Conf = Liberty League             Region = New York     State = NY
   Nickname = Herons                 Coach  = Pat Genovese            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9588013    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 N Brockport              SUNYAC        (14- 4, 79.9)    11-10   
 320 N Messiah                Middle Atlant (10- 7, 72.2)    20-16   
 325 A St. John Fisher        Empire Eight  (11- 8, 78.8)    11-10   
 328 A Vassar                 Liberty Leagu (10- 5, 72.6)    13-12 2o
 329 A Rensselaer             Liberty Leagu ( 7- 7, 70.2)    15-10   
 401 H Cortland               SUNYAC        (14- 6, 79.2)    12-11   
 405 H Lycoming               Middle Atlant ( 9- 8, 72.1)    12-10   
 406 H Denison                North Coast   ( 6- 9, 68.8)    21- 8   
 411 H Clarkson               Liberty Leagu ( 2-12, 59.9)    21- 5   
 412 H St. Lawrence           Liberty Leagu (11- 5, 72.0)    19-12   
 415 H Nazareth               Empire Eight  (10- 5, 74.2)     9- 4   
 418 A Hamilton               Liberty Leagu (21- 1, 88.6)     3-19   
 419 A Rochester              Liberty Leagu ( 5- 9, 68.9)    12- 9   
 422 A Ithaca                 Empire Eight  ( 9- 8, 73.9)     8-16   
 425 H Union                  Liberty Leagu (15- 4, 84.0)     8-15   
 426 H Skidmore               Liberty Leagu ( 3-14, 62.1)    20- 7   
 502 N Union                  Liberty Leagu (15- 4, 84.0)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 N Brockport              11-10       1    -2    +      3.20
   320 N Messiah                20-16       4     5          -1.59
   325 A St. John Fisher        11-10       1    -2    +      3.14
   328 A Vassar                 13-12 2o    1     4    -     -3.05
   329 A Rensselaer             15-10       5     6          -1.40
   401 H Cortland               12-11       1     0           1.36
   405 H Lycoming               12-10       2     6    --    -4.72
   406 H Denison                21- 8      13    10           0.00
   411 H Clarkson               21- 5      16    18           0.00
   412 H St. Lawrence           19-12       7     6           0.13
   415 H Nazareth                9- 4       5     4           0.32
   418 A Hamilton                3-19     -16   -12           0.00
   419 A Rochester              12- 9       3     7    --    -4.77
   422 A Ithaca                  8-16      -8     2    ---  -10.70
   425 H Union                   8-15      -7    -5          -1.82
   426 H Skidmore               20- 7      13    16           0.00
   502 N Union                   5-10      -5    -6           1.29

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Ithaca                  8-16      -8     2    ---  -10.70
   405 H Lycoming               12-10       2     6    --    -4.72
   419 A Rochester              12- 9       3     7    --    -4.77
   328 A Vassar                 13-12 2o    1     4    -     -3.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 N Brockport              11-10       1    -2    +      3.20
   325 A St. John Fisher        11-10       1    -2    +      3.14
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.74 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.31 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   169
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/