Conf = Independent                Region = NAIA         State = OH
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Torrey McGowan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.0975800    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 N West Chester           PSAC Eastern  (14- 3, 80.7)     3-20   
 303 N Slippery Rock          PSAC Western  ( 5-12, 63.8)    11- 6   
 305 A Savannah Art & Design  Independent   ( 4- 3, 53.1)    20- 1   
 314 A Monroe                               (14- 4, 81.9)    14-10   
 318 A Seton Hill             Independent   ( 6-11, 61.8)    15- 3   
 321 A Lock Haven             PSAC Western  (18- 4, 77.7)     5-25   
 326 A Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   ( 7- 7, 67.3)    10-11   
 404 H Denison                North Coast   ( 6- 8, 73.2)     9- 3   
 413 H Allegheny              North Coast   ( 5-10, 65.4)    12-10   
 414 A Slippery Rock          PSAC Western  ( 5-12, 63.8)    15-10   
 418 H Monroe                               (14- 4, 81.9)     9- 7   
 418 A Saint Vincent          Independent   ( 4- 7, 76.6)    13- 6   
 425 A Kenyon                 North Coast   (12- 5, 75.7)    13- 8   
 426 H Wittenberg             North Coast   ( 7- 7, 61.0)    19- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 N West Chester            3-20     -17   -11           0.00
   303 N Slippery Rock          11- 6       5     5          -0.43
   305 A Savannah Art & Design  20- 1      19    15           0.00
   314 A Monroe                 14-10       4   -13          n/a  
   318 A Seton Hill             15- 3      12     6    +      3.72
   321 A Lock Haven              5-25     -20    -9          -0.41
   326 A Ohio Wesleyan          10-11      -1     0          n/a  
   404 H Denison                 9- 3       6    -2          n/a  
   413 H Allegheny              12-10       2     4          n/a  
   414 A Slippery Rock          15-10       5     4           0.66
   418 H Monroe                  9- 7       2   -12          n/a  
   418 A Saint Vincent          13- 6       7    -8          n/a  
   425 A Kenyon                 13- 8       5    -7          n/a  
   426 H Wittenberg             19- 6      13     9          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Monroe                 14-10   
   326 A Ohio Wesleyan          10-11   
   404 H Denison                 9- 3   
   413 H Allegheny              12-10   
   418 H Monroe                  9- 7   
   418 A Saint Vincent          13- 6   
   425 A Kenyon                 13- 8   
   426 H Wittenberg             19- 6   
   314 A Monroe                 14-10   
   326 A Ohio Wesleyan          10-11   
   404 H Denison                 9- 3   
   413 H Allegheny              12-10   
   418 H Monroe                  9- 7   
   418 A Saint Vincent          13- 6   
   425 A Kenyon                 13- 8   
   426 H Wittenberg             19- 6   
   314 A Monroe                 14-10   
   326 A Ohio Wesleyan          10-11   
   404 H Denison                 9- 3   
   413 H Allegheny              12-10   
   418 H Monroe                  9- 7   
   418 A Saint Vincent          13- 6   
   425 A Kenyon                 13- 8   
   426 H Wittenberg             19- 6   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Monroe                 14-10   
   326 A Ohio Wesleyan          10-11   
   404 H Denison                 9- 3   
   413 H Allegheny              12-10   
   418 H Monroe                  9- 7   
   418 A Saint Vincent          13- 6   
   425 A Kenyon                 13- 8   
   426 H Wittenberg             19- 6   
   314 A Monroe                 14-10   
   326 A Ohio Wesleyan          10-11   
   404 H Denison                 9- 3   
   413 H Allegheny              12-10   
   418 H Monroe                  9- 7   
   418 A Saint Vincent          13- 6   
   425 A Kenyon                 13- 8   
   426 H Wittenberg             19- 6   
   314 A Monroe                 14-10   
   318 A Seton Hill             15- 3      12     6    +      3.72
   326 A Ohio Wesleyan          10-11   
   404 H Denison                 9- 3   
   413 H Allegheny              12-10   
   418 H Monroe                  9- 7   
   418 A Saint Vincent          13- 6   
   425 A Kenyon                 13- 8   
   426 H Wittenberg             19- 6   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.21 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 37.89 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.3
/