Conf = Northeast Region = West/Midwest State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Katy PhillipsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 78.7317810 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 222 H Cincinnati Big East ( 7-10, 72.5) 10-11 o 227 H St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 73.4) 15-12 301 A Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 9- 9, 73.6) 7- 9 308 A Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 8-10, 73.4) 11-13 312 A St. Mary's (CA) MPSF ( 3-13, 64.6) 15- 9 314 A UC Davis MPSF ( 6-12, 68.1) 13- 8 317 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 76.5) 15-17 320 A Manhattan Metro Atlanti (11- 5, 73.9) 16-13 322 A Monmouth Northeast ( 7-11, 71.1) 9-10 327 H Wagner Northeast ( 4-13, 64.6) 19-14 403 A Sacred Heart Northeast (12- 7, 74.1) 4-15 405 A Long Island U. Northeast ( 4-13, 61.6) 18- 6 409 H Central Connecticut Northeast ( 1-15, 58.1) 19- 6 411 H Quinnipiac Northeast (13- 3, 78.0) 11-12 2o 414 A Navy Patriot Leagu (13- 5, 77.4) 6-14 417 A Saint Francis Northeast ( 1-12, 56.4) 23- 9 419 H Mount Saint Mary's Northeast ( 6-11, 70.7) 14-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Cincinnati 10-11 o -1 2 - -3.13 227 H St. Bonaventure 15-12 3 1 1.76 301 A Bucknell 7- 9 -2 -1 -0.80 308 A Canisius 11-13 -2 -1 -0.98 312 A St. Mary's (CA) 15- 9 6 7 -1.77 314 A UC Davis 13- 8 5 4 0.78 317 A Duquesne 15-17 -2 -4 + 2.17 320 A Manhattan 16-13 3 -1 ++ 4.50 322 A Monmouth 9-10 -1 1 - -2.25 327 H Wagner 19-14 5 9 -- -4.99 403 A Sacred Heart 4-15 -11 -1 --- -8.25 405 A Long Island U. 18- 6 12 10 0.00 409 H Central Connecticut 19- 6 13 16 0.00 411 H Quinnipiac 11-12 2o -1 -3 + 2.45 414 A Navy 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.99 417 A Saint Francis 23- 9 14 15 0.00 419 H Mount Saint Mary's 14-13 1 3 - -2.85UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Sacred Heart 4-15 -11 -1 --- -8.25 327 H Wagner 19-14 5 9 -- -4.99 222 H Cincinnati 10-11 o -1 2 - -3.13 322 A Monmouth 9-10 -1 1 - -2.25 414 A Navy 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.99 419 H Mount Saint Mary's 14-13 1 3 - -2.85OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 A Manhattan 16-13 3 -1 ++ 4.50 317 A Duquesne 15-17 -2 -4 + 2.17 411 H Quinnipiac 11-12 2o -1 -3 + 2.45/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 73.48 Local Power Rank........... 57 Local SOS Rating......... 41.45 Local SOS Rank............. 81 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 63 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 67 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 53 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3