Conf = Big East                   Region = South        State = DC
   Nickname = Hoyas                  Coach  = Ricky Fried             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.1089096    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 A George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 5-11, 77.6)    11-10   
 223 H Loyola                 Big East      ( 6-10, 80.4)    16- 9   
 227 H George Mason           Colonial      (12- 5, 87.3)    14- 7   
 303 A Denver                 MPSF          (13- 6, 86.5)    12-11  o
 307 A Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 9, 85.8)    12-10   
 315 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (13- 8, 91.2)    11-12   
 319 H William & Mary         Colonial      (10- 9, 82.6)     8- 7   
 322 H Rutgers                Big East      ( 7-10, 79.7)    11- 5   
 328 A Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (21- 1, 99.9)     6- 7   
 330 A Louisville             Independent   (12- 4, 82.1)    13- 5   
 405 A Syracuse               Big East      (18- 3, 96.8)     3-18   
 409 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas (14- 4, 94.1)     8- 7   
 412 H Notre Dame             Big East      (12- 7, 88.4)     8-10   
 416 A Maryland               Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 96.5)     7-14   
 420 A Connecticut            Big East      ( 1-15, 70.7)    16- 7   
 425 A Notre Dame             Big East      (12- 7, 88.4)    15-14 3o
 427 N Syracuse               Big East      (18- 3, 96.8)     6-12   
 503 H Princeton              Ivy League    (13- 5, 91.4)     9- 8   
 511 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas (13- 8, 91.2)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A George Washington      11-10       1     9    ---   -8.85
   223 H Loyola                 16- 9       7     9    -     -2.09
   227 H George Mason           14- 7       7     2    ++     4.78
   303 A Denver                 12-11  o    1     0           0.03
   307 A Johns Hopkins          12-10       2     1           0.35
   315 A Duke                   11-12      -1    -3    +      2.71
   319 H William & Mary          8- 7       1     6    --    -5.95
   322 H Rutgers                11- 5       6     9    -     -3.86
   328 A Northwestern            6- 7      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   330 A Louisville             13- 5       8     5    +      2.60
   405 A Syracuse                3-18     -15    -9          -0.64
   409 H Virginia                8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.53
   412 H Notre Dame              8-10      -2     1    -     -3.15
   416 A Maryland                7-14      -7    -9    +      2.00
   420 A Connecticut            16- 7       9    16          -1.00
   425 A Notre Dame             15-14 3o    1     0           1.91
   427 N Syracuse                6-12      -6    -8    +      2.32
   503 H Princeton               9- 8       1    -1    +      2.85
   511 H Duke                    8-10      -2    -1          -0.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A George Washington      11-10       1     9    ---   -8.85
   319 H William & Mary          8- 7       1     6    --    -5.95
   223 H Loyola                 16- 9       7     9    -     -2.09
   322 H Rutgers                11- 5       6     9    -     -3.86
   412 H Notre Dame              8-10      -2     1    -     -3.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Northwestern            6- 7      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   227 H George Mason           14- 7       7     2    ++     4.78
   409 H Virginia                8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.53
   315 A Duke                   11-12      -1    -3    +      2.71
   330 A Louisville             13- 5       8     5    +      2.60
   416 A Maryland                7-14      -7    -9    +      2.00
   427 N Syracuse                6-12      -6    -8    +      2.32
   503 H Princeton               9- 8       1    -1    +      2.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.51 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.11 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
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