Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf Region = Mid-Atlantic State = MD Nickname = Blue Jays Coach = Janine TuckerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.8973541 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 221 H George Mason Colonial ( 6-10, 77.2) 15-10 225 H Georgetown Big East (13- 6, 87.1) 6-11 228 A Princeton Ivy League (14- 4, 88.8) 9-13 304 H Cincinnati Big East ( 7-10, 72.5) 18- 9 307 A Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 85.7) 12-22 315 A Oregon MPSF (12- 5, 80.2) 10-12 319 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 5-12, 72.5) 13-12 o 324 H UMBC America East ( 9- 8, 78.7) 8- 6 327 H Stanford MPSF (14- 4, 86.8) 7-10 329 A Towson Colonial (13- 6, 84.2) 7-16 401 H Penn Ivy League (15- 3, 90.9) 3-11 404 A Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 86.6) 8-18 409 H Fresno State MPSF ( 0-14, 52.6) 19- 0 414 A Maryland Atlantic Coas (21- 1, 94.8) 12-18 417 H Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (23- 0, 99.9) 7-16 425 H Penn State Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 84.2) 11-12 430 A Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 86.6) 8-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H George Mason 15-10 5 0 ++ 4.02 225 H Georgetown 6-11 -5 -8 + 3.93 228 A Princeton 9-13 -4 -12 +++ 6.00 304 H Cincinnati 18- 9 9 5 + 3.28 307 A Ohio State 12-22 -10 -9 -0.25 315 A Oregon 10-12 -2 -4 + 2.29 319 H George Washington 13-12 o 1 5 -- -4.67 324 H UMBC 8- 6 2 0 + 2.55 327 H Stanford 7-10 -3 -8 ++ 5.64 329 A Towson 7-16 -9 -8 -0.75 401 H Penn 3-11 -8 -12 + 2.00 404 A Vanderbilt 8-18 -10 -10 0.00 409 H Fresno State 19- 0 19 25 0.00 414 A Maryland 12-18 -6 -18 ++ 4.00 417 H Northwestern 7-16 -9 -21 1.00 425 H Penn State 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 5.01 430 A Vanderbilt 8-14 -6 -10 ++ 4.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H George Washington 13-12 o 1 5 -- -4.67OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Princeton 9-13 -4 -12 +++ 6.00 221 H George Mason 15-10 5 0 ++ 4.02 327 H Stanford 7-10 -3 -8 ++ 5.64 414 A Maryland 12-18 -6 -18 ++ 4.00 425 H Penn State 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 5.01 430 A Vanderbilt 8-14 -6 -10 ++ 4.00 225 H Georgetown 6-11 -5 -8 + 3.93 304 H Cincinnati 18- 9 9 5 + 3.28 315 A Oregon 10-12 -2 -4 + 2.29 324 H UMBC 8- 6 2 0 + 2.55 401 H Penn 3-11 -8 -12 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 77.07 Local Power Rank........... 42 Local SOS Rating......... 64.35 Local SOS Rank............. 13 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 37 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 42 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 46 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.3