Conf = Patriot League Region = Mid-Atlantic State = PA Nickname = Mountain Hawks Coach = Jill RedfernGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.1380463 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 215 H Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 (10- 8, 78.7) 15-11 222 A Mount Saint Mary's Northeast ( 6-11, 70.7) 11-10 o 301 N Boston College Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 80.9) 10-11 307 H Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 9- 9, 73.6) 11-12 o 311 H Fairfield Metro Atlanti (17- 3, 84.3) 7-10 314 A Lafayette Patriot Leagu ( 2-15, 64.1) 14- 7 318 H Columbia Ivy League ( 9- 7, 76.5) 15-13 321 H American Patriot Leagu ( 3-13, 68.9) 21- 7 324 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 4-12, 66.6) 20- 7 328 H Davidson Independent ( 6-10, 68.6) 18- 4 330 A Drexel Colonial ( 8- 9, 76.7) 11- 6 404 A Holy Cross Patriot Leagu ( 5-11, 70.9) 10-11 2o 408 A Penn State Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 84.2) 10-14 411 A Navy Patriot Leagu (13- 5, 77.4) 11- 7 415 H Monmouth Northeast ( 7-11, 71.1) 14- 9 418 H Colgate Patriot Leagu (14- 5, 82.8) 15-11 424 N Navy Patriot Leagu (13- 5, 77.4) 11-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H Saint Joseph's 15-11 4 2 1.40 222 A Mount Saint Mary's 11-10 o 1 8 --- -7.29 301 N Boston College 10-11 -1 0 -0.28 307 H Bucknell 11-12 o -1 7 --- -8.71 311 H Fairfield 7-10 -3 -3 0.06 314 A Lafayette 14- 7 7 14 - -3.00 318 H Columbia 15-13 2 4 - -2.80 321 H American 21- 7 14 12 0.00 324 H La Salle 20- 7 13 14 0.00 328 H Davidson 18- 4 14 12 0.00 330 A Drexel 11- 6 5 2 + 2.66 404 A Holy Cross 10-11 2o -1 8 --- -9.18 408 A Penn State 10-14 -4 -5 1.17 411 A Navy 11- 7 4 1 + 2.34 415 H Monmouth 14- 9 5 10 -- -5.00 418 H Colgate 15-11 4 -1 ++ 5.51 424 N Navy 11-12 -1 2 - -3.78UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Mount Saint Mary's 11-10 o 1 8 --- -7.29 307 H Bucknell 11-12 o -1 7 --- -8.71 404 A Holy Cross 10-11 2o -1 8 --- -9.18 415 H Monmouth 14- 9 5 10 -- -5.00 314 A Lafayette 14- 7 7 14 - -3.00 318 H Columbia 15-13 2 4 - -2.80 424 N Navy 11-12 -1 2 - -3.78OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Colgate 15-11 4 -1 ++ 5.51 330 A Drexel 11- 6 5 2 + 2.66 411 A Navy 11- 7 4 1 + 2.34/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.15 Local Power Rank........... 30 Local SOS Rating......... 49.14 Local SOS Rank............. 56 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 31 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 46 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 35 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 6.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7