Conf = MPSF Region = West/Midwest State = OR Nickname = Ducks Coach = Jen LarsenGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.5853882 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Stanford MPSF (14- 4, 86.8) 5-17 214 H UC Davis MPSF ( 6-12, 68.1) 13- 6 220 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas (16- 5, 89.3) 6-15 222 N Stony Brook America East ( 4-12, 71.4) 11- 8 306 H Fresno State MPSF ( 0-14, 52.6) 20- 0 308 H Vermont America East ( 9- 8, 76.6) 10- 6 315 H Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-12, 77.1) 12-10 321 H Colgate Patriot Leagu (14- 5, 82.8) 14-11 324 A Brown Ivy League ( 7- 8, 77.0) 10- 9 326 N Delaware Colonial (10- 8, 80.6) 5- 6 328 A Le Moyne Independent ( 5-12, 70.2) 17-11 404 A Denver MPSF (10- 8, 79.6) 11- 9 411 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 7-10, 77.2) 15-10 417 A California MPSF ( 8-11, 75.8) 12-13 o 419 A St. Mary's (CA) MPSF ( 3-13, 64.6) 17-10 423 N Fresno State MPSF ( 0-14, 52.6) 19- 2 424 N California MPSF ( 8-11, 75.8) 9-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Stanford 5-17 -12 -5 -- -4.53 214 H UC Davis 13- 6 7 13 - -3.00 220 A North Carolina 6-15 -9 -10 1.00 222 N Stony Brook 11- 8 3 8 -- -5.87 306 H Fresno State 20- 0 20 28 0.00 308 H Vermont 10- 6 4 4 -0.71 315 H Johns Hopkins 12-10 2 4 - -2.29 321 H Colgate 14-11 3 -1 ++ 4.42 324 A Brown 10- 9 1 2 -1.14 326 N Delaware 5- 6 -1 0 -0.61 328 A Le Moyne 17-11 6 8 - -2.89 404 A Denver 11- 9 2 0 + 2.49 411 H Virginia Tech 15-10 5 4 0.83 417 A California 12-13 o -1 3 -- -4.37 419 A St. Mary's (CA) 17-10 7 14 - -3.00 423 N Fresno State 19- 2 17 27 0.00 424 N California 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.49UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Stanford 5-17 -12 -5 -- -4.53 222 N Stony Brook 11- 8 3 8 -- -5.87 417 A California 12-13 o -1 3 -- -4.37 424 N California 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.49 214 H UC Davis 13- 6 7 13 - -3.00 315 H Johns Hopkins 12-10 2 4 - -2.29 328 A Le Moyne 17-11 6 8 - -2.89 419 A St. Mary's (CA) 17-10 7 14 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Colgate 14-11 3 -1 ++ 4.42 404 A Denver 11- 9 2 0 + 2.49/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.24 Local Power Rank........... 29 Local SOS Rating......... 48.65 Local SOS Rank............. 59 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 36 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 61 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 24 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 7.7