Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf Region = West/Midwest State = TN Nickname = Commodores Coach = Cathy SwezeyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.2071686 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 219 H Albany America East ( 8- 9, ****) 18- 5 225 H Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (21- 1, 99.9) 2-20 304 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, ****) 19- 9 306 H Lehigh Patriot Leagu ( 8- 9, ****) 21- 4 310 H North Carolina Atlantic Coas (16- 5, 93.3) 11-14 314 A Duke Atlantic Coas (16- 4, 94.1) 6-18 318 H Hofstra Colonial (12- 7, 85.9) 12- 7 325 A Penn State Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 87.3) 9- 7 328 H California MPSF ( 7-10, 48.3) 9- 6 331 H Stanford MPSF ( 9- 8, 84.5) 9-10 404 A New Hampshire America East ( 7-10, -9.8) 18-12 408 H Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (12- 8, 89.0) 11-10 2o 415 A Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 7, 84.6) 10- 9 418 H Notre Dame Big East (11- 6, 88.5) 13- 9 429 A Cornell Ivy League ( 5-10, 27.7) 16-10 504 A Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (12- 8, 89.0) 10-12 513 H Syracuse Big East (13- 6, 92.0) 10-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 H Albany 18- 5 13 102 0.00 225 H Northwestern 2-20 -18 -10 0.00 304 A Duquesne 19- 9 10 100 0.00 306 H Lehigh 21- 4 17 107 0.00 310 H North Carolina 11-14 -3 -3 0.45 314 A Duke 6-18 -12 -7 - -2.92 318 H Hofstra 12- 7 5 3 1.08 325 A Penn State 9- 7 2 0 + 2.25 328 H California 9- 6 3 41 --- -7.00 331 H Stanford 9-10 -1 5 --- -6.32 404 A New Hampshire 18-12 6 96 -- -4.00 408 H Johns Hopkins 11-10 2o 1 0 0.17 415 A Ohio State 10- 9 1 2 -1.45 418 H Notre Dame 13- 9 4 1 + 2.68 429 A Cornell 16-10 6 59 -- -4.00 504 A Johns Hopkins 10-12 -2 -1 -0.10 513 H Syracuse 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.82UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H California 9- 6 3 41 --- -7.00 331 H Stanford 9-10 -1 5 --- -6.32 404 A New Hampshire 18-12 6 96 -- -4.00 429 A Cornell 16-10 6 59 -- -4.00 314 A Duke 6-18 -12 -7 - -2.92 513 H Syracuse 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.82OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Penn State 9- 7 2 0 + 2.25 418 H Notre Dame 13- 9 4 1 + 2.68/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.44 Local Power Rank........... 15 Local SOS Rating......... 66.55 Local SOS Rank............. 25 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 75 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 13 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7