Conf = Capital Region = So. Atlantic State = MD Nickname = Sea Gulls Coach = Jim NestorGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.5701294 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 222 H Christopher Newport USA South Atl (12- 5, 72.7) 19- 5 224 A Randolph-Macon Old Dominion (10- 5, 70.9) 22- 5 228 H Virginia Wesleyan Old Dominion ( 7-10, 65.5) 22- 2 303 H York Capital ( 7-10, 66.2) 21- 3 309 H Villa Julie Capital ( 6-10, 67.0) 23- 4 310 A Catholic (DC) Capital (11- 5, 75.1) 19- 8 314 H Marymount Capital ( 2-14, 53.4) 22- 0 319 N Amherst NESCAC ( 9- 7, 78.1) 11- 4 323 A Colorado College Independent (11- 6, 79.9) 8- 5 327 H Middlebury NESCAC (16- 2, 87.0) 11-10 331 A Franklin & Marshall Centennial (21- 0, 89.2) 7- 8 403 A Ursinus Centennial (10- 7, 78.1) 15- 5 412 H St. Mary's (MD) Capital ( 8- 8, 72.0) 20- 7 414 H College of New Jersey Independent (12- 3, 83.3) 13-12 419 H Mary Washington Capital (16- 7, 78.0) 17- 8 420 A Goucher Capital ( 8- 8, 71.6) 23- 9 422 H Marymount Capital ( 2-14, 53.4) 24- 2 424 H Goucher Capital ( 8- 8, 71.6) 20-13 505 H Mary Washington Capital (16- 7, 78.0) 14-11 512 H Washington & Lee Old Dominion (15- 4, 78.7) 10- 7 513 H Colorado College Independent (11- 6, 79.9) 20-11 519 N Middlebury NESCAC (16- 2, 87.0) 8- 7 520 N Franklin & Marshall Centennial (21- 0, 89.2) 8-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Christopher Newport 19- 5 14 15 0.00 224 A Randolph-Macon 22- 5 17 14 0.00 228 H Virginia Wesleyan 22- 2 20 22 0.00 303 H York 21- 3 18 21 0.00 309 H Villa Julie 23- 4 19 21 0.00 310 A Catholic (DC) 19- 8 11 10 0.00 314 H Marymount 22- 0 22 34 0.00 319 N Amherst 11- 4 7 8 -1.82 323 A Colorado College 8- 5 3 5 - -2.79 327 H Middlebury 11-10 1 1 -0.12 331 A Franklin & Marshall 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.46 403 A Ursinus 15- 5 10 7 + 2.34 412 H St. Mary's (MD) 20- 7 13 16 0.00 414 H College of New Jersey 13-12 1 4 - -3.78 419 H Mary Washington 17- 8 9 10 -1.00 420 A Goucher 23- 9 14 14 0.00 422 H Marymount 24- 2 22 34 0.00 424 H Goucher 20-13 7 16 - -3.00 505 H Mary Washington 14-11 3 10 --- -7.00 512 H Washington & Lee 10- 7 3 9 --- -6.38 513 H Colorado College 20-11 9 8 0.81 519 N Middlebury 8- 7 1 0 1.08 520 N Franklin & Marshall 8-11 -3 -2 -0.74UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 H Mary Washington 14-11 3 10 --- -7.00 512 H Washington & Lee 10- 7 3 9 --- -6.38 323 A Colorado College 8- 5 3 5 - -2.79 414 H College of New Jersey 13-12 1 4 - -3.78 424 H Goucher 20-13 7 16 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 A Franklin & Marshall 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.46 403 A Ursinus 15- 5 10 7 + 2.34/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.92 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 50.21 Local SOS Rank............. 14 Local RPI Rating......... 0.71 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 9.0 Championship Rank ....... 4 Local Quality Win Rating.175.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 16.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 21- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 9.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3