2007 NCAA Women's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 21 0 2 9 1 1 1 1 3 39.00 2 Salisbury Capital 21 2 5 14 3 2 3 2 7 9.00 3 Gettysburg Centennial 17 4 6 4 4 5 2 3 10 15.00 4 Middlebury NESCAC 16 2 4 1 2 4 5 4 13 22.00 5 College of New J Independent 12 3 8 2 6 3 6 5 14 1.00 6 Hamilton Liberty League 16 3 7 7 5 6 7 6 19 5.00 7 McDaniel Centennial 14 5 28 19 11 7 8 7 22 0.10 8 Mary Washington Capital 16 7 23 23 14 11 4 10 25 1.00 9 Montclair State Skyline 14 4 17 37 17 8 17 11 36 0.10 10 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 15 4 18 71 16 20 10 13 43 0.10 11 Dickinson Centennial 11 7 20 18 46 14 9 24 47 0.10 12 Colby NESCAC 12 5 12 10 7 12 14 23 49 0.10 13 Trinity (CT) NESCAC 12 5 11 11 9 10 20 25 55 2.00 14 Bowdoin NESCAC 9 6 16 5 10 17 15 28 60 0.10 15 Drew Middle Atlanti 16 4 45 57 19 26 21 14 61 0.10 16 Amherst NESCAC 9 7 21 6 18 22 11 32 65 0.10 17 Cabrini Penn. (PAC) 16 5 52 94 27 30 23 16 69 0.10 18 Roanoke Old Dominion 15 4 38 67 21 21 29 22 72 0.10 19 Babson NEWMAC 15 3 15 35 8 13 49 12 74 0.10 20 Claremont-Mudd-S Independent 15 2 33 113 12 18 48 8 74 0.10 21 Cortland SUNYAC 15 4 3 24 13 9 57 9 75 3.00 22 William Smith Liberty League 10 6 27 8 26 24 13 40 77 0.10 23 Brockport SUNYAC 13 5 32 33 34 19 30 33 82 0.10 24 Union Liberty League 10 5 10 16 22 25 31 31 87 3.00 25 Colorado College Independent 11 6 13 31 33 15 50 29 94 0.10 26 Eastern Connecti Little East 13 6 47 53 37 35 22 37 94 0.10 27 Catholic (DC) Capital 11 5 35 30 38 23 40 35 98 0.10 28 St. John Fisher Empire Eight 14 6 39 41 54 33 16 52 101 0.10 29 Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC 8 6 26 13 30 28 28 47 103 0.10 30 Elizabethtown Middle Atlanti 13 4 31 64 31 36 51 17 104 0.10 31 Lycoming Middle Atlanti 14 3 30 74 24 31 58 18 107 0.10 32 Ursinus Centennial 10 7 22 20 45 16 70 27 113 0.10 33 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 10 5 61 73 48 37 36 45 118 0.10 34 Eastern Penn. (PAC) 14 3 43 107 23 34 65 21 120 0.10 35 Endicott Comm. Coast 13 6 62 82 42 39 33 50 122 0.10 36 Goucher Capital 8 8 56 26 60 42 25 55 122 0.10 37 Williams NESCAC 6 8 36 3 36 46 24 60 130 0.10 38 Bates NESCAC 8 7 37 21 32 49 26 56 131 0.10 39 Rowan Independent 7 9 59 28 82 48 12 73 133 0.10 40 Plymouth State Little East 14 5 19 76 35 27 69 38 134 0.10 41 Vassar Liberty League 12 5 40 32 29 38 68 34 140 0.10 42 Tufts NESCAC 7 7 25 15 49 41 43 59 143 0.10 43 Gordon Comm. Coast 13 3 51 106 28 43 78 26 147 0.10 44 Christopher Newp USA South Atl. 12 5 48 95 39 50 63 36 149 0.10 45 Oneonta SUNYAC 9 8 54 25 68 55 27 68 150 0.10 46 Geneseo SUNYAC 11 5 34 55 51 45 66 43 154 0.10 47 Springfield NEWMAC 10 8 58 38 66 53 32 70 155 0.10 48 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 11 4 29 42 47 32 88 39 159 0.10 49 FDU-Florham Middle Atlanti 10 9 57 54 91 58 18 84 160 0.10 50 Pomona-Pitzer Independent 10 2 81 144 25 40 101 20 161 0.10 51 St. Mary's (MD) Capital 8 8 49 39 79 52 37 77 166 0.10 52 Wellesley NEWMAC 13 6 42 70 50 61 60 46 167 0.10 53 Muhlenberg Centennial 9 7 66 58 59 62 56 51 169 0.10 54 Nazareth Empire Eight 13 3 9 72 20 29 124 19 172 0.10 55 Curry Comm. Coast 15 6 70 119 57 57 59 57 173 0.10 56 Buffalo State SUNYAC 10 5 44 56 53 47 82 48 177 0.10 57 Ithaca Empire Eight 9 7 50 52 64 64 47 66 177 0.10 58 Swarthmore Centennial 11 7 41 68 44 54 95 30 179 0.10 59 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 7 10 89 48 104 63 19 103 185 0.10 60 Stevens Skyline 12 8 78 87 83 59 55 74 188 0.10 61 Western New Engl NEWLA 14 6 73 125 55 56 80 53 189 0.10 62 Guilford Old Dominion 8 9 82 62 113 65 38 98 201 0.10 63 Worcester State NEWLA 12 5 93 148 56 60 89 54 203 0.10 64 Washington Colle Centennial 7 10 83 44 105 71 41 92 204 0.10 65 Haverford Centennial 6 10 97 43 106 78 34 94 206 0.10 66 Redlands Independent 10 7 103 111 80 75 64 69 208 0.10 67 Gwynedd-Mercy Penn. (PAC) 12 6 98 124 61 70 83 61 214 0.10 68 Villa Julie Capital 6 10 80 45 121 67 39 108 214 0.10 69 Greensboro USA South Atl. 10 7 69 97 76 68 71 76 215 0.10 70 Denison North Coast 7 8 55 46 88 51 84 82 217 0.10 71 Messiah Middle Atlanti 7 9 72 47 95 76 46 95 217 0.10 72 Wooster North Coast 12 5 24 88 40 44 133 41 218 0.10 73 Rochester Liberty League 5 9 64 17 103 69 35 118 222 0.10 74 York Capital 7 10 84 40 120 66 42 114 222 0.10 75 Neumann Penn. (PAC) 9 6 107 130 67 82 79 67 228 0.10 76 Bridgewater Stat Independent 9 7 79 114 72 74 74 83 231 0.10 77 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 4 10 71 12 84 83 45 109 237 0.10 78 St. Lawrence Liberty League 6 8 68 29 87 77 61 100 238 0.10 79 Fredonia SUNYAC 8 7 67 60 75 72 94 75 241 0.10 80 Lynchburg Old Dominion 8 10 85 81 125 80 53 123 256 0.10 81 Scranton Middle Atlanti 6 9 96 63 126 87 52 120 259 0.10 82 Roger Williams Comm. Coast 9 7 86 118 81 84 91 85 260 0.10 83 Notre Dame (MD) Atlantic Women 15 2 46 155 15 88 159 15 262 0.10 84 Susquehanna Middle Atlanti 5 8 87 61 98 93 72 101 266 0.10 85 Colby-Sawyer Comm. Coast 8 7 53 104 70 73 129 72 274 0.10 86 Oswego SUNYAC 5 9 94 59 118 90 67 117 274 0.10 87 Mount Saint Vinc Skyline 9 9 95 96 97 81 109 88 278 0.10 88 Rochester Inst o Empire Eight 8 9 88 80 119 86 75 119 280 0.10 89 Kenyon North Coast 8 8 60 84 85 85 115 86 286 0.10 90 Saint Vincent Independent 7 4 1 127 52 92 145 49 286 0.10 91 Puget Sound Independent 5 8 119 121 115 95 86 107 288 0.10 92 Keene State Little East 7 6 77 98 77 79 132 80 291 0.10 93 Alvernia Penn. (PAC) 6 5 108 147 63 102 128 64 294 0.10 94 Norwich NEWLA 7 5 144 160 62 100 131 63 294 0.10 95 Castleton State NEWLA 6 6 138 154 73 97 121 78 296 0.10 96 Chestnut Hill Independent 6 7 14 162 41 101 154 42 297 0.10 97 Elmira Empire Eight 6 9 76 69 122 98 85 115 298 0.10 98 Bryn Mawr Centennial 4 13 111 49 149 119 44 139 302 0.10 99 Wheaton NEWMAC 4 12 106 34 138 99 54 150 303 0.10 100 Kean Skyline 6 8 112 102 101 104 107 99 310 0.10 101 Rensselaer Liberty League 4 10 65 27 109 89 98 124 311 0.10 102 Farmingdale Skyline 7 7 90 141 71 96 151 65 312 0.10 103 Frostburg State Independent 5 8 102 78 112 103 106 104 313 0.10 104 MIT NEWMAC 4 7 100 75 93 105 117 91 313 0.10 105 Linfield Independent 6 5 122 151 65 114 139 62 315 0.10 106 Misericordia Penn. (PAC) 7 8 114 123 102 108 102 105 315 0.10 107 Allegheny North Coast 4 9 113 36 131 94 93 131 318 0.10 108 King's Middle Atlanti 6 9 91 93 124 107 87 125 319 0.10 109 Bridgewater Old Dominion 8 8 109 132 94 115 110 96 321 0.10 110 Mass.-Dartmouth Little East 4 10 129 100 143 109 73 140 322 0.10 111 Emerson NEWLA 6 6 150 161 74 116 130 79 325 0.10 112 Rosemont Penn. (PAC) 0 3 157 110 58 145 122 58 325 0.10 113 Manhattanville Skyline 6 10 75 91 137 91 108 129 328 0.10 114 New England Coll Comm. Coast 5 8 118 101 114 111 104 113 328 0.10 115 Wesley Penn. (PAC) 6 9 124 129 127 110 92 126 328 0.10 116 Medaille Independent 6 3 125 164 43 130 163 44 337 0.10 117 Oberlin North Coast 6 9 116 108 108 113 125 106 344 0.10 118 Southern Maine Little East 7 9 117 105 116 106 119 121 346 0.10 119 Widener Middle Atlanti 3 13 121 66 162 124 62 162 348 0.10 120 Hartwick Empire Eight 5 10 101 50 123 120 100 135 355 0.10 121 Marymount Capital 2 14 137 79 154 128 76 153 357 0.10 122 Skidmore Liberty League 2 14 74 22 145 117 90 154 361 0.10 123 Sweet Briar Old Dominion 4 13 134 90 159 121 81 159 361 0.10 124 Clarkson Liberty League 6 9 63 51 100 112 134 122 368 0.10 125 Utica Empire Eight 5 10 104 86 141 123 105 142 370 0.10 126 Immaculata Penn. (PAC) 4 9 140 128 132 127 113 132 372 0.10 127 Univ of New Engl Comm. Coast 1 12 139 92 160 135 77 160 372 0.10 128 Westfield State Independent 4 5 152 165 69 144 160 71 375 0.10 129 Whittier Independent 4 11 145 136 150 133 97 149 379 0.10 130 Potsdam SUNYAC 3 11 110 65 146 125 116 145 386 0.10 131 Centenary Skyline 6 8 123 143 99 143 147 97 387 0.10 132 Shenandoah USA South Atl. 5 11 133 117 147 126 114 147 387 0.10 133 Dallas Independent 2 11 149 99 151 139 103 146 388 0.10 134 Nichols Comm. Coast 4 9 132 134 133 131 126 133 390 0.10 135 Lasell NEWLA 5 9 153 159 129 137 127 128 392 0.10 136 Methodist USA South Atl. 6 11 99 142 130 122 140 130 392 0.10 137 Ramapo Independent 3 6 115 146 89 151 153 89 393 0.10 138 Morrisville Independent 6 9 120 139 107 129 156 110 395 0.10 139 Rhode Island Col Little East 3 11 135 109 152 134 112 151 397 0.10 140 Mount Holyoke NEWMAC 2 13 128 85 161 138 99 161 398 0.10 141 Smith NEWMAC 5 10 92 77 140 118 142 138 398 0.10 142 Ferrum USA South Atl. 5 9 136 153 111 140 149 112 401 0.10 143 Moravian Middle Atlanti 2 13 130 89 163 142 96 163 401 0.10 144 Western Connecti Little East 3 12 126 126 153 136 120 152 408 0.10 145 Keuka Independent 3 6 147 158 86 160 162 87 409 0.10 146 Maritime Skyline 1 5 165 156 78 166 166 81 413 0.10 147 Wittenberg North Coast 3 11 105 83 134 141 138 134 413 0.10 148 No. Carolina Wes USA South Atl. 3 13 143 135 156 147 111 156 414 0.10 149 Thomas NEWLA 1 7 166 163 110 155 148 111 414 0.10 150 Cazenovia Independent 3 9 151 133 96 152 161 102 415 0.10 151 Saint Joseph Independent 2 6 164 166 90 163 165 90 418 0.10 152 Fontbonne Independent 0 8 161 140 92 165 164 93 422 0.10 153 Hood Atlantic Women 4 9 141 150 117 150 157 116 423 0.10 154 Averett USA South Atl. 3 10 148 122 142 146 135 143 424 0.10 155 Lancaster Bible Independent 0 10 163 149 128 162 136 127 425 0.10 156 Salve Regina Comm. Coast 4 12 127 116 144 132 152 144 428 0.10 157 Elms NEWLA 2 9 158 157 135 149 144 136 429 0.10 158 Alfred Empire Eight 1 10 146 103 136 157 141 137 435 0.10 159 Hollins Old Dominion 0 13 160 115 164 153 118 164 435 0.10 160 Pacific (OR) Independent 1 12 155 145 158 156 123 158 437 0.10 161 Trinity (DC) Atlantic Women 1 10 156 138 148 154 137 148 439 0.10 162 Arcadia Penn. (PAC) 2 13 142 137 157 148 150 157 455 0.10 163 Regis (MA) Comm. Coast 0 11 159 131 155 159 155 155 469 0.10 164 Cedar Crest Penn. (PAC) 0 15 154 112 166 161 146 166 473 0.10 165 Wells Atlantic Women 2 17 162 152 167 164 143 167 474 0.10 166 Pine Manor Independent 0 9 167 167 139 167 167 141 475 0.10 167 Wilkes Middle Atlanti 0 15 131 120 165 158 158 165 481 0.10