GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.6517792 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 216 H American Patriot Leagu ( 8-10, 76.6) 14- 3 219 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 8- 9, 80.1) 14-10 224 H Notre Dame Big East (12- 7, 88.4) 11-14 229 A UC Davis MPSF ( 7-11, 72.4) 18- 7 302 A California MPSF ( 9- 9, 81.4) 10- 7 314 H Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (21- 1, 99.9) 5-21 316 H Robert Morris Northeast ( 5-11, 67.9) 17- 2 322 H St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 4-10, 75.7) 13- 6 328 H Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 6- 8, 74.2) 17-18 330 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 4-14, 77.5) 12- 9 404 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas (13- 7, 90.1) 12-22 406 N Maryland Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 96.5) 6-21 411 A Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Co (13- 6, 88.7) 7-17 413 H Davidson Independent (11- 5, 78.9) 15- 5 420 H Penn State Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-12, 83.2) 17-12 423 A Cincinnati Independent ( 2-14, 66.4) 17- 2 428 A Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 9, 85.8) 12-13 502 N Penn State Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-12, 83.2) 5-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 H American 14- 3 11 7 + 2.40 219 H Duquesne 14-10 4 4 -0.17 224 H Notre Dame 11-14 -3 -4 1.15 229 A UC Davis 18- 7 11 9 0.18 302 A California 10- 7 3 0 + 2.26 314 H Northwestern 5-21 -16 -15 0.00 316 H Robert Morris 17- 2 15 16 0.00 322 H St. Bonaventure 13- 6 7 8 -1.53 328 H Bucknell 17-18 -1 9 --- -11.00 330 A Virginia Tech 12- 9 3 4 -1.72 404 A North Carolina 12-22 -10 -7 - -2.05 406 N Maryland 6-21 -15 -13 0.00 411 A Vanderbilt 7-17 -10 -6 - -3.45 413 H Davidson 15- 5 10 5 ++ 4.65 420 H Penn State 17-12 5 1 + 3.95 423 A Cincinnati 17- 2 15 15 0.00 428 A Johns Hopkins 12-13 -1 -3 + 2.65 502 N Penn State 5-13 -8 0 --- -8.01UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
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LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.21 Local Power Rank........... 25 Local SOS Rating......... 61.28 Local SOS Rank............. 36 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 39 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 58 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 26 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 11.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0