Conf = Independent Region = South State = FL Nickname = Tars Coach = Dennis ShortGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.0864105 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 216 N Pfeiffer Carolinas ( 8- 9, 66.1) 12-19 224 H Mercyhurst Independent (12- 3, 73.3) 6-16 225 H Notre Dame (OH) Independent (11- 4, 67.9) 11-10 229 N St. Andrews Carolinas ( 7-12, 62.9) 18-17 2o 301 N Gannon Independent (11- 4, 82.7) 5-20 307 N Lees-McRae Carolinas ( 1-15, 51.8) 18- 8 309 H East Stroudsburg Penn. State (11- 7, 65.8) 11-13 312 H Bryant Northeast 10 (10- 8, 65.9) 11-19 315 H New Haven East Coast (14- 3, 70.3) 8-17 319 H Saint Michael's Northeast 10 ( 9- 7, 65.8) 17-18 405 A Belmont Abbey Carolinas (12- 7, 67.8) 10-14 406 A Queens Carolinas (11- 7, 66.0) 5-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 N Pfeiffer 12-19 -7 -6 -0.18 224 H Mercyhurst 6-16 -10 -13 0.00 225 H Notre Dame (OH) 11-10 1 -7 +++ 8.68 229 N St. Andrews 18-17 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.64 301 N Gannon 5-20 -15 -23 0.00 307 N Lees-McRae 18- 8 10 7 + 2.57 309 H East Stroudsburg 11-13 -2 -5 + 3.55 312 H Bryant 11-19 -8 -5 - -2.32 315 H New Haven 8-17 -9 -10 1.00 319 H Saint Michael's 17-18 -1 -5 ++ 4.55 405 A Belmont Abbey 10-14 -4 -9 ++ 5.54 406 A Queens 5-15 -10 -7 - -2.26UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H Bryant 11-19 -8 -5 - -2.32 406 A Queens 5-15 -10 -7 - -2.26OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Notre Dame (OH) 11-10 1 -7 +++ 8.68 229 N St. Andrews 18-17 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.64 319 H Saint Michael's 17-18 -1 -5 ++ 4.55 405 A Belmont Abbey 10-14 -4 -9 ++ 5.54 307 N Lees-McRae 18- 8 10 7 + 2.57 309 H East Stroudsburg 11-13 -2 -5 + 3.55/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 59.25 Local Power Rank........... 31 Local SOS Rating......... 37.72 Local SOS Rank............. 13 Local RPI Rating......... 0.45 Local RPI Rank............. 25 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 33 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 32 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 15.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 3- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.0