Conf = Atlantic 10 Region = West/Midwest State = PA Nickname = Dukes Coach = Michael ScerboGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.7980347 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Notre Dame Big East (16- 5, 89.6) 7-22 217 H Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (23- 0, 99.9) 6-20 220 H Cincinnati Big East ( 7-10, 72.5) 8-11 222 H Denver MPSF (10- 8, 79.6) 11-15 228 A Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 8-10, 73.4) 9- 5 311 H Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 9- 9, 73.6) 20-10 315 A Detroit Independent ( 5- 9, 64.2) 20- 6 317 H Robert Morris Northeast ( 9- 8, 73.5) 17-15 322 H Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 85.7) 11-20 327 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 5-12, 72.5) 9-18 329 A Richmond Atlantic 10 ( 6-12, 76.2) 13-14 2o 403 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 4-12, 66.6) 13- 5 405 H Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 (10- 8, 78.7) 10-15 410 H St. Mary's (CA) MPSF ( 3-13, 64.6) 21- 3 413 A St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 73.4) 16-15 417 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 79.9) 15-14 2o 419 H Temple Atlantic 10 ( 4-12, 70.1) 13- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Notre Dame 7-22 -15 -11 0.00 217 H Northwestern 6-20 -14 -22 0.00 220 H Cincinnati 8-11 -3 5 --- -8.18 222 H Denver 11-15 -4 -1 - -2.03 228 A Canisius 9- 5 4 2 1.97 311 H Bucknell 20-10 10 4 ++ 5.91 315 A Detroit 20- 6 14 11 0.00 317 H Robert Morris 17-15 2 4 - -2.17 322 H Ohio State 11-20 -9 -8 -0.94 327 A George Washington 9-18 -9 2 --- -11.89 329 A Richmond 13-14 2o -1 0 -0.25 403 H La Salle 13- 5 8 11 - -2.00 405 H Saint Joseph's 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.98 410 H St. Mary's (CA) 21- 3 18 13 0.00 413 A St. Bonaventure 16-15 1 2 -1.06 417 A Massachusetts 15-14 2o 1 -4 ++ 5.50 419 H Temple 13- 8 5 7 - -2.52UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Cincinnati 8-11 -3 5 --- -8.18 327 A George Washington 9-18 -9 2 --- -11.89 222 H Denver 11-15 -4 -1 - -2.03 317 H Robert Morris 17-15 2 4 - -2.17 403 H La Salle 13- 5 8 11 - -2.00 405 H Saint Joseph's 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.98 419 H Temple 13- 8 5 7 - -2.52OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Bucknell 20-10 10 4 ++ 5.91 417 A Massachusetts 15-14 2o 1 -4 ++ 5.50/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.53 Local Power Rank........... 48 Local SOS Rating......... 51.84 Local SOS Rank............. 47 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 43 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 31 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 40 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3