Conf = MPSF Region = West/Midwest State = OR Nickname = Ducks Coach = Jen LarsenGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.8123398 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Stanford MPSF ( 9- 8, 84.5) 10- 6 218 H UC Davis MPSF ( 9- 9, ****) 12- 6 223 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas (16- 5, 93.3) 4-16 225 A Davidson Independent ( 5- 8, ****) 14- 1 302 A Georgetown Big East (10- 8, 89.1) 8-11 304 A UMBC America East ( 7-10, ****) 10-11 o 308 H St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 8- 7, 20.5) 13-10 312 H Vermont America East ( 5-12, ****) 20-12 315 H Longwood Independent ( 3-13, ****) 11- 8 317 H Colgate Patriot Leagu ( 6-12, ****) 16-11 324 A Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (12- 8, 89.0) 4-20 328 A Columbia Ivy League ( 5-10, ****) 13-12 330 A Stony Brook America East (13- 4, 83.9) 14-16 331 A Lehigh Patriot Leagu ( 8- 9, ****) 11-10 414 A California MPSF ( 7-10, 48.3) 16-10 415 A St. Mary's (CA) MPSF ( 3-14, ****) 15- 7 421 A Denver MPSF (16- 3, 91.3) 6-20 505 N Stanford MPSF ( 9- 8, 84.5) 2- 8 506 N California MPSF ( 7-10, 48.3) 8- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H Stanford 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 5.21 218 H UC Davis 12- 6 6 98 -- -4.00 223 A North Carolina 4-16 -12 -12 0.00 225 A Davidson 14- 1 13 98 0.00 302 A Georgetown 8-11 -3 -8 ++ 5.59 304 A UMBC 10-11 o -1 95 --- -11.00 308 H St. Bonaventure 13-10 3 62 --- -7.00 312 H Vermont 20-12 8 102 - -2.00 315 H Longwood 11- 8 3 105 --- -7.00 317 H Colgate 16-11 5 98 -- -5.00 324 A Johns Hopkins 4-20 -16 -8 -1.57 328 A Columbia 13-12 1 93 --- -9.00 330 A Stony Brook 14-16 -2 -3 1.41 331 A Lehigh 11-10 1 98 --- -9.00 414 A California 16-10 6 32 -- -4.00 415 A St. Mary's (CA) 15- 7 8 104 - -2.00 421 A Denver 6-20 -14 -10 0.00 505 N Stanford 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.42 506 N California 8- 7 1 33 --- -9.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A UMBC 10-11 o -1 95 --- -11.00 308 H St. Bonaventure 13-10 3 62 --- -7.00 315 H Longwood 11- 8 3 105 --- -7.00 328 A Columbia 13-12 1 93 --- -9.00 331 A Lehigh 11-10 1 98 --- -9.00 506 N California 8- 7 1 33 --- -9.00 218 H UC Davis 12- 6 6 98 -- -4.00 317 H Colgate 16-11 5 98 -- -5.00 414 A California 16-10 6 32 -- -4.00 312 H Vermont 20-12 8 102 - -2.00 415 A St. Mary's (CA) 15- 7 8 104 - -2.00 505 N Stanford 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.42OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H Stanford 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 5.21 302 A Georgetown 8-11 -3 -8 ++ 5.59/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.90 Local Power Rank........... 32 Local SOS Rating......... 54.33 Local SOS Rank............. 51 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 31 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 57 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 30 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 3.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.3