Williams                      4 - 8


 
   Conf = NESCAC                     Region = New England  State = MA
   Nickname = Ephs                   Coach  = Chris Mason             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   90.2984924    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H Tufts                  NESCAC        (10- 5, 80.7)    14-13   
 323 N Union                  Liberty Leagu (15- 4, 84.0)     7-16   
 326 N Colby                  NESCAC        (13- 6, 81.9)    12-20   
 329 A Bates                  NESCAC        ( 7- 7, 82.5)     7-13   
 402 H Middlebury             NESCAC        (12- 5, 85.0)    10-13   
 405 A Wesleyan (CT)          NESCAC        ( 7- 9, 74.9)     8- 9   
 412 H Amherst                NESCAC        (15- 4, 81.9)     6-14   
 417 H Skidmore               Liberty Leagu ( 3-14, 62.1)    19- 7   
 419 A Trinity (CT)           NESCAC        (11- 7, 80.1)    13-11   
 420 H Springfield            NEWMAC        (10- 7, 73.6)    12- 8   
 423 A Connecticut College    NESCAC        ( 7- 8, 76.5)    15-17   
 426 A Bowdoin                NESCAC        ( 9- 7, 79.2)    10-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Tufts                  14-13       1    -6    +++    7.13
   323 N Union                   7-16      -9   -10           1.00
   326 N Colby                  12-20      -8    -8           0.49
   329 A Bates                   7-13      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   402 H Middlebury             10-13      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   405 A Wesleyan (CT)           8- 9      -1    -2           1.56
   412 H Amherst                 6-14      -8    -7          -0.60
   417 H Skidmore               19- 7      12    12           0.00
   419 A Trinity (CT)           13-11       2    -7    +++    9.72
   420 H Springfield            12- 8       4     0    +      3.10
   423 A Connecticut College    15-17      -2    -4    +      2.21
   426 A Bowdoin                10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.88


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Tufts                  14-13       1    -6    +++    7.13
   402 H Middlebury             10-13      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   419 A Trinity (CT)           13-11       2    -7    +++    9.72
   329 A Bates                   7-13      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   426 A Bowdoin                10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.88
   420 H Springfield            12- 8       4     0    +      3.10
   423 A Connecticut College    15-17      -2    -4    +      2.21




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.44 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.26 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    74
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   170
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    55
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3


  
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