Conf = Northeast Region = West/Midwest State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Katy PhillipsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 74.9433517 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 229 A Cincinnati Independent ( 2-14, 66.4) 11- 8 302 A Louisville Independent (12- 4, 82.1) 3-19 305 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 8- 9, 80.1) 4-19 307 H Davidson Independent (11- 5, 78.9) 5- 6 314 H Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 9- 9, 74.5) 9-10 316 A Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co (10- 8, 83.2) 2-17 320 A Mount Saint Mary's Northeast ( 9- 9, 74.7) 9-14 322 A Wagner Northeast ( 3-13, 63.2) 18- 8 328 H Sacred Heart Northeast (12- 8, 76.3) 9-15 330 H Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 6- 8, 74.2) 14-15 404 A Quinnipiac Northeast (10- 6, 77.8) 3-17 406 A Central Connecticut Northeast ( 1-13, 58.2) 18-14 411 H Long Island U. Northeast ( 3-13, 62.1) 9- 7 413 H Monmouth Northeast (13- 5, 78.1) 10-15 416 A Navy Patriot Leagu (13- 4, 79.6) 14-17 420 H Saint Francis Northeast ( 0-14, 47.9) 22- 5PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 229 A Cincinnati 11- 8 3 0 + 2.58 302 A Louisville 3-19 -16 -15 0.00 305 H Duquesne 4-19 -15 -11 0.00 307 H Davidson 5- 6 -1 -9 +++ 8.99 314 H Canisius 9-10 -1 -5 ++ 4.62 316 A Ohio State 2-17 -15 -16 0.00 320 A Mount Saint Mary's 9-14 -5 -7 + 2.90 322 A Wagner 18- 8 10 3 +++ 6.33 328 H Sacred Heart 9-15 -6 -7 1.37 330 H Bucknell 14-15 -1 -5 ++ 4.34 404 A Quinnipiac 3-17 -14 -10 0.00 406 A Central Connecticut 18-14 4 8 -- -4.65 411 H Long Island U. 9- 7 2 6 -- -4.85 413 H Monmouth 10-15 -5 -9 ++ 4.24 416 A Navy 14-17 -3 -12 +++ 7.00 420 H Saint Francis 22- 5 17 21 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Central Connecticut 18-14 4 8 -- -4.65 411 H Long Island U. 9- 7 2 6 -- -4.85OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Davidson 5- 6 -1 -9 +++ 8.99 322 A Wagner 18- 8 10 3 +++ 6.33 416 A Navy 14-17 -3 -12 +++ 7.00 314 H Canisius 9-10 -1 -5 ++ 4.62 330 H Bucknell 14-15 -1 -5 ++ 4.34 413 H Monmouth 10-15 -5 -9 ++ 4.24 229 A Cincinnati 11- 8 3 0 + 2.58 320 A Mount Saint Mary's 9-14 -5 -7 + 2.90/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 67.87 Local Power Rank........... 72 Local SOS Rating......... 45.93 Local SOS Rank............. 70 Local RPI Rating......... 0.39 Local RPI Rank............. 72 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 65 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 75 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0