Conf = USA South Atl. Region = So. Atlantic State = VA Nickname = Captains Coach = Carolyn RaveiaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.7083893 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 218 A Salisbury Capital (20- 2, 85.9) 8-18 301 H Guilford Old Dominion ( 6-11, 61.6) 18- 6 307 H Greensboro USA South Atl ( 7- 8, 64.1) 21- 6 310 H Cortland SUNYAC (14- 7, 81.8) 7-16 317 H Nazareth Empire Eight ( 9- 8, 68.8) 9- 8 321 H Ferrum USA South Atl ( 3- 9, 45.3) 18- 0 326 A Lynchburg Old Dominion ( 9- 8, 65.5) 9- 7 328 A Shenandoah USA South Atl ( 3-12, 48.5) 21- 5 330 H Randolph-Macon Old Dominion ( 9- 7, 65.2) 17-11 401 H Virginia Wesleyan Old Dominion ( 9- 9, 68.4) 13-12 404 A Methodist USA South Atl ( 4- 9, 59.8) 15- 6 408 H Mary Washington Capital (14- 8, 75.2) 10-18 411 A Roanoke Old Dominion (16- 5, 74.3) 9-10 415 A St. Mary's (MD) Capital (12- 5, 75.5) 9-14 417 N Shenandoah USA South Atl ( 3-12, 48.5) 21- 0 418 N Greensboro USA South Atl ( 7- 8, 64.1) 18- 5 425 A Sewanee Independent ( 8- 5, 64.4) 19-17 426 N Birmingham-Southern Independent ( 6- 6, 61.1) 21- 5 502 H Washington & Lee Old Dominion (13- 5, 76.4) 10-17 506 H Mary Washington Capital (14- 8, 75.2) 9-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A Salisbury 8-18 -10 -16 0.00 301 H Guilford 18- 6 12 10 0.00 307 H Greensboro 21- 6 15 7 + 2.03 310 H Cortland 7-16 -9 -9 0.80 317 H Nazareth 9- 8 1 3 - -2.24 321 H Ferrum 18- 0 18 26 0.00 326 A Lynchburg 9- 7 2 4 - -2.06 328 A Shenandoah 21- 5 16 21 0.00 330 H Randolph-Macon 17-11 6 6 -0.82 401 H Virginia Wesleyan 13-12 1 3 - -2.65 404 A Methodist 15- 6 9 9 -0.74 408 H Mary Washington 10-18 -8 -3 -- -4.86 411 A Roanoke 9-10 -1 -4 + 3.68 415 A St. Mary's (MD) 9-14 -5 -5 0.93 417 N Shenandoah 21- 0 21 22 0.00 418 N Greensboro 18- 5 13 6 + 3.26 425 A Sewanee 19-17 2 5 - -3.14 426 N Birmingham-Southern 21- 5 16 9 0.27 502 H Washington & Lee 10-17 -7 -4 - -2.65 506 H Mary Washington 9-13 -4 -3 -0.86UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Mary Washington 10-18 -8 -3 -- -4.86 317 H Nazareth 9- 8 1 3 - -2.24 326 A Lynchburg 9- 7 2 4 - -2.06 401 H Virginia Wesleyan 13-12 1 3 - -2.65 425 A Sewanee 19-17 2 5 - -3.14 502 H Washington & Lee 10-17 -7 -4 - -2.65OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Greensboro 21- 6 15 7 + 2.03 411 A Roanoke 9-10 -1 -4 + 3.68 418 N Greensboro 18- 5 13 6 + 3.26/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 70.81 Local Power Rank........... 49 Local SOS Rating......... 37.72 Local SOS Rank............. 62 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 47 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 35 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 49 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 16.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7