2007 NCAA Women's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Northwestern Amer. Lac. Con 21 1 1 12 1 1 2 1 4 64.00 2 Virginia Atlantic Coast 19 4 2 15 2 2 1 2 5 9.00 3 Duke Atlantic Coast 16 4 4 14 3 4 7 3 14 3.00 4 Maryland Atlantic Coast 16 4 5 6 4 5 5 4 14 5.00 5 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 16 5 6 7 6 7 3 6 16 8.00 6 Penn Ivy League 16 2 3 11 5 3 9 5 17 7.00 7 Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Con 12 8 13 4 8 6 4 9 19 0.10 8 Syracuse Big East 13 6 7 10 7 8 6 7 21 0.10 9 Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Con 11 6 15 25 13 10 15 11 36 0.10 10 Notre Dame Big East 11 6 14 24 15 11 14 13 38 0.10 11 Princeton Ivy League 10 7 9 8 12 18 10 10 38 2.00 12 Georgetown Big East 10 8 12 9 16 12 11 16 39 0.10 13 Penn State Amer. Lac. Con 9 8 17 1 17 17 8 17 42 0.10 14 Yale Ivy League 13 4 11 42 9 9 23 12 44 0.10 15 Rutgers Big East 12 5 21 35 11 13 24 14 51 0.10 16 Hofstra Colonial 12 7 23 32 26 14 12 26 52 0.10 17 James Madison Colonial 13 5 10 22 14 16 21 15 52 0.10 18 Denver MPSF 16 3 8 53 10 15 36 8 59 1.00 19 Dartmouth Ivy League 9 7 20 38 20 24 20 22 66 0.10 20 Stanford MPSF 9 8 26 17 32 22 16 30 68 0.10 21 Boston Universit America East 13 6 22 43 22 20 32 20 72 0.10 22 Richmond Atlantic 10 14 6 16 36 18 19 37 18 74 0.10 23 Connecticut Big East 10 6 24 37 23 23 31 21 75 0.10 24 Ohio State Amer. Lac. Con 9 7 25 31 25 21 30 24 75 0.10 25 Boston College Atlantic Coast 6 11 39 5 38 33 13 37 83 0.10 26 Old Dominion Colonial 7 8 30 18 34 28 25 33 86 0.10 27 Delaware Colonial 11 6 19 40 27 25 39 27 91 0.10 28 Stony Brook America East 13 4 27 48 19 26 48 19 93 0.10 29 Cornell Ivy League 5 10 36 3 37 41 18 35 94 0.10 30 California MPSF 7 10 35 26 43 34 19 43 96 0.10 31 Le Moyne Metro Atlantic 16 5 37 74 21 29 45 23 97 0.10 32 Drexel Colonial 12 5 18 34 24 27 46 25 98 0.10 33 Towson Colonial 6 9 31 19 36 36 27 36 99 1.00 34 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 5 12 42 21 42 35 17 49 101 0.10 35 Oregon MPSF 12 7 32 51 30 31 40 31 102 0.10 36 Temple Atlantic 10 6 11 43 29 44 38 22 45 105 0.10 37 George Washingto Atlantic 10 11 7 29 55 31 30 47 32 109 0.10 38 Monmouth Northeast 15 5 40 68 28 37 50 28 115 0.10 39 George Mason Colonial 6 10 34 30 46 40 33 44 117 0.10 40 Holy Cross Patriot League 13 6 28 47 29 32 58 29 119 0.10 41 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 8 9 33 45 41 39 41 41 121 0.10 42 New Hampshire America East 7 10 44 28 62 43 38 46 127 0.10 43 Harvard Ivy League 5 11 53 41 49 44 29 56 129 0.10 44 UMBC America East 7 10 50 13 51 46 35 48 129 0.10 45 Mount Saint Mary Northeast 10 8 52 67 40 42 51 38 131 0.10 46 Albany America East 8 9 47 44 47 48 42 42 132 0.10 47 Loyola Big East 2 14 57 16 67 47 26 66 139 0.10 48 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 8 7 38 46 35 45 57 39 141 0.10 49 Columbia Ivy League 5 10 46 27 45 52 43 50 145 0.10 50 Duquesne Atlantic 10 7 10 49 56 56 49 44 52 145 0.10 51 Brown Ivy League 4 12 56 39 61 51 34 63 148 0.10 52 William & Mary Colonial 3 13 45 33 66 56 28 68 152 0.10 53 Lehigh Patriot League 8 9 60 23 54 50 54 51 155 0.10 54 Marist Metro Atlantic 10 6 41 78 33 54 75 34 163 0.10 55 UC Davis MPSF 9 9 54 60 50 55 59 54 168 0.10 56 Sacred Heart Northeast 7 8 61 71 48 60 63 47 170 0.10 57 American Patriot League 9 9 48 57 52 53 64 55 172 0.10 58 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 7 9 51 58 57 58 61 53 172 0.10 59 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 8 10 58 66 63 57 56 62 175 0.10 60 Villanova Independent 7 9 65 52 58 62 60 57 179 0.10 61 Colgate Patriot League 6 12 55 49 70 59 52 71 182 0.10 62 Bucknell Patriot League 7 9 62 20 53 61 66 58 185 0.10 63 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 5 11 71 73 73 63 53 69 185 0.10 64 Iona Metro Atlantic 8 7 68 76 39 70 79 40 189 0.10 65 Longwood Independent 3 13 72 2 69 72 49 73 194 0.10 66 Robert Morris Northeast 7 9 67 63 60 64 71 61 196 0.10 67 Vermont America East 5 12 63 65 75 66 55 75 196 0.10 68 La Salle Atlantic 10 4 11 66 64 71 65 62 72 199 0.10 69 Davidson Independent 5 8 59 54 55 67 74 59 200 0.10 70 Quinnipiac Northeast 7 9 64 70 59 69 76 60 205 0.10 71 Canisius Metro Atlantic 5 11 69 75 64 68 77 64 209 0.10 72 Long Island U. Northeast 6 11 73 79 72 71 68 70 209 0.10 73 Siena Metro Atlantic 4 10 70 62 68 73 70 67 210 0.10 74 Binghamton America East 1 14 78 50 80 76 65 78 219 0.10 75 Wagner Northeast 4 12 74 61 76 74 69 76 219 0.10 76 St. Mary's (CA) MPSF 3 14 75 59 78 75 67 80 222 0.10 77 Central Connecti Northeast 3 12 76 69 77 77 72 77 226 0.10 78 Howard Independent 2 10 79 80 65 80 81 65 226 0.10 79 Lafayette Patriot League 1 15 77 72 81 78 73 81 232 0.10 80 Niagara Metro Atlantic 1 12 80 77 74 79 80 74 233 0.10 81 Saint Francis Northeast 0 13 81 81 79 81 78 79 238 0.10