Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = New York     State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = E. Sewruk/J. Gates      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.0923309    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 A Union                  Liberty Leagu (15- 4, 84.0)     8- 9   
 308 A Randolph-Macon         Old Dominion  ( 6-11, 68.7)     9- 6   
 315 A Salisbury              Capital       (22- 1, 89.9)     9-22   
 318 A Rochester              Liberty Leagu ( 5- 9, 68.9)    13- 7   
 320 H Ithaca                 Empire Eight  ( 9- 8, 73.9)    12-11  o
 322 H College of New Jersey  Independent   (17- 2, 87.4)     4-16   
 326 H Hamilton               Liberty Leagu (21- 1, 88.6)     7-15   
 401 A William Smith          Liberty Leagu (13- 4, 77.7)    11-12   
 405 H Fredonia               SUNYAC        (11- 6, 72.1)    14- 4   
 408 A Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 5- 9, 61.7)    19- 7   
 412 A Brockport              SUNYAC        (14- 4, 79.9)    16-14  o
 415 H Morrisville            SUNYAC        ( 4-10, 54.8)    20- 3   
 417 A Hartwick               Empire Eight  ( 3-11, 59.1)    20- 1   
 419 H Buffalo State          SUNYAC        ( 9- 4, 76.8)    14- 7   
 422 A Oneonta                SUNYAC        (10- 7, 69.9)    13- 7   
 426 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        (10- 5, 75.5)    14-11   
 429 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 5-11, 60.0)    22- 2   
 502 H Fredonia               SUNYAC        (11- 6, 72.1)    16- 7   
 503 H Brockport              SUNYAC        (14- 4, 79.9)    14-13   
 510 N Union                  Liberty Leagu (15- 4, 84.0)    12-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Union                   8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.93
   308 A Randolph-Macon          9- 6       3     9    ---   -6.42
   315 A Salisbury               9-22     -13   -11           0.00
   318 A Rochester              13- 7       6     9    -     -3.23
   320 H Ithaca                 12-11  o    1     6    --    -5.38
   322 H College of New Jersey   4-16     -12    -7    -     -2.89
   326 H Hamilton                7-15      -8    -8           0.33
   401 A William Smith          11-12      -1     0          -1.36
   405 H Fredonia               14- 4      10     8           1.80
   408 A Potsdam                19- 7      12    16           0.00
   412 A Brockport              16-14  o    2    -1    +      3.84
   415 H Morrisville            20- 3      17    25           0.00
   417 A Hartwick               20- 1      19    19           0.00
   419 H Buffalo State          14- 7       7     3    +      3.50
   422 A Oneonta                13- 7       6     8    -     -2.23
   426 A Geneseo                14-11       3     2           0.36
   429 H Oswego                 22- 2      20    20           0.00
   502 H Fredonia               16- 7       9     8           0.80
   503 H Brockport              14-13       1     0           0.63
   510 N Union                  12-13      -1    -4    +      3.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Randolph-Macon          9- 6       3     9    ---   -6.42
   320 H Ithaca                 12-11  o    1     6    --    -5.38
   318 A Rochester              13- 7       6     9    -     -3.23
   322 H College of New Jersey   4-16     -12    -7    -     -2.89
   422 A Oneonta                13- 7       6     8    -     -2.23

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Union                   8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.93
   412 A Brockport              16-14  o    2    -1    +      3.84
   419 H Buffalo State          14- 7       7     3    +      3.50
   510 N Union                  12-13      -1    -4    +      3.82
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.21 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.08 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    37
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/