12 19 0.00 424 H Middlebury 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.80 426 A Trinity (CT) 15-13 2 -1 + 3.48 502 A Tufts 11-10 o 1 -4 ++ 5.15 503 N Colby 10-12 -2 -4 + 2.32 506 H Endicott 19- 9 10 7 + 2.49 509 N Hamilton 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.45UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Bowdoin 7-10 -3 4 --- -7.32 404 A Amherst 7- 8 -1 4 -- -5.96 424 H Middlebury 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.80 401 H Connecticut College 13- 6 7 11 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Tufts 15-13 2 -4 +++ 6.15 314 A Bates 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.49 502 A Tufts 11-10 o 1 -4 ++ 5.15 307 H Colby 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.09 329 H Union 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.58 426 A Trinity (CT) 15-13 2 -1 + 3.48 503 N Colby 10-12 -2 -4 + 2.32 506 H Endicott 19- 9 10 7 + 2.49 509 N Hamilton 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.45/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 77.77 Local Power Rank........... 19 Local SOS Rating......... 48.89 Local SOS Rank............. 9 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 15 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 180 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 17 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3