Conf = MPSF Region = West/Midwest State = OR Nickname = Ducks Coach = Jen LarsenGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.3354187 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Stanford MPSF (12- 8, 85.2) 7- 8 210 A UC Davis MPSF ( 7-11, 72.4) 15- 5 222 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 4-14, 77.5) 14-13 224 A Richmond Atlantic 10 ( 9- 9, 81.6) 17- 5 301 H Le Moyne Independent (12- 5, 80.4) 15- 7 306 N Notre Dame Big East (12- 7, 88.4) 14-13 308 N Temple Atlantic 10 (13- 7, 83.1) 10- 9 311 H North Carolina Atlantic Coas (13- 7, 90.1) 9-14 316 H Columbia Ivy League ( 5-10, 75.7) 17-10 322 N Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 9, 85.8) 9-10 326 A St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 4-10, 75.7) 11-10 o 330 A Colgate Patriot Leagu (11-10, 78.8) 11- 9 405 H Denver MPSF (13- 6, 86.5) 12-13 412 H California MPSF ( 9- 9, 81.4) 8-12 413 H St. Mary's (CA) MPSF ( 2-16, 63.7) 20- 3 418 A Vermont America East ( 8- 9, 80.3) 12-11 o 420 A New Hampshire America East (13- 6, 87.7) 12-13 2o 430 N UC Davis MPSF ( 7-11, 72.4) 14- 9 501 N Denver MPSF (13- 6, 86.5) 12-18 502 A California MPSF ( 9- 9, 81.4) 9- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Stanford 7- 8 -1 -1 0.23 210 A UC Davis 15- 5 10 11 0.00 222 A Virginia Tech 14-13 1 6 -- -5.47 224 A Richmond 17- 5 12 2 +++ 7.69 301 H Le Moyne 15- 7 8 5 + 2.37 306 N Notre Dame 14-13 1 -3 ++ 4.44 308 N Temple 10- 9 1 1 -0.88 311 H North Carolina 9-14 -5 -4 -0.86 316 H Columbia 17-10 7 10 - -3.00 322 N Johns Hopkins 9-10 -1 0 -0.13 326 A St. Bonaventure 11-10 o 1 8 --- -7.21 330 A Colgate 11- 9 2 5 - -3.08 405 H Denver 12-13 -1 0 -0.48 412 H California 8-12 -4 4 --- -8.55 413 H St. Mary's (CA) 20- 3 17 22 0.00 418 A Vermont 12-11 o 1 3 - -2.60 420 A New Hampshire 12-13 2o -1 -3 + 2.82 430 N UC Davis 14- 9 5 12 -- -5.00 501 N Denver 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.45 502 A California 9- 8 1 2 -1.49UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A St. Bonaventure 11-10 o 1 8 --- -7.21 412 H California 8-12 -4 4 --- -8.55 222 A Virginia Tech 14-13 1 6 -- -5.47 430 N UC Davis 14- 9 5 12 -- -5.00 501 N Denver 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.45 316 H Columbia 17-10 7 10 - -3.00 330 A Colgate 11- 9 2 5 - -3.08 418 A Vermont 12-11 o 1 3 - -2.60OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Richmond 17- 5 12 2 +++ 7.69 306 N Notre Dame 14-13 1 -3 ++ 4.44 301 H Le Moyne 15- 7 8 5 + 2.37 420 A New Hampshire 12-13 2o -1 -3 + 2.82/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.95 Local Power Rank........... 21 Local SOS Rating......... 59.24 Local SOS Rank............. 40 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 23 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 60 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 31 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0