Conf = Northeast Region = West/Midwest State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Katy PhillipsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 74.8805847 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 223 H Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 7, 84.6) 3-15 225 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, ****) 6-19 303 A Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 7- 9, ****) 9- 8 306 N Holy Cross Patriot Leagu (13- 6, 83.4) 3-16 308 N Davidson Independent ( 5- 8, ****) 19-10 315 A Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 5-11, ****) 9-15 316 N Niagara Metro Atlanti ( 1-12, ****) 15- 7 323 A Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, ****) 6-10 325 A Sacred Heart Northeast ( 7- 8, ****) 14-12 330 H Central Connecticut Northeast ( 3-12, ****) 18- 7 401 H Quinnipiac Northeast ( 7- 9, ****) 7-12 405 A Long Island U. Northeast ( 6-11, ****) 12-13 2o 407 A Monmouth Northeast (15- 5, 7.5) 7-18 413 A Saint Francis Northeast ( 0-13, ****) 17- 4 420 H Mount Saint Mary's Northeast (10- 8, ****) 7-15 422 H Wagner Northeast ( 4-12, ****) 15- 4PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 H Ohio State 3-15 -12 -103 0.00 225 H Duquesne 6-19 -13 -4 -- -5.04 303 A Bucknell 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.97 306 N Holy Cross 3-16 -13 -103 0.00 308 N Davidson 19-10 9 -1 +++ 10.99 315 A Canisius 9-15 -6 0 -- -5.70 316 N Niagara 15- 7 8 13 - -2.00 323 A Saint Joseph's 6-10 -4 -6 + 2.59 325 A Sacred Heart 14-12 2 -2 ++ 4.98 330 H Central Connecticut 18- 7 11 7 + 2.71 401 H Quinnipiac 7-12 -5 0 -- -5.74 405 A Long Island U. 12-13 2o -1 2 - -3.24 407 A Monmouth 7-18 -11 -28 0.00 413 A Saint Francis 17- 4 13 18 0.00 420 H Mount Saint Mary's 7-15 -8 -3 -- -4.43 422 H Wagner 15- 4 11 5 ++ 4.47UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Duquesne 6-19 -13 -4 -- -5.04 315 A Canisius 9-15 -6 0 -- -5.70 401 H Quinnipiac 7-12 -5 0 -- -5.74 420 H Mount Saint Mary's 7-15 -8 -3 -- -4.43 316 N Niagara 15- 7 8 13 - -2.00 405 A Long Island U. 12-13 2o -1 2 - -3.24OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 N Davidson 19-10 9 -1 +++ 10.99 325 A Sacred Heart 14-12 2 -2 ++ 4.98 422 H Wagner 15- 4 11 5 ++ 4.47 303 A Bucknell 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.97 323 A Saint Joseph's 6-10 -4 -6 + 2.59 330 H Central Connecticut 18- 7 11 7 + 2.71/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating.......-19.89 Local Power Rank........... 67 Local SOS Rating......... 43.19 Local SOS Rank............. 63 Local RPI Rating......... 0.40 Local RPI Rank............. 64 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 61 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 60 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.3