Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf Region = West/Midwest State = TN Nickname = Commodores Coach = Cathy SwezeyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.7544250 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Cincinnati Independent ( 2-14, 66.4) 20- 4 223 A UMBC America East ( 4-12, 75.1) 16- 7 224 A Lehigh Patriot Leagu (10- 7, 77.8) 16- 8 301 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 8- 9, 80.1) 12-10 304 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 4-14, 77.5) 12- 8 308 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas (13- 7, 90.1) 5-12 312 H Boston University America East (18- 3, 92.6) 7-17 315 H New Hampshire America East (13- 6, 87.7) 7-10 317 H Cornell Ivy League (10- 6, 87.3) 15- 6 323 H Penn State Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-12, 83.2) 10- 7 330 A Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (21- 1, 99.9) 8-14 406 A Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 9, 85.8) 11-10 2o 411 H Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co (10- 8, 83.2) 17- 7 413 A Albany America East ( 8- 9, 78.5) 15- 5 416 A Notre Dame Big East (12- 7, 88.4) 9- 6 420 H Duke Atlantic Coas (13- 8, 91.2) 11-10 503 N Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 9, 85.8) 10- 7 504 A Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (21- 1, 99.9) 3-14 511 A Princeton Ivy League (13- 5, 91.4) 10-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Cincinnati 20- 4 16 23 0.00 223 A UMBC 16- 7 9 12 -1.00 224 A Lehigh 16- 8 8 9 -1.86 301 H Duquesne 12-10 2 9 --- -7.69 304 H Virginia Tech 12- 8 4 12 --- -6.00 308 A North Carolina 5-12 -7 -2 -- -4.57 312 H Boston University 7-17 -10 -2 --- -7.14 315 H New Hampshire 7-10 -3 2 -- -5.02 317 H Cornell 15- 6 9 2 +++ 6.53 323 H Penn State 10- 7 3 6 - -3.56 330 A Northwestern 8-14 -6 -12 ++ 4.00 406 A Johns Hopkins 11-10 2o 1 1 -0.87 411 H Ohio State 17- 7 10 6 + 3.45 413 A Albany 15- 5 10 9 0.78 416 A Notre Dame 9- 6 3 0 + 3.69 420 H Duke 11-10 1 -1 + 2.43 503 N Johns Hopkins 10- 7 3 2 0.10 504 A Northwestern 3-14 -11 -12 0.00 511 A Princeton 10-14 -4 -3 -0.30UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Duquesne 12-10 2 9 --- -7.69 304 H Virginia Tech 12- 8 4 12 --- -6.00 312 H Boston University 7-17 -10 -2 --- -7.14 308 A North Carolina 5-12 -7 -2 -- -4.57 315 H New Hampshire 7-10 -3 2 -- -5.02 323 H Penn State 10- 7 3 6 - -3.56OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Cornell 15- 6 9 2 +++ 6.53 330 A Northwestern 8-14 -6 -12 ++ 4.00 411 H Ohio State 17- 7 10 6 + 3.45 416 A Notre Dame 9- 6 3 0 + 3.69 420 H Duke 11-10 1 -1 + 2.43/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.73 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 68.47 Local SOS Rank............. 13 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 79 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 9 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 0.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0