Conf = Atlantic Coast Region = South State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Jenny LevyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.5331955 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 215 H Loyola Big East ( 6-10, 80.4) 13- 9 217 H Denver MPSF (13- 6, 86.5) 15- 9 223 H Albany America East ( 8- 9, 78.5) 18- 6 228 H Brown Ivy League ( 6-10, 78.9) 12- 8 301 H Penn Ivy League (17- 2, 93.5) 7- 8 308 H Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Co (13- 6, 88.7) 12- 5 311 A Oregon MPSF (13- 7, 85.0) 14- 9 316 A Virginia Atlantic Coas (14- 4, 94.1) 5-16 322 H Duke Atlantic Coas (13- 8, 91.2) 16-14 326 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 4-14, 77.5) 16- 6 329 A Boston College Atlantic Coas ( 7-10, 81.8) 4- 5 2o 404 H Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co (10- 8, 83.2) 22-12 406 H Penn State Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-12, 83.2) 14- 9 412 H Maryland Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 96.5) 8-10 416 A Old Dominion Colonial ( 4- 9, 75.5) 19- 7 420 A Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (21- 1, 99.9) 3-16 424 N Boston College Atlantic Coas ( 7-10, 81.8) 12- 8 425 N Maryland Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 96.5) 4- 6 511 A Virginia Atlantic Coas (14- 4, 94.1) 11- 7 517 A Syracuse Big East (18- 3, 96.8) 11-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H Loyola 13- 9 4 10 --- -6.00 217 H Denver 15- 9 6 4 1.35 223 H Albany 18- 6 12 12 0.00 228 H Brown 12- 8 4 12 --- -6.00 301 H Penn 7- 8 -1 -2 1.33 308 H Vanderbilt 12- 5 7 2 ++ 4.57 311 A Oregon 14- 9 5 4 0.86 316 A Virginia 5-16 -11 -4 -- -5.02 322 H Duke 16-14 2 0 + 2.02 326 H Virginia Tech 16- 6 10 13 0.00 329 A Boston College 4- 5 2o -1 7 --- -8.30 404 H Ohio State 22-12 10 7 + 2.05 406 H Penn State 14- 9 5 7 - -2.97 412 H Maryland 8-10 -2 -5 + 3.32 416 A Old Dominion 19- 7 12 13 0.00 420 A Northwestern 3-16 -13 -10 0.00 424 N Boston College 12- 8 4 8 -- -4.33 425 N Maryland 4- 6 -2 -6 ++ 4.35 511 A Virginia 11- 7 4 -4 +++ 8.98 517 A Syracuse 11-13 -2 -7 ++ 5.74UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H Loyola 13- 9 4 10 --- -6.00 228 H Brown 12- 8 4 12 --- -6.00 329 A Boston College 4- 5 2o -1 7 --- -8.30 316 A Virginia 5-16 -11 -4 -- -5.02 424 N Boston College 12- 8 4 8 -- -4.33 406 H Penn State 14- 9 5 7 - -2.97OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 511 A Virginia 11- 7 4 -4 +++ 8.98 308 H Vanderbilt 12- 5 7 2 ++ 4.57 425 N Maryland 4- 6 -2 -6 ++ 4.35 517 A Syracuse 11-13 -2 -7 ++ 5.74 322 H Duke 16-14 2 0 + 2.02 404 H Ohio State 22-12 10 7 + 2.05 412 H Maryland 8-10 -2 -5 + 3.32/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.13 Local Power Rank........... 9 Local SOS Rating......... 71.92 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 57 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 11 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0