2008 NCAA Women's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 19 2 3 6 2 2 1 3 6 15.00 2 Hamilton Liberty League 21 1 2 9 1 3 3 1 7 13.00 3 Salisbury Capital 22 1 1 19 3 4 2 2 8 44.00 4 College of New J Independent 17 2 4 11 4 1 4 4 9 13.00 5 Union Liberty League 15 4 8 12 10 5 5 6 16 2.00 6 Gettysburg Centennial 17 4 7 16 6 7 9 7 23 1.00 7 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 17 3 10 33 9 8 13 5 26 0.10 8 Amherst NESCAC 15 4 13 5 5 6 12 9 27 1.00 9 Middlebury NESCAC 12 5 5 1 7 9 8 11 28 7.00 10 Cortland SUNYAC 14 6 20 20 19 11 7 13 31 0.10 11 St. Mary's (MD) Capital 15 6 26 18 13 10 6 15 31 0.10 12 Catholic (DC) Landmark 17 5 18 26 18 13 14 12 39 0.10 13 William Smith Liberty League 13 4 27 23 17 12 22 14 48 0.10 14 Rowan Independent 13 5 31 27 20 14 18 18 50 0.10 15 Babson NEWMAC 16 3 12 31 8 16 31 8 55 0.10 16 Colby NESCAC 13 6 14 8 11 21 20 17 58 3.00 17 FDU-Florham Middle Atlanti 16 3 24 51 12 17 35 10 62 0.10 18 Claremont-Mudd-S Independent 13 3 30 62 15 19 28 16 63 0.10 19 Dickinson Centennial 12 6 21 25 29 22 21 23 66 0.10 20 Trinity (CT) NESCAC 11 7 16 2 14 15 15 36 66 0.10 21 Mary Washington Capital 10 8 37 21 54 25 11 35 71 0.10 22 Brockport SUNYAC 14 4 17 39 24 18 36 19 73 0.10 23 McDaniel Centennial 10 7 39 15 34 23 16 40 79 0.10 24 St. Lawrence Liberty League 11 5 58 44 23 32 27 20 79 0.10 25 Tufts NESCAC 10 5 15 7 16 20 33 30 83 1.00 26 Endicott Comm. Coast 15 5 43 61 22 24 38 25 87 0.10 27 Villa Julie Capital 12 5 33 50 26 28 43 22 93 0.10 28 Vassar Liberty League 10 5 51 45 36 35 37 27 99 0.10 29 Roger Williams Comm. Coast 14 5 59 110 45 27 29 46 102 0.10 30 Cabrini Penn. (PAC) 13 6 70 80 40 41 30 33 104 0.10 31 Christopher Newp USA South Atl. 13 6 41 79 38 43 34 28 105 0.10 32 Nazareth Empire Eight 10 5 40 32 35 31 49 26 106 0.10 33 Ursinus Centennial 8 9 57 17 70 29 10 67 106 0.10 34 Buffalo State SUNYAC 9 4 29 55 32 26 59 31 116 0.10 35 Stevens Empire Eight 14 6 23 53 42 30 44 42 116 0.10 36 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 12 6 53 68 47 40 42 37 119 0.10 37 Eastern Penn. (PAC) 14 5 60 104 25 53 51 21 125 0.10 38 Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC 7 9 38 3 48 34 17 74 125 0.10 39 Roanoke Old Dominion 10 8 45 52 62 49 23 54 126 0.10 40 Bowdoin NESCAC 9 7 19 10 21 39 45 43 127 0.10 41 Montclair State Skyline 9 8 64 34 73 45 24 58 127 0.10 42 Messiah Middle Atlanti 10 7 54 36 61 44 32 56 132 0.10 43 Muhlenberg Centennial 11 5 34 49 27 37 63 32 132 0.10 44 Ithaca Empire Eight 9 8 42 28 80 42 25 68 135 0.10 45 Elizabethtown Middle Atlanti 11 5 25 54 46 36 53 47 136 0.10 46 Western New Engl Comm. Coast 17 5 49 116 37 47 52 38 137 0.10 47 Rensselaer Liberty League 7 7 66 38 75 52 41 60 153 0.10 48 Geneseo SUNYAC 10 5 35 64 49 48 76 48 172 0.10 49 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 10 5 48 71 41 33 99 41 173 0.10 50 St. John Fisher Empire Eight 11 8 22 30 76 38 75 61 174 0.10 51 Bates NESCAC 7 7 9 14 39 50 64 62 176 0.10 52 Rochester Liberty League 5 9 77 22 97 58 26 92 176 0.10 53 Fredonia SUNYAC 11 6 56 69 57 59 67 51 177 0.10 54 Drew Landmark 10 8 63 41 67 54 48 78 180 0.10 55 Gordon Comm. Coast 12 6 74 103 60 68 57 55 180 0.10 56 Eastern Connecti Little East 11 7 71 70 51 56 68 57 181 0.10 57 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 6 11 81 29 122 65 19 101 185 0.10 58 Washington Colle Centennial 7 8 68 48 82 67 47 73 187 0.10 59 York Capital 11 6 28 75 59 46 95 50 191 0.10 60 Lycoming Middle Atlanti 9 8 55 37 96 55 46 91 192 0.10 61 Oneonta SUNYAC 10 7 69 66 66 72 61 59 192 0.10 62 Redlands Independent 9 6 85 83 74 62 65 65 192 0.10 63 Springfield NEWMAC 10 7 44 56 58 66 60 66 192 0.10 64 Wellesley NEWMAC 10 8 62 47 63 57 50 86 193 0.10 65 Bridgewater Stat NEWLA 15 5 72 147 30 71 94 39 204 0.10 66 Colorado College Independent 10 3 6 100 31 51 125 29 205 0.10 67 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 7 8 32 13 56 61 69 83 213 0.10 68 Goucher Landmark 6 10 86 24 120 63 39 112 214 0.10 69 Williams NESCAC 4 8 47 4 55 74 62 81 217 0.10 70 Kenyon North Coast 9 5 52 99 43 69 107 44 220 0.10 71 Curry Comm. Coast 11 6 75 121 64 73 90 63 226 0.10 72 Puget Sound Independent 10 3 88 140 28 77 136 24 237 0.10 73 Utica Empire Eight 9 8 78 73 88 76 72 89 237 0.10 74 Marymount Capital 8 8 90 84 90 91 71 79 241 0.10 75 Swarthmore Centennial 6 11 98 42 125 80 40 123 243 0.10 76 Guilford Old Dominion 9 7 73 94 81 81 92 71 244 0.10 77 Wooster North Coast 10 6 46 82 78 60 116 76 252 0.10 78 MIT NEWMAC 5 7 36 57 72 70 105 80 255 0.10 79 Emerson Great Northeas 13 4 91 159 33 75 154 34 263 0.10 80 Gwynedd-Mercy Penn. (PAC) 10 8 93 108 89 87 86 90 263 0.10 81 Notre Dame (MD) Penn. (PAC) 10 6 92 123 69 83 110 70 263 0.10 82 Allegheny North Coast 7 9 83 59 101 64 101 100 265 0.10 83 Castleton State NEWLA 10 8 122 154 95 90 80 98 268 0.10 84 Denison North Coast 6 9 79 65 108 78 93 99 270 0.10 85 Wheaton NEWMAC 7 10 89 46 100 79 73 120 272 0.10 86 Rochester Inst o Empire Eight 6 8 82 60 105 84 83 107 274 0.10 87 Worcester State NEWLA 9 6 123 156 79 85 113 77 275 0.10 88 Manhattanville Middle Atlanti 9 8 61 96 86 82 106 88 276 0.10 89 Mount Saint Vinc Skyline 7 9 97 78 110 99 74 106 279 0.10 90 Norwich Great Northeas 11 5 65 168 44 86 160 45 291 0.10 91 Colby-Sawyer Comm. Coast 6 10 102 102 138 95 58 142 295 0.10 92 Kean Skyline 14 6 11 153 53 94 150 52 296 0.10 93 Scranton Landmark 8 8 87 93 98 89 111 97 297 0.10 94 Southern Maine Little East 8 9 101 98 99 93 89 118 300 0.10 95 Wittenberg North Coast 6 7 84 106 77 92 133 75 300 0.10 96 Haverford Centennial 5 11 100 58 130 100 66 136 302 0.10 97 Mass.-Dartmouth Little East 9 6 107 145 71 97 135 72 304 0.10 98 Keene State Little East 13 8 67 133 93 88 123 96 307 0.10 99 Lynchburg Old Dominion 8 9 95 105 111 98 102 111 311 0.10 100 Clarkson Liberty League 2 12 113 40 155 111 54 150 315 0.10 101 Moravian Landmark 9 7 80 117 87 104 130 84 318 0.10 102 Saint Vincent Independent 7 5 50 139 52 103 162 53 318 0.10 103 New England Coll Comm. Coast 4 12 129 85 162 101 56 164 321 0.10 104 Potsdam SUNYAC 5 9 106 97 118 107 97 117 321 0.10 105 Widener Middle Atlanti 5 10 105 76 141 106 81 135 322 0.10 106 Westfield State NEWLA 8 7 132 164 91 112 121 94 327 0.10 107 Elmira Empire Eight 7 9 99 89 116 109 103 116 328 0.10 108 Univ of New Engl Comm. Coast 7 11 109 107 148 105 70 154 329 0.10 109 Smith NEWMAC 5 10 104 88 137 102 88 140 330 0.10 110 Skidmore Liberty League 3 14 103 35 164 115 55 163 333 0.10 111 Wesley Capital 5 11 119 81 144 123 82 128 333 0.10 112 Sewanee Independent 5 8 133 114 107 113 119 102 334 0.10 113 Susquehanna Landmark 6 10 76 63 133 96 108 132 336 0.10 114 Whittier Independent 5 8 114 115 114 110 118 109 337 0.10 115 Oswego SUNYAC 5 11 112 95 152 114 77 147 338 0.10 116 Centenary Penn. (PAC) 7 7 110 143 92 119 127 95 341 0.10 117 Frostburg State Independent 8 9 108 118 102 124 114 103 341 0.10 118 Lasell Great Northeas 7 8 143 152 103 116 122 104 342 0.10 119 Medaille Independent 7 4 135 162 50 127 166 49 342 0.10 120 Sweet Briar Old Dominion 5 7 116 111 94 126 134 93 353 0.10 121 Pomona-Pitzer Independent 3 10 130 86 147 121 91 143 355 0.10 122 Bryn Mawr Centennial 4 11 117 77 132 133 87 141 361 0.10 123 Neumann Penn. (PAC) 6 10 127 120 140 120 104 139 363 0.10 124 Greensboro USA South Atl. 5 12 115 92 153 117 96 151 364 0.10 125 Mount Holyoke NEWMAC 2 13 125 43 171 108 85 171 364 0.10 126 Salve Regina Comm. Coast 5 12 138 124 166 122 78 166 366 0.10 127 Adrian Independent 5 7 146 151 83 141 149 82 372 0.10 128 Plymouth State Little East 1 11 140 72 154 131 84 157 372 0.10 129 Fontbonne Independent 6 5 131 157 65 140 170 64 374 0.10 130 Keuka Independent 5 5 126 150 68 138 167 69 374 0.10 131 King's Middle Atlanti 3 13 121 67 170 125 79 170 374 0.10 132 Misericordia Penn. (PAC) 7 9 96 127 104 118 155 105 378 0.10 133 Morrisville SUNYAC 4 10 136 109 139 128 112 138 378 0.10 134 Regis (MA) Comm. Coast 0 5 166 129 84 157 141 85 383 0.10 135 Oberlin North Coast 3 11 137 90 159 130 98 159 387 0.10 136 Bridgewater Old Dominion 5 10 120 122 134 137 117 134 388 0.10 137 Farmingdale Skyline 4 11 124 91 128 129 132 130 391 0.10 138 Fitchburg State NEWLA 5 9 155 160 124 139 128 125 392 0.10 139 Saint Joseph's ( Great Northeas 5 8 157 166 112 142 142 113 397 0.10 140 Hartwick Empire Eight 3 11 118 74 156 134 109 155 398 0.10 141 Rhode Island Col Little East 3 12 149 126 167 136 100 168 404 0.10 142 Wilkes Middle Atlanti 6 10 94 113 119 132 153 121 406 0.10 143 Framingham State Little East 4 6 150 174 85 149 171 87 407 0.10 144 Hood Capital 4 12 148 87 135 135 146 126 407 0.10 145 Elms NEWLA 4 9 163 170 127 145 143 129 417 0.10 146 Nichols Comm. Coast 4 11 151 146 157 143 120 156 419 0.10 147 Saint Joseph Great Northeas 2 7 168 165 106 153 158 108 419 0.10 148 Arcadia Middle Atlanti 4 10 111 119 143 147 131 145 423 0.10 149 Washington & Jef Independent 3 8 139 142 117 152 157 119 428 0.10 150 Western Connecti Little East 4 14 141 132 173 144 115 173 432 0.10 151 Alfred Empire Eight 2 11 134 101 160 146 129 160 435 0.10 152 Pacific (OR) Independent 3 10 144 141 146 148 140 148 436 0.10 153 Ramapo Skyline 1 10 152 130 121 158 156 122 436 0.10 154 Hollins Old Dominion 1 10 160 112 145 156 139 146 441 0.10 155 Tri-State Independent 0 10 164 137 126 167 147 127 441 0.10 156 Marywood Penn. (PAC) 3 12 142 144 158 150 137 158 445 0.10 157 Cazenovia Independent 3 9 159 167 115 164 168 115 447 0.10 158 Green Mountain Independent 1 7 171 169 109 169 169 110 448 0.10 159 Linfield Independent 2 10 147 138 151 151 145 153 449 0.10 160 Methodist USA South Atl. 2 11 128 135 136 154 159 137 450 0.10 161 Thomas NEWLA 1 8 170 171 123 165 161 124 450 0.10 162 Alvernia Penn. (PAC) 2 13 153 128 172 155 126 172 453 0.10 163 Wells Independent 4 9 154 163 131 160 163 133 456 0.10 164 Ferrum USA South Atl. 4 9 145 155 129 163 164 131 458 0.10 165 Cedar Crest Penn. (PAC) 2 14 161 125 174 161 124 174 459 0.10 166 Becker NEWLA 2 10 169 173 149 162 151 149 462 0.10 167 Trinity (DC) Independent 0 9 172 148 113 174 174 114 462 0.10 168 Waynesburg Independent 0 10 167 149 142 170 148 144 462 0.10 169 Dallas Independent 2 12 156 131 168 159 138 167 464 0.10 170 Immaculata Penn. (PAC) 1 12 158 136 169 166 144 169 479 0.10 171 Shenandoah USA South Atl. 1 11 162 134 163 168 152 162 482 0.10 172 Lancaster Bible Independent 2 11 165 158 150 171 172 152 495 0.10 173 Pine Manor Great Northeas 0 11 174 172 165 172 165 165 502 0.10 174 Maritime Skyline 1 12 173 161 161 173 173 161 507 0.10