Conf = Capital                    Region = So. Atlantic State = MD
   Nickname = Mustangs               Coach  = Kathy Railey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.5752792    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 221 N St. Mary's (MD)        Capital       ( 8- 8, 72.0)    10-17   
 224 H Mary Washington        Capital       (16- 7, 78.0)     3-17   
 301 A Goucher                Capital       ( 8- 8, 71.6)    13-14   
 304 A Hood                   Atlantic Wome ( 4- 9, 51.8)    25- 1   
 309 A Salisbury              Capital       (21- 2, 86.9)     4-23   
 313 A Lynchburg              Old Dominion  ( 8-10, 65.9)    15-12   
 315 A Roanoke                Old Dominion  (15- 4, 74.6)     6-10   
 321 H Notre Dame (MD)        Atlantic Wome (15- 2, 73.4)    16-12   
 324 H Stevens                Skyline       (12- 8, 67.1)    17- 7   
 327 H York                   Capital       ( 7-10, 66.2)    13-14   
 331 H Buffalo State          SUNYAC        (10- 5, 73.6)    13-15   
 403 H McDaniel               Centennial    (14- 5, 76.8)     9-15   
 405 A Catholic (DC)          Capital       (11- 5, 75.1)    11-22   
 417 A Wesley                 Penn. (PAC)   ( 6- 9, 57.4)    18- 7   
 420 H Marymount              Capital       ( 2-14, 53.4)    20- 5   
 422 A Mary Washington        Capital       (16- 7, 78.0)     8-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 N St. Mary's (MD)        10-17      -7    -5          -1.97
   224 H Mary Washington         3-17     -14    -9          -0.17
   301 A Goucher                13-14      -1    -5    ++     4.80
   304 A Hood                   25- 1      24    14           0.00
   309 A Salisbury               4-23     -19   -21           0.00
   313 A Lynchburg              15-12       3     0    +      3.12
   315 A Roanoke                 6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.87
   321 H Notre Dame (MD)        16-12       4    -5    +++    9.24
   324 H Stevens                17- 7      10     1    +++    8.97
   327 H York                   13-14      -1     1    -     -2.96
   331 H Buffalo State          13-15      -2    -5    +      3.39
   403 H McDaniel                9-15      -6    -8    +      2.63
   405 A Catholic (DC)          11-22     -11    -9          -0.70
   417 A Wesley                 18- 7      11     8           1.65
   420 H Marymount              20- 5      15    14           0.00
   422 A Mary Washington         8-21     -13   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H York                   13-14      -1     1    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Notre Dame (MD)        16-12       4    -5    +++    9.24
   324 H Stevens                17- 7      10     1    +++    8.97
   301 A Goucher                13-14      -1    -5    ++     4.80
   315 A Roanoke                 6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.87
   313 A Lynchburg              15-12       3     0    +      3.12
   331 H Buffalo State          13-15      -2    -5    +      3.39
   403 H McDaniel                9-15      -6    -8    +      2.63
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.98 Local Power Rank...........    80
 Local SOS Rating......... 42.47 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    67
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   147
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   121
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
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