Conf = Colonial Region = South State = VA Nickname = Tribe Coach = Christine HalfpennyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.3658218 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Binghamton America East ( 5-11, 71.8) 21- 9 220 A Longwood Independent ( 6-10, 71.3) 22-16 224 H Duke Atlantic Coas (13- 8, 91.2) 8-18 227 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 4-14, 77.5) 7-11 302 A Richmond Atlantic 10 ( 9- 9, 81.6) 10-19 309 A Penn State Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-12, 83.2) 12-18 312 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (14- 4, 94.1) 11-14 319 A Georgetown Big East (12- 7, 88.5) 7- 8 325 H Stanford MPSF (12- 8, 85.2) 9- 7 328 H California MPSF ( 9- 9, 81.4) 16-10 404 A James Madison Colonial ( 7- 9, 83.1) 11-10 o 406 H George Mason Colonial (12- 5, 87.3) 13- 8 411 A Drexel Colonial (10- 7, 82.4) 6-17 413 A Hofstra Colonial ( 7- 9, 81.0) 8-10 418 H Towson Colonial (13- 6, 86.7) 14-13 420 H Delaware Colonial (11- 6, 84.5) 17-13 424 H Old Dominion Colonial ( 4- 9, 75.5) 19- 7 502 H Delaware Colonial (11- 6, 84.5) 15-14 504 H Towson Colonial (13- 6, 86.7) 7-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Binghamton 21- 9 12 11 0.00 220 A Longwood 22-16 6 10 -- -4.00 224 H Duke 8-18 -10 -7 - -2.44 227 A Virginia Tech 7-11 -4 4 --- -8.11 302 A Richmond 10-19 -9 0 --- -8.96 309 A Penn State 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.37 312 H Virginia 11-14 -3 -10 +++ 7.00 319 A Georgetown 7- 8 -1 -6 ++ 5.95 325 H Stanford 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.52 328 H California 16-10 6 2 + 3.80 404 A James Madison 11-10 o 1 -1 + 2.51 406 H George Mason 13- 8 5 -3 +++ 8.69 411 A Drexel 6-17 -11 0 --- -9.19 413 A Hofstra 8-10 -2 0 - -2.57 418 H Towson 14-13 1 -3 ++ 4.06 420 H Delaware 17-13 4 0 ++ 4.91 424 H Old Dominion 19- 7 12 8 1.91 502 H Delaware 15-14 1 0 1.91 504 H Towson 7-16 -9 -3 -- -5.94UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Virginia Tech 7-11 -4 4 --- -8.11 302 A Richmond 10-19 -9 0 --- -8.96 411 A Drexel 6-17 -11 0 --- -9.19 220 A Longwood 22-16 6 10 -- -4.00 309 A Penn State 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.37 504 H Towson 7-16 -9 -3 -- -5.94 224 H Duke 8-18 -10 -7 - -2.44 413 A Hofstra 8-10 -2 0 - -2.57OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H Virginia 11-14 -3 -10 +++ 7.00 406 H George Mason 13- 8 5 -3 +++ 8.69 319 A Georgetown 7- 8 -1 -6 ++ 5.95 418 H Towson 14-13 1 -3 ++ 4.06 420 H Delaware 17-13 4 0 ++ 4.91 325 H Stanford 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.52 328 H California 16-10 6 2 + 3.80 404 A James Madison 11-10 o 1 -1 + 2.51/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.60 Local Power Rank........... 30 Local SOS Rating......... 63.38 Local SOS Rank............. 29 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 28 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 84 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 38 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 12.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3