2008 NCAA Women's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Northwestern Amer. Lac. Con 21 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 3 46.00 2 Penn Ivy League 17 2 5 10 3 2 6 2 10 1.00 3 Syracuse Big East 18 3 2 19 4 5 4 4 13 22.00 4 Duke Atlantic Coast 13 8 8 1 10 8 2 8 18 6.00 5 Virginia Atlantic Coast 14 4 4 6 5 6 7 5 18 10.00 6 Boston Universit America East 18 3 6 23 6 3 11 6 20 3.00 7 Maryland Atlantic Coast 18 3 3 11 2 4 15 3 22 9.00 8 Georgetown Big East 12 7 11 2 8 9 5 9 23 0.10 9 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 13 7 9 5 11 10 3 11 24 0.10 10 Princeton Ivy League 13 5 7 7 7 7 10 7 24 2.00 11 Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Con 13 6 10 13 9 11 12 10 33 0.10 12 Notre Dame Big East 12 7 12 12 13 12 14 13 39 1.00 13 Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Con 8 9 19 9 22 19 8 22 49 0.10 14 New Hampshire America East 13 6 13 33 18 16 19 15 50 0.10 15 Cornell Ivy League 10 6 16 16 17 13 20 18 51 0.10 16 Stanford MPSF 12 8 20 24 23 18 16 23 57 0.10 17 Yale Ivy League 11 5 14 31 15 17 24 16 57 0.10 18 Dartmouth Ivy League 7 9 23 8 28 20 13 26 59 0.10 19 Towson Colonial 13 6 17 20 16 14 28 17 59 0.10 20 George Mason Colonial 12 5 15 30 14 15 31 14 60 0.10 21 Denver MPSF 13 6 18 43 19 22 38 19 79 0.10 22 Harvard Ivy League 9 7 29 32 25 24 32 24 80 0.10 23 Rutgers Big East 7 10 42 14 40 26 18 42 86 0.10 24 Penn State Amer. Lac. Con 5 12 26 3 48 29 9 50 88 0.10 25 Albany America East 8 9 48 34 35 32 21 36 89 0.10 26 Hofstra Colonial 7 9 37 17 41 27 23 40 90 0.10 27 Oregon MPSF 13 7 21 40 31 23 37 32 92 0.10 28 Boston College Atlantic Coast 7 10 33 21 39 40 17 39 96 0.10 29 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 17 2 24 68 12 21 63 12 96 0.10 30 James Madison Colonial 7 9 27 18 42 30 29 41 100 0.10 31 California MPSF 9 9 35 35 49 36 22 44 102 0.10 32 William & Mary Colonial 10 9 30 29 38 28 39 37 104 0.10 33 Brown Ivy League 6 10 45 26 50 33 26 48 107 0.10 34 Temple Atlantic 10 13 7 28 46 27 34 48 27 109 0.10 35 Stony Brook America East 9 6 36 47 34 25 52 34 111 0.10 36 Ohio State Amer. Lac. Con 10 8 25 36 26 39 43 31 113 0.10 37 Le Moyne Independent 12 5 39 64 30 31 57 28 116 0.10 38 Vermont America East 8 9 40 37 47 38 30 49 117 0.10 39 Loyola Big East 6 10 38 25 45 43 34 45 122 0.10 40 Delaware Colonial 11 6 22 41 32 35 58 30 123 0.10 41 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 7 11 47 27 56 45 25 56 126 0.10 42 Sacred Heart Northeast 12 8 57 66 46 46 35 47 128 0.10 43 Colgate Patriot League 11 10 46 49 52 37 41 52 130 0.10 44 Drexel Colonial 10 7 31 50 36 42 55 35 132 0.10 45 Richmond Atlantic 10 9 9 34 39 44 44 44 46 134 0.10 46 Duquesne Atlantic 10 8 9 41 44 53 48 42 53 143 0.10 47 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 4 14 53 15 66 50 27 69 146 0.10 48 Columbia Ivy League 5 10 58 42 58 53 36 58 147 0.10 49 Marist Metro Atlantic 10 9 54 59 59 41 46 60 147 0.10 50 Lehigh Patriot League 10 7 50 62 43 49 60 43 152 0.10 51 Monmouth Northeast 13 5 49 79 29 54 70 29 153 0.10 52 Navy Patriot League 13 4 43 84 21 55 79 21 155 0.10 53 Louisville Independent 12 4 32 73 20 56 80 20 156 0.10 54 Old Dominion Colonial 4 9 60 28 55 51 50 55 156 0.10 55 UMBC America East 4 12 61 38 67 59 40 66 165 0.10 56 Quinnipiac Northeast 10 6 51 78 37 57 72 38 167 0.10 57 Binghamton America East 5 11 68 51 63 60 45 63 168 0.10 58 American Patriot League 8 10 56 52 62 47 61 62 170 0.10 59 Davidson Independent 11 5 44 72 33 58 83 33 174 0.10 60 Canisius Metro Atlantic 9 9 63 60 54 52 69 54 175 0.10 61 Connecticut Big East 1 15 71 22 78 64 33 80 177 0.10 62 George Washingto Atlantic 10 5 11 52 45 64 63 54 64 181 0.10 63 Iona Metro Atlantic 7 11 67 69 70 65 49 67 181 0.10 64 UC Davis MPSF 7 11 66 57 74 62 51 71 184 0.10 65 Mount Saint Mary Northeast 9 9 62 75 60 66 64 59 189 0.10 66 Presbyterian Independent 2 2 79 63 24 81 85 25 191 0.10 67 Holy Cross Patriot League 5 11 65 53 69 61 59 72 192 0.10 68 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 7 9 55 58 61 67 65 61 193 0.10 69 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 7 7 69 81 51 68 78 51 197 0.10 70 Bucknell Patriot League 6 8 64 65 57 70 74 57 201 0.10 71 Cincinnati Independent 2 14 75 48 76 71 56 76 203 0.10 72 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 4 10 59 54 68 69 66 68 203 0.10 73 Villanova Independent 4 13 73 61 77 73 53 77 203 0.10 74 St. Mary's (CA) MPSF 2 16 78 56 85 75 47 85 207 0.10 75 Robert Morris Northeast 5 11 72 70 75 72 62 75 209 0.10 76 Longwood Independent 6 10 70 74 65 74 75 65 214 0.10 77 Wagner Northeast 3 13 80 71 80 77 68 79 224 0.10 78 Niagara Metro Atlantic 2 11 82 76 73 78 73 74 225 0.10 79 Siena Metro Atlantic 3 11 76 77 71 76 82 70 228 0.10 80 La Salle Atlantic 10 1 15 74 55 84 79 67 84 230 0.10 81 Lafayette Patriot League 2 15 77 67 83 80 71 83 234 0.10 82 Long Island U. Northeast 3 13 81 80 79 82 77 78 237 0.10 83 Howard Independent 2 11 84 83 72 83 84 73 240 0.10 84 Saint Francis Northeast 0 14 85 82 82 84 76 82 242 0.10 85 Central Connecti Northeast 1 13 83 85 81 85 81 81 247 0.10