Conf = Atlantic Coast Region = South State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Jenny LevyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.9801636 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 215 A Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 86.6) 14-13 o 220 H Oregon MPSF (12- 5, 80.2) 15- 6 222 H Richmond Atlantic 10 ( 6-12, 76.2) 15- 8 302 H Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (23- 0, 99.9) 7-12 306 A Penn Ivy League (15- 3, 90.9) 2-11 309 A Denver MPSF (10- 8, 79.6) 12- 6 314 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 87.6) 12- 8 318 H Old Dominion Colonial (11- 5, 82.7) 16- 9 321 H Georgetown Big East (13- 6, 87.1) 12- 7 325 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 7-10, 77.2) 12- 8 328 H Boston College Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 80.9) 12- 8 403 A Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 85.7) 10- 8 405 H Penn State Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 84.2) 11- 7 411 A Maryland Atlantic Coas (21- 1, 94.8) 8-13 417 A Duke Atlantic Coas (15- 6, 91.1) 9- 7 419 H Stanford MPSF (14- 4, 86.8) 13-10 424 N Duke Atlantic Coas (15- 6, 91.1) 4-14 510 H Towson Colonial (13- 6, 84.2) 15- 4 516 H Notre Dame Big East (16- 5, 89.6) 16-10 522 N Maryland Atlantic Coas (21- 1, 94.8) 8- 7 524 N Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (23- 0, 99.9) 7-21PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Vanderbilt 14-13 o 1 1 -0.55 220 H Oregon 15- 6 9 10 -1.00 222 H Richmond 15- 8 7 14 - -3.00 302 H Northwestern 7-12 -5 -9 ++ 4.50 306 A Penn 2-11 -9 -2 --- -6.25 309 A Denver 12- 6 6 8 - -2.55 314 H Virginia 12- 8 4 2 1.22 318 H Old Dominion 16- 9 7 7 -0.67 321 H Georgetown 12- 7 5 3 1.71 325 A Virginia Tech 12- 8 4 10 --- -6.00 328 H Boston College 12- 8 4 9 -- -5.53 403 A Ohio State 10- 8 2 2 -0.47 405 H Penn State 11- 7 4 6 - -2.21 411 A Maryland 8-13 -5 -6 1.68 417 A Duke 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.88 419 H Stanford 13-10 3 3 -0.58 424 N Duke 4-14 -10 -1 --- -8.23 510 H Towson 15- 4 11 6 + 3.80 516 H Notre Dame 16-10 6 0 ++ 5.24 522 N Maryland 8- 7 1 -5 +++ 6.56 524 N Northwestern 7-21 -14 -10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Penn 2-11 -9 -2 --- -6.25 325 A Virginia Tech 12- 8 4 10 --- -6.00 424 N Duke 4-14 -10 -1 --- -8.23 328 H Boston College 12- 8 4 9 -- -5.53 222 H Richmond 15- 8 7 14 - -3.00 309 A Denver 12- 6 6 8 - -2.55 405 H Penn State 11- 7 4 6 - -2.21OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 522 N Maryland 8- 7 1 -5 +++ 6.56 302 H Northwestern 7-12 -5 -9 ++ 4.50 417 A Duke 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.88 516 H Notre Dame 16-10 6 0 ++ 5.24 510 H Towson 15- 4 11 6 + 3.80/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.29 Local Power Rank........... 7 Local SOS Rating......... 71.76 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.70 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating.185.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3