Conf = Centennial                 Region = Metro        State = PA
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Erin Stroble            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.5145645    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 A Lycoming               Middle Atlant ( 9- 8, 72.1)    15-14  o
 310 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps Independent   (13- 3, 76.6)     9-11   
 313 A Redlands               Independent   ( 9- 6, 68.2)    12- 5   
 320 H Drew                   Landmark      (10- 8, 71.1)     6- 7   
 322 A Muhlenberg             Centennial    (11- 5, 75.5)     8-13   
 325 H Rowan                  Independent   (13- 5, 76.6)    11-12   
 327 A College of New Jersey  Independent   (17- 2, 87.4)     0-15   
 329 H McDaniel               Centennial    (10- 7, 74.6)    11-10   
 401 A Salisbury              Capital       (22- 1, 89.9)     8-20   
 403 A Bryn Mawr              Centennial    ( 4-11, 59.5)    15- 6   
 405 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (19- 2, 88.3)     3-19   
 408 H Haverford              Centennial    ( 5-11, 63.3)    12- 8   
 410 A Cabrini                Penn. (PAC)   (13- 6, 69.7)    16-12   
 412 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (17- 4, 84.7)     6-13   
 415 A Washington College     Centennial    ( 7- 8, 69.9)    16- 8   
 417 H Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 6-11, 63.8)    14- 5   
 419 H Dickinson              Centennial    (12- 6, 79.0)    13-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Lycoming               15-14  o    1    -1    +      2.12
   310 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps  9-11      -2    -5    +      3.60
   313 A Redlands               12- 5       7     2    ++     4.15
   320 H Drew                    6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.09
   322 A Muhlenberg              8-13      -5    -4          -0.50
   325 H Rowan                  11-12      -1    -3    +      2.34
   327 A College of New Jersey   0-15     -15   -16           0.00
   329 H McDaniel               11-10       1    -1    +      2.42
   401 A Salisbury               8-20     -12   -18           0.00
   403 A Bryn Mawr              15- 6       9    11          -1.00
   405 H Franklin & Marshall     3-19     -16   -15           0.00
   408 H Haverford              12- 8       4     9    --    -5.88
   410 A Cabrini                16-12       4     1    +      2.73
   412 A Gettysburg              6-13      -7   -13    +      3.00
   415 A Washington College     16- 8       8     1    +++    6.89
   417 H Swarthmore             14- 5       9     9          -0.37
   419 H Dickinson              13-14      -1    -5    ++     4.80

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Haverford              12- 8       4     9    --    -5.88
   320 H Drew                    6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Washington College     16- 8       8     1    +++    6.89
   313 A Redlands               12- 5       7     2    ++     4.15
   419 H Dickinson              13-14      -1    -5    ++     4.80
   305 A Lycoming               15-14  o    1    -1    +      2.12
   310 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps  9-11      -2    -5    +      3.60
   325 H Rowan                  11-12      -1    -3    +      2.34
   329 H McDaniel               11-10       1    -1    +      2.42
   410 A Cabrini                16-12       4     1    +      2.73
   412 A Gettysburg              6-13      -7   -13    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.11 Local Power Rank...........    57
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.51 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   149
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    70
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
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