Conf = USA South Atl. Region = So. Atlantic State = NC Nickname = Pride Coach = Gregg GebhardGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.4053040 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Methodist USA South Atl ( 6-11, 64.4) 19- 7 301 A Ferrum USA South Atl ( 5- 9, 54.1) 12- 3 304 A Catholic (DC) Capital (11- 5, 75.1) 7-11 310 H Frostburg State Independent ( 5- 8, 63.5) 15-12 314 A No. Carolina Wesleyan USA South Atl ( 3-13, 51.3) 18- 4 318 H Shenandoah USA South Atl ( 5-11, 54.5) 19- 3 320 H Wooster North Coast (12- 5, 77.7) 10- 5 324 A Christopher Newport USA South Atl (12- 5, 72.7) 11-15 325 A Virginia Wesleyan Old Dominion ( 7-10, 65.5) 7-11 327 H Averett USA South Atl ( 3-10, 49.8) 22- 5 330 H Lynchburg Old Dominion ( 8-10, 65.9) 10- 9 401 H Randolph-Macon Old Dominion (10- 5, 70.9) 7-10 407 H Mary Washington Capital (16- 7, 78.0) 6-13 410 H Ferrum USA South Atl ( 5- 9, 54.1) 21- 2 414 N Methodist USA South Atl ( 6-11, 64.4) 20- 5 418 A Guilford Old Dominion ( 8- 9, 66.7) 8-12 421 A Roanoke Old Dominion (15- 4, 74.6) 6-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Methodist 19- 7 12 5 ++ 4.13 301 A Ferrum 12- 3 9 13 -1.00 304 A Catholic (DC) 7-11 -4 -7 + 3.17 310 H Frostburg State 15-12 3 6 - -3.76 314 A No. Carolina Wesleyan 18- 4 14 16 0.00 318 H Shenandoah 19- 3 16 15 0.00 320 H Wooster 10- 5 5 -7 +++ 12.40 324 A Christopher Newport 11-15 -4 -4 0.75 325 A Virginia Wesleyan 7-11 -4 2 --- -6.44 327 H Averett 22- 5 17 20 0.00 330 H Lynchburg 10- 9 1 4 - -3.41 401 H Randolph-Macon 7-10 -3 0 - -2.39 407 H Mary Washington 6-13 -7 -7 0.70 410 H Ferrum 21- 2 19 16 0.00 414 N Methodist 20- 5 15 4 ++ 5.33 418 A Guilford 8-12 -4 1 -- -5.24 421 A Roanoke 6-14 -8 -6 -1.26UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Virginia Wesleyan 7-11 -4 2 --- -6.44 418 A Guilford 8-12 -4 1 -- -5.24 310 H Frostburg State 15-12 3 6 - -3.76 330 H Lynchburg 10- 9 1 4 - -3.41 401 H Randolph-Macon 7-10 -3 0 - -2.39OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 H Wooster 10- 5 5 -7 +++ 12.40 224 H Methodist 19- 7 12 5 ++ 4.13 414 N Methodist 20- 5 15 4 ++ 5.33 304 A Catholic (DC) 7-11 -4 -7 + 3.17/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 69.11 Local Power Rank........... 69 Local SOS Rating......... 35.15 Local SOS Rank............. 97 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 68 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 60 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 76 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 17.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0