Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf            Region = West/Midwest State = TN
   Nickname = Commodores             Coach  = Cathy Swezey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.2071686    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 H Albany                 America East  ( 8- 9, ****)    18- 5   
 225 H Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (21- 1, 99.9)     2-20   
 304 A Duquesne               Atlantic 10   ( 7-10, ****)    19- 9   
 306 H Lehigh                 Patriot Leagu ( 8- 9, ****)    21- 4   
 310 H North Carolina         Atlantic Coas (16- 5, 93.3)    11-14   
 314 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (16- 4, 94.1)     6-18   
 318 H Hofstra                Colonial      (12- 7, 85.9)    12- 7   
 325 A Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 87.3)     9- 7   
 328 H California             MPSF          ( 7-10, 48.3)     9- 6   
 331 H Stanford               MPSF          ( 9- 8, 84.5)     9-10   
 404 A New Hampshire          America East  ( 7-10, -9.8)    18-12   
 408 H Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (12- 8, 89.0)    11-10 2o
 415 A Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 7, 84.6)    10- 9   
 418 H Notre Dame             Big East      (11- 6, 88.5)    13- 9   
 429 A Cornell                Ivy League    ( 5-10, 27.7)    16-10   
 504 A Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (12- 8, 89.0)    10-12   
 513 H Syracuse               Big East      (13- 6, 92.0)    10-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Albany                 18- 5      13   102           0.00
   225 H Northwestern            2-20     -18   -10           0.00
   304 A Duquesne               19- 9      10   100           0.00
   306 H Lehigh                 21- 4      17   107           0.00
   310 H North Carolina         11-14      -3    -3           0.45
   314 A Duke                    6-18     -12    -7    -     -2.92
   318 H Hofstra                12- 7       5     3           1.08
   325 A Penn State              9- 7       2     0    +      2.25
   328 H California              9- 6       3    41    ---   -7.00
   331 H Stanford                9-10      -1     5    ---   -6.32
   404 A New Hampshire          18-12       6    96    --    -4.00
   408 H Johns Hopkins          11-10 2o    1     0           0.17
   415 A Ohio State             10- 9       1     2          -1.45
   418 H Notre Dame             13- 9       4     1    +      2.68
   429 A Cornell                16-10       6    59    --    -4.00
   504 A Johns Hopkins          10-12      -2    -1          -0.10
   513 H Syracuse               10-16      -6    -2    -     -3.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H California              9- 6       3    41    ---   -7.00
   331 H Stanford                9-10      -1     5    ---   -6.32
   404 A New Hampshire          18-12       6    96    --    -4.00
   429 A Cornell                16-10       6    59    --    -4.00
   314 A Duke                    6-18     -12    -7    -     -2.92
   513 H Syracuse               10-16      -6    -2    -     -3.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Penn State              9- 7       2     0    +      2.25
   418 H Notre Dame             13- 9       4     1    +      2.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.44 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.55 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    75
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/