Conf = Big East Region = South State = DC Nickname = Hoyas Coach = Ricky FriedGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.0376282 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 224 H James Madison Colonial (13- 5, 89.8) 10-14 302 H Oregon MPSF (12- 7, 81.9) 11- 8 310 H Syracuse Big East (13- 6, 92.0) 9- 8 2o 314 H Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (12- 8, 89.0) 16-13 318 H Duke Atlantic Coas (16- 4, 94.1) 11-12 321 A George Mason Colonial ( 6-10, 54.9) 12- 6 324 A Rutgers Big East (12- 5, 86.9) 9- 3 327 A William & Mary Colonial ( 3-13, ****) 13- 5 330 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas (16- 5, 93.3) 6- 8 403 H Maryland Atlantic Coas (16- 4, 93.4) 10-14 407 A Loyola Big East ( 2-14, ****) 14- 3 411 A Virginia Atlantic Coas (19- 4, 94.7) 7-14 414 A Notre Dame Big East (11- 6, 88.5) 8-13 420 H George Washington Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 82.8) 18- 7 422 H Connecticut Big East (10- 6, 85.5) 15- 9 427 N Notre Dame Big East (11- 6, 88.5) 12-10 429 A Syracuse Big East (13- 6, 92.0) 7-12 506 A Princeton Ivy League (10- 7, 90.4) 11-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H James Madison 10-14 -4 0 -- -4.71 302 H Oregon 11- 8 3 8 -- -5.59 310 H Syracuse 9- 8 2o 1 -1 + 2.49 314 H Johns Hopkins 16-13 3 1 1.47 318 H Duke 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.65 321 A George Mason 12- 6 6 32 -- -4.00 324 A Rutgers 9- 3 6 0 ++ 5.10 327 A William & Mary 13- 5 8 99 - -2.00 330 A North Carolina 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.49 403 H Maryland 10-14 -4 -2 -1.09 407 A Loyola 14- 3 11 103 0.00 411 A Virginia 7-14 -7 -6 -0.06 414 A Notre Dame 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.28 420 H George Washington 18- 7 11 7 + 2.35 422 H Connecticut 15- 9 6 4 1.02 427 N Notre Dame 12-10 2 0 1.35 429 A Syracuse 7-12 -5 -4 -0.78 506 A Princeton 11-12 -1 -2 1.64UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H James Madison 10-14 -4 0 -- -4.71 302 H Oregon 11- 8 3 8 -- -5.59 321 A George Mason 12- 6 6 32 -- -4.00 414 A Notre Dame 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.28 327 A William & Mary 13- 5 8 99 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Rutgers 9- 3 6 0 ++ 5.10 310 H Syracuse 9- 8 2o 1 -1 + 2.49 318 H Duke 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.65 330 A North Carolina 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.49 420 H George Washington 18- 7 11 7 + 2.35/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.13 Local Power Rank........... 12 Local SOS Rating......... 72.71 Local SOS Rank............. 9 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 12 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 32 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 16 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3