Conf = Big East Region = South State = DC Nickname = Hoyas Coach = Ricky FriedGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.1089096 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 220 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 5-11, 77.6) 11-10 223 H Loyola Big East ( 6-10, 80.4) 16- 9 227 H George Mason Colonial (12- 5, 87.3) 14- 7 303 A Denver MPSF (13- 6, 86.5) 12-11 o 307 A Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 9, 85.8) 12-10 315 A Duke Atlantic Coas (13- 8, 91.2) 11-12 319 H William & Mary Colonial (10- 9, 82.6) 8- 7 322 H Rutgers Big East ( 7-10, 79.7) 11- 5 328 A Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (21- 1, 99.9) 6- 7 330 A Louisville Independent (12- 4, 82.1) 13- 5 405 A Syracuse Big East (18- 3, 96.8) 3-18 409 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (14- 4, 94.1) 8- 7 412 H Notre Dame Big East (12- 7, 88.4) 8-10 416 A Maryland Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 96.5) 7-14 420 A Connecticut Big East ( 1-15, 70.7) 16- 7 425 A Notre Dame Big East (12- 7, 88.4) 15-14 3o 427 N Syracuse Big East (18- 3, 96.8) 6-12 503 H Princeton Ivy League (13- 5, 91.4) 9- 8 511 H Duke Atlantic Coas (13- 8, 91.2) 8-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A George Washington 11-10 1 9 --- -8.85 223 H Loyola 16- 9 7 9 - -2.09 227 H George Mason 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.78 303 A Denver 12-11 o 1 0 0.03 307 A Johns Hopkins 12-10 2 1 0.35 315 A Duke 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.71 319 H William & Mary 8- 7 1 6 -- -5.95 322 H Rutgers 11- 5 6 9 - -3.86 328 A Northwestern 6- 7 -1 -12 +++ 9.00 330 A Louisville 13- 5 8 5 + 2.60 405 A Syracuse 3-18 -15 -9 -0.64 409 H Virginia 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 5.53 412 H Notre Dame 8-10 -2 1 - -3.15 416 A Maryland 7-14 -7 -9 + 2.00 420 A Connecticut 16- 7 9 16 -1.00 425 A Notre Dame 15-14 3o 1 0 1.91 427 N Syracuse 6-12 -6 -8 + 2.32 503 H Princeton 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.85 511 H Duke 8-10 -2 -1 -0.36UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A George Washington 11-10 1 9 --- -8.85 319 H William & Mary 8- 7 1 6 -- -5.95 223 H Loyola 16- 9 7 9 - -2.09 322 H Rutgers 11- 5 6 9 - -3.86 412 H Notre Dame 8-10 -2 1 - -3.15OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Northwestern 6- 7 -1 -12 +++ 9.00 227 H George Mason 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.78 409 H Virginia 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 5.53 315 A Duke 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.71 330 A Louisville 13- 5 8 5 + 2.60 416 A Maryland 7-14 -7 -9 + 2.00 427 N Syracuse 6-12 -6 -8 + 2.32 503 H Princeton 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.85/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.51 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 73.11 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 33 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3