Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = South        State = DC
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Tara Hannaford          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.3383942    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 H Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 85.7)     9-14   
 221 A Georgetown             Big East      (13- 6, 87.1)     2-17   
 225 A American               Patriot Leagu ( 3-13, 68.9)     6-12   
 301 H Drexel                 Colonial      ( 8- 9, 76.7)     8-13   
 304 H George Mason           Colonial      ( 6-10, 77.2)    11-16   
 308 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 7-10, 77.2)    10-20   
 311 A Mount Saint Mary's     Northeast     ( 6-11, 70.7)    14- 5   
 314 H Towson                 Colonial      (13- 6, 84.2)     7-13   
 319 A Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-12, 77.1)    12-13  o
 327 H Duquesne               Atlantic 10   ( 9- 8, 76.5)    18- 9   
 329 H St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 7-10, 73.4)    13-12   
 403 A Temple                 Atlantic 10   ( 4-12, 70.1)     9- 4   
 405 A Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (11- 8, 79.9)     5-18   
 410 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 6-12, 76.2)    12-21   
 417 A Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   (10- 8, 78.7)     8-11   
 419 H La Salle               Atlantic 10   ( 4-12, 66.6)    16- 4   
 424 N Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (11- 8, 79.9)     9-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Ohio State              9-14      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   221 A Georgetown              2-17     -15   -15           0.00
   225 A American                6-12      -6     2    ---   -8.46
   301 H Drexel                  8-13      -5    -3          -1.94
   304 H George Mason           11-16      -5    -3          -1.44
   308 A Virginia Tech          10-20     -10    -5    --    -4.21
   311 A Mount Saint Mary's     14- 5       9     0    +++    8.34
   314 H Towson                  7-13      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   319 A Johns Hopkins          12-13  o   -1    -5    ++     4.67
   327 H Duquesne               18- 9       9    -2    +++   11.89
   329 H St. Bonaventure        13-12       1     0           0.72
   403 A Temple                  9- 4       5     1    +      3.72
   405 A Massachusetts           5-18     -13    -8          -1.49
   410 H Richmond               12-21      -9    -2    ---   -6.48
   417 A Saint Joseph's          8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.27
   419 H La Salle               16- 4      12     7    +      2.95
   424 N Massachusetts           9-12      -3    -7    ++     4.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A American                6-12      -6     2    ---   -8.46
   410 H Richmond               12-21      -9    -2    ---   -6.48
   308 A Virginia Tech          10-20     -10    -5    --    -4.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Mount Saint Mary's     14- 5       9     0    +++    8.34
   327 H Duquesne               18- 9       9    -2    +++   11.89
   215 H Ohio State              9-14      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   314 H Towson                  7-13      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   319 A Johns Hopkins          12-13  o   -1    -5    ++     4.67
   417 A Saint Joseph's          8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.27
   424 N Massachusetts           9-12      -3    -7    ++     4.39
   403 A Temple                  9- 4       5     1    +      3.72
   419 H La Salle               16- 4      12     7    +      2.95
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.52 Local Power Rank...........    60
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.24 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    69
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    35
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    70
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/